Sadly the nine-race card for Rosehill this Saturday is going to be rain affected and plenty of late scratching are likely.
The weather is expected to only get worse, so let’s hope that we get to see all nine races.
The track is currently rated a heavy 8 and the rail is at the true position.
NONPAREIL produced a strong first up showing at Scone over 1100m when placing in the Woodlands Stakes behind a promising type in Manaya. The filly will have derived fitness from the outing and considering her get back racing pattern, will be better suited in this smaller field.
LEGERITY gets his chance to record a second win, but does have to concede weight to the rest of the field with 59kg on his back. He has been good in all three runs this campaign, making his own luck up on the pace. He ran into a smart two-year-old last start when second to Chipanda, with the pair putting a gap of over two lengths to the rest of the field. By Snitzel, the soft ground isn't a concern.
PALLADIAN debuted at Canterbury a few weeks back and tried hard but had to settle for a close up second to Acatour, who ran well last week at Randwick to frank the form. Palladian trialled here last week and looked sharp in winning there.
BLAZING STEEL debuted during the Scone Carnival where he was a short priced elect and let down with a strong finishing burst to get the job done narrowly but impressively. Harder here, but he has good upside.
SELECTIONS: No6 NONPAREIL, No1 Legerity, No5 Palladian, No2 Blazing Steel VALUE RUNNER: No3 Henry The Createth
R2 12.00pm NEW CALEDONIA TRAVEL CONNECTION HANDICAP 1200m
LUCKY FISH returned last month at this track and distance. He was able to lead from an inside draw and looked home half-way up the straight after putting a gap on the rest of the field, before Sir Bacchus flew home over the top. How much work he has to do early to find a spot from barrier nine will be telling.
CIARLET was caught out four-wide throughout the run last start. He was beaten by Ravi, but a change of fortune and she could turn the tables.
RAVI was confidently backed when resuming at Randwick a couple of weeks back and she didn’t let her supporters down with a dominant win, aided by a brilliant steer from the form rider at the moment, Kerrin McEvoy. She hasn’t been as dynamic second up, but that first up run was a really good indicator she’s in for a fruitful winter.
KING'S TROOP is a highly talented colt who was solid behind the talented Spieth when second off a freshen up.
SELECTIONS: No6 LUCKY FISH, No10 Ciarlet, No2 Ravi, No1 King’s Troop VALUE RUNNER: No6 Lucky Fish
R3 12.35pm TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP 1400m
STRATUM'S SIREN has hit the ground running for her new stable and lines up here off a last start success over 1300m at Wagga. This looks a nice progression for her third up and out to 1400m. An inside draw and 1.5kg claim works to her favour.
KING'S OFFICER was scratched from a Highway Handicap a fortnight back at Rosehill over 1500m, which means it has been four weeks between runs. He looks a major chance though at this level though and gets in with just 56.5kg after the claim for Koby Jennings. Barrier 14 isn't an issue as he'll get back in the run and he can handle a wet track.
DYLAN’S DYNASTY ran well here two starts ago behind Royal Engineer before going back to his home track at Nowra where he ran second to Grand Rouge. He looks to have upside and he can go close.
FALCO has been a new addition to the Matthew Dale stable, formerly with Joe Pride. He has the top weight of 61kg, but does get 3kg weight relief from Deanne Panya who is starting to pick up more rides in the city. He’s been freshened up after a disappointing run in tougher grade than this last month and he should be competitive back at this level.
MARENOSTRO was a first up winner at this course and distance a fortnight ago. He will have derived good improvement from the outing and has a solid record second up.
INZ'N'OUT has been performing well so far this campaign, placing in each of his three starts. He now steps up to 1400m and has minimal exposure at the trip after racing over 1100m this campaign.
SHE’S CLEAN had a nightmare last start as she ran down the straight in a pocket and under triple wraps in the Dark Jewel (1400m) at Scone. She has been dodged from the Brisbane winter and finds a very good race here.
RYKER meets Marenostro 1.5kg better off at the weight which should bring the gap closer from last start.
PINDAN PEARL was super in her first run for Tim Martin. She flew over the final 200m, running 11.44, the quickest final sectional by 0.40 of a second. She’s never hit a track worse than a Soft 5, which is the only concern.
DISTRAUGHT finished runner-up behind Pindan Pearl last start. It took a while for her to cross and lead on that occasion before setting a pretty solid tempo. She was able to lead until the 150m and stuck on well for second.
HARLEM LADY might be one worth forgiving after a forgettable day out at this course a fortnight ago where she missed the start badly and was found to be lame afterwards. She has trialled since and her win first up over 1400m at Warwick Farm makes her worth following still.
PIAMIMI was excellent in defeat last start in the Luskin Star, making up ground to finish sixth to stablemate Clearly Innocent. She loves a wet track and is now back to mares grade, with her regular jockey back on board.
DREAMFORCE won his maiden first-up at Kembla Grange, where he was able to control the tempo out in front. He backed up the win with a solid run at benchmark 75 level behind promising filly Tsaritsa and the consistent Royal Tudor. He’s drawn to get a good run from barrier 4.
ROGUISH is on the back up from racing last Saturday where he was heavily backed to win, but he just felt the pinch and waywardness cost him second place and was relegated to fourth. Seven day back up will be no issue and is again well in at the weights after the claim for Andrew Adkins.
SUPPLY AND DEMAND was hitting the line well when third at Canterbury over 1550m as a drifting favourite. Market expectations aside, the run did possess merit. His start prior when running fourth in the Scone Guineas has him rated highly amongst this field. The wet track will be no issue.
MONTAUK has been a rather costly runner for punters, but in fairness he did do it tough last start at Randwick. He was caught three-wide throughout the run and should’ve finished back further than he did. He will get a cosy run from the inside draw.
SELECTIONS: No12 DREAMFORCE, No13 Roguish, No3 Supply And Demand, No2 Montauk VALUE RUNNER: No4 Surfin’ Safari
R7 3.05pm MONACO CUP 1500m
DISGRACEFUL backs up after a fast closing third at Randwick over 1400m before being elevated to second on protest. It was a strong race and one where he handled himself well. He will strip fitter again and has won third up in the past. The son of Redoute's Choice also boasts a solid record on rain-affected ground.
FAROLITOS is another who lines up here third up after a spell and after a slender second over the Randwick Mile 17 days ago. He is yet to run out of the money through three starts on slow/heavy going. The 3kg claim of Andrew Adkins is also used to good effect.
SEBRINA loomed as a chance first-up at the top of the straight, but lacked the necessary sprint over the 1400m when third to Pindan Pearl. She will be better suited at a mile and beyond, but still looks well placed in this race. She gets down to 56kg after the claim for Deanne Panya and she has run well on a rain-affected track in the past.
FIGTREE ran here a fortnight back where he had no luck at all behind Le Cordon Bleu in what looked a strong race. That was the case also first up behind Danish Twist. He is third up now, so he should be ready fitness wise, and this is a winnable race.
HIGH MIDNIGHT ticks plenty of boxes here. He comes into the race in good form with two wins before a last-start seventh in the Scone Cup, but he was only beaten by 0.7 lengths. He's had one start on a wet track, winning over 2000m at Randwick on a heavy 10. He also possesses a great record at the track with three wins from five starts.
SONS OF JOHN produced sharp improvement on his first up outing when running fifth in the Scone Cup. He will strip fitter again and is well drawn. Furthermore, his course, distance, third up and wet track credentials all point towards a solid showing.
CASINO DANCER comes out of the same two races which have been improved efforts after struggling in some tougher races earlier this campaign. She doesn't have a win next to her name in 10 starts on a heavy track, but has placed on five occasions.
LESS IS MORE comes through the Scone Cup where he pretty much ran down the straight under triple wraps, never really getting clear, but once he did get clear, he got shoved back in. He’s fitter and won’t mind a wet track. He could certainly win this race.
SELECTIONS: No8 HIGH MIDNIGHT, No1 Sons Of John, No2 Casino Dancer, No6 Less Is More VALUE RUNNER: No7 Loophole
R9 4.25pm PACIFIC BOATING HANDICAP 1200m
ALART finished just over a length off Alucinari last start after being caught deep in the run. She did fail in her last start on a heavy track, but she was found to have poor recovery post-race and that run can probably be put down to a fitness issue rather than the track.
PAINTE looks a top three chance. He's had a month's break following his win at this track and distance over Disgraceful. He is drawn to get a soft run behind the leaders from barrier three and is yet to miss a place on a heavy track in four attempts.
KING'S TROOP is a sucker horse and continues to interest punters but let them down. His last start when second over 1100m at this track off a freshen up was encouraging though. He is drawn to receive all of the favours in transit from barrier 1 and the 3kg claim of Jamie Innes is used to good effect.
GRANDE PUNTO hasn't been far away at his past two starts and drops back to 1200m, a distance he has had good success over. He can handle a heavy track, having not finished further back than fourth in five starts on a bog.
SELECTIONS: No6 ALART, No5 Painte, No19 King’s Troop, No14 Grand Condor VALUE RUNNER: No12 Freeze The Charges