Flemington Betting Preview

There is plenty of sunshine expected for one of the Autumn's most famous events at Flemington - the Andrew Ramadan Stakes!

Fri, 20 May, 4:54 PM
The forecast is for a fine day but cloudy for one of the autumn’s most famous events with the running of the Andrew Ramsden Stakes, which is run over the same distance as the Melbourne Cup at 3200m. The rail will be at three metres for the return to Flemington, with a track rated as a Good 3 and temperature forecast at 20C.

Race 6: 2, 9, 10, 12.
Race 7: 1, 3, 4, 9, 12, 15.
Race 8: 2, 3, 9, 16, 18, 19.
Race 9: 4, 7, 9, 11, 13, 14, 15.

R1 11.45am Pat Hyland Plate 1400m

Jaws Of Steel can bounce back from a failed trip to Sydney where she ran seventh in the Group 1 Champagne Stakes (1600m) at Randwick on April 16. He won the Mornington Sires two starts ago and looked primed for a strong return with a recent trial second over 800m on a heavy track at Cranbourne on May 9. Beach Life was plunged from $7.50 into $3.70 and beat all but the winner at his debut over 1400m at Ballarat on May 14. He is by Australia’s leading juvenile sire Hinchinbrook and would expect him to be much fitter here. He again jumps from a wide draw (10), but is closer to the rail than at his debut (13). Sebring Dream gave a good sight against her own sex at her debut. The daughter of Sebring fought all of the way to the line, going down to Kiwi I Am A Star over 1100m at Flemington at the beginning of May. She hails from the top stables of David Hayes and Tom Dabernig and will relish the extra ground. Cliff Hanger was doing his best work late at his debut when running home to finish a close third to Rata Tat Tat over 1200m on a heavy track at Warrnambool on May 5. He should relish the extra ground here and rates as an each-way chance. SELECTIONS: No1 Jaws Of Steel, No3 Beach Life, No12 Sebring Dream, No4 Cliff Hanger. VALUE RUNNER: No10 All Out Of Love.

R2 12.20pm National Hall Of Fame Handicap 1200m

Payroll was a top effort to run second to Miss Gunpowder in the 1000 Guineas Prelude (1400m) before finishing ninth to Stay With Me in the Group 1 1000 Guineas (1600m) at Caulfield on October 10. She is first up here against her own sex and age and looks well-weighted on 57kg.

Euston Road has drawn well in three to be prominent. She proved herself to win at odds of $20 over 1200m at this track at her last start. Chris Symons keeps the ride and the daughter of Time Thief goes up a kilo for the win to 55kg.

Reemah looks like she is back on track with a strong fourth to Euston Road over 1200m here first up on May 7. The filly has performed at the top level and we would expect her to strip fitter for the outing and, with apprentice Regan Bayliss’ claim, she carries 56.5kg

Mihalic resumes here off a 175-day break. Trainer Cindy Alderson has given the filly a steady build up for this race with three gate trials. She won at her two heats over 800m and 990m before going down in a close finish to Stylemaker over 800m on a heavy track at Cranbourne on May 9.

SELECTIONS: No2 Payroll, No6 Euston Road, No1 Reemah, No4 Mihalic.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 Air Apparent.

R3 12.55pm Might And Power Handicap 2000m

Killarney Kid has been most impressive in winning over 2020m and 2000m at Morphettville at his past two starts on April 23 and May 7. He was $1.60 favourite last time out and drops 3.5kg to 54kg with apprentice Harry Coffey to take the ride.

Second Bullet has been racing in good stead and makes strong appeal. He drops 2.5kg here to 55.5kg on his last start third as a $2.80 favourite to Good Value over 1800m here on May 7. The five-year-old has finished inside the money at his past five starts.

Turnitaround has been in sensational form with consecutive wins over 1700m here and at Warrnambool at his past two starts. With apprentice Ben Thompson taking the ride, he gets a 3kg weight relief dropping to 52kg.

Survived has the advantage of either being able to lead or take a sit. He scored a good win over 2400m at Mt Gambier last start. He drops down 4.5kg to 57kg on that win and rates as an each-way chance.

SELECTIONS: No8 Killarney Kid, No6 Second Bullet, No7 Turnitaround, No3 Survived.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 Araldo Junior.

R4 1.30pm Carbine Club Handicap 1600m

Grand Dreamer won over 1700m three starts ago. The five-year-old was raised to 2350m at Warrnambool last start. He gave a solid effort to hold third place as a $1.75 favourite, but may have found the trip too far. He looks better suited here on 54.5kg.

War Story hails from the stable of new trainer Matt Cumani who broke through for his first Saturday win last week. Cumani is running hot and the six-year-old’s form in England appears much stronger than he will meet here.

Turbo Street has drawn perfectly in gate two. The four-year-old was spelled after finishing last to the talented Tom Melbourne over 2100m at Sandown just before Christmas. Trainer Tony McEvoy gave the gelding a trial over 1000m and on his prior form he does rate here.

Santa Rocks is a Sydney galloper brought down here. He carried 57.5kg when running on to finish fifth to Moher over 21500m at Rosehill at his last start. He drops 6.5kg here aided by the 3kg claim of apprentice Ben Thompson to 51kg.

SELECTIONS: No13 Grand Dreamer, No1 War Story, No7 Turbo Street, No14 Santa Rocks.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 War Story.

R5 2.10pm Les Carlyon AC Handicap 1600m

Loyalty Man is most honest having won twice and ran third at his other two starts this preparation. In a wide open betting affair he is consistent and with apprentice Jake Bayliss’ 2kg claim will carry 56kg which is 2kg above the limit. He also has won two of his here starts over 1600m.

Shockaholic gets in well on weights with apprentice Ben Thompson’s 3kg claim set to be on the minimum 54kg. He gets a nice weight allowance on his last start win over 1400m on May 7 down 3.5kg. He has a good record at the metric mile of two starts for a win.

Bob Of The Head appears a young horse with staying potential. The son of Icanto comes into this race off two successive wins in the provincials. His latest win was over 1300m at Cranbourne in April when he was put to the test and fought hard to win. He drops 2.5kg to 56.5kg here.

Atlantic City showed he was close to his best with a fighting second to Shockaholic over 1400m here two weeks ago. He carried 56kg that day aided by Dylan Dunn’s claim and has senior rider Patrick Moloney taking over the reins here where he is handicapped on 55kg.

SELECTIONS: No1 Loyalty Man, No2 Shockaholic, No4 Bob Of The Head, No7 Atlantic City.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 Bob Of The Head.

R6 2.50pm Neville Begg Handicap 1800m

Entre Nous has been racing most consistently in a wide open betting market. The five-year-old has strung together two wins and two thirds and a fourth at five starts this campaign. He chased hard the entire straight when fourth over 1600m at Caulfield at his last start on April 30. He gets a 2kg allowance with Jordan Childs reducing his impost to 59kg.

Ashkannd hails from the Sydney stables of top trainer Chris Waller. He was backed into $3.50 when he scored a good win over 2400m at Warwick Farm at his last start on February 10. He is a French-bred stayer, who has won over 1600m and it would pay to watch market.

Sir Prospector hails from the well-respected betting stable of Robert Hickmott. The USA-bred galloper was a drifter at $6.50 when running a solid second to Spur On Gold, who won comfortably, at his Australian debut over 2000m here on May 7. He should be hitting the line hard.

Tenacitus was steady in betting at $4.20 when he fought on well to finish a close fifth to River’s Lane over 2000m at Morphettville on April 9. He is from the stables of top trainer Darren Weir and has missed finishing in the top three only once at five starts this preparation.

SELECTIONS: No2 Entre Nous, No9 Ashkannd, No10 Sir Prospector, No12 Tenacitus
VALUE RUNNER: No10 Sir Prospector.

R7 3.30pm Andrew Ramsden Stakes 3200m

De Little Engine was surging home between runners to finish third to Lucky Lucky Lucky over 2800m here on May 7. That was the gelding’s first start over a journey after a solid build up over 1600m and 2000m. He again is burdened on 59.5kg but has been set for this event.

Swacadelic won over 2530m at Flemington before striking a bog track when running third to Master Of Arts in the Warrnambool Cup (2350m) on May 5. The German-bred stayer is rock hard with a solid campaign under his belt and rates as a good chance again.

Lucky Lucky Lucky was well supported as a $4.20 equal favourite before claiming a 1 ½ length win over 2800m at his last start at Flemington on May 7. He carried 56kg that day and rises to 59.5kg with Luke Currie replacing apprentice Dyan Dunn, who is riding in Adelaide.

  SELECTIONS: No3 De Little Engine, No1 Swacadelic, No4 Lucky Lucky Lucky.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 Swacadelic

R8 4.10pm Hilton Nicholas Straight Six 1200m

Durendal had a quiet jump-out in preparation for his return down the straight-six. The four-year-old gelding has a perfect slate with two wins from two starts at the trip. Six of his seven wins have been over 1200m and expect him to sprint well fresh.

Demonstrate is the $3.50 in a very open market. The three-year-old is pitched up against older and tougher sprinters, but is compensated by a 3.5kg weight relief on 54kg. The colt out of the stables of Godolphin galloper has two runs under his belt and is ready for this.

My Poppette won the Group 2 Fillies Classic and was third in the Group 2 Manifold Stakes last spring. She will strip fitter with a run under her belt when she charged home to finish third to Olivier over 1100m at Caulfield on April 30. She drops 4kg to 54kg here.

Bullpit loves the straight racing and he ran well again when finishing a close third to Supido over 1000m here on May 7. Supido runs in today’s Group 1 Goodwood in Adelaide. The 1200m may be the test here but has definite place claims.

SELECTIONS: No2 Durendal, No19 Demonstrate, No16 Poppette, No9 Bullpit.
VALUE RUNNER:No2 Durendal.

R9 4.45pm Better Loosen Up Handicap 1400m

The New Boy is racing in career best form. This is a very tough "get-out stakes", but this galloper will be in front and out of trouble. Apprentice Ben Thompson will see him carry a feather-weight on 51kg, which is a drop of 4kg on his last start third over this course on May 7, and he has drawn well in gate three.

Enquare drops in class on her recent runs. The draw is a shocker 17, but she should relish the easier company after clashing against Charmed Harmony, Miss Promiscuity and Precious Gem on city tracks. With Damian Lane riding in the Group 1 Goodwood in Adelaide, Katelyn Mallyon is the new rider.

Zebrinz will be flying home like a bullet. The five-year-old is in good form having run a close second to Tonopah over 1600m at his last start at Morphettville on May 7. Chris Parnham keeps the ride and he drops a 1.5kg to 55kg here.

Royal Rapture gave a solid effort despite being no match for the winner first up when he struck a bog track at Warrnambool on May 5. Punters backed the six-year-old from $7.50 into $5.50 and carried 55kg when finishing in fourth place. He will be fitter and has a superior track here.

  SELECTIONS: No15 The New Boy , No9 Enquare, No7 Zebrinz, No14 Royal Rapture.
VALUE RUNNER: No14 Royal Rapture.

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