Flemington Betting Tips

There are some seriously tricky races to pick today. There could be a lot of value winners!

Thu, 9 Jun, 12:00 AM
This looks a very difficult meeting and would suggest punters take extra caution as most races are wide open. The weather forecast is for showers and, with a track rating of Soft 5, it could deteriorate. The rail is at 6m the entire circuit and the penetrometer reading is 4.94.

QUADDIES (Races: 6-7-8-9)

SKINNY PLAY: 1/14/4/11
WIDE PLAY: 1,2,8,16/1,3,12,13,14/1,4,6,10/2,5,6,9,11

R1 11.45am Eugene Gorman Handicap 1100m

Millinery is from a noted two-year-old stable in what is a tough start to this card, with so many first timers and little trial form. This filly is from Stammers, a half-sister to Dysphonia, a winner of eight races and her only foal, Miss Murray Cod, is a winner. Drawn to go forward.

French Snitzel is by Australia’s leading sire Snitzel. She is a daughter of French Move, and has produced one foal for one winner in Ticket To Paris. This filly hails from the family of Singapore champion juvenile Onceuponatime and she is ideally drawn in gate two.

Go Public is by Golden Slipper winner Stratum from the Group 1 placed mare Placement, who is a three-quarter sister to Strike The Stars. This colt is a stable-mate to French Snitzel, but has no trial form. Respect breeding and watch betting.

Los Cabos was specked from $21 into $16 at his debut last spring in the Merson Cooper Stakes. Stable obviously had high opinion running him in the Blue Diamond Prelude, but no recent trial form.

SELECTIONS: No14 MILLINERY, No3 French Snitzel, No4 Go Public, No6 Los Cabos
VALUE RUNNER: No14 Millinery

R2 12.15pm Trevor Clarke Handicap 1400m

Euro Angel comes down to Melbourne having strong form in Sydney. The filly won over 1200m at her debut at Randwick on January 26 before finishing second over 1400m at Rosehill on February 24. No trial form but is from a top stable.

Themis is from another top Sydney yard, being a member of trainer Gai Waterhouse’s team. The filly has drawn wide in 13, but is a last start Randwick winner over 1400m on May 28. Has Craig Williams to steer.

Elegant Queen has won three of her past four starts on provincial tracks. She had a tough run at her sole unplaced effort at Caulfield and with Jordan Childs 2kg claim she will carry 55.5kg – 1.5kg above the limit.

Penny Shares has been in tremendous form on provincial tracks with three wins and a second from her past four starts. This is a wide-open betting race and, though she steps up in class, she is racing hot.

SELECTIONS: No6 EURO ANGEL, No4 Themis, No5 Elegant Queen, No7 Penny Shares
VALUE RUNNER: No7 Penny Shares

R3 12.50pm Lachal Handicap 1000m

Chase The Horizon looms to have plenty of upside in what is a very tough opening three races to this card. The colt has the services of top Melbourne hoop Craig Williams and he drops 2.5kg on his first-up win over 1000m at Ballarat on May 18.

Runson was strongly backed into a $2.40 favourite and rewarded his punters with a good win over 1000m at Pakenham on May 24. Daniel Moor keeps the ride and he drops 2.5kg.

Bel Chandon had a heap of excuses first-up and would go on her previous form. She won over 1100m at this course two starts ago against her own age and sex at good odds. This is slightly stronger but she has a win and a second from three starts.

Tyrannize won over 1200m at this course last December. Prior to that, he won over 1000m at Bendigo and at his last start here ran a solid fourth over 1400m on January 16. He looked imposing at a recent jump-out.

SELECTIONS: No2 Chase The Horizon, No7 Runson, No9 Bel Chandon, No5 Tyrannize
VALUE RUNNER: No8 Lord Von Costa

R4 1.23pm Ken Cox Handicap 1800m

Holy Cow crossed from a wide gate and fought hard to finish third in the Centaurea Stakes (2015m) at Morphettville last start on May 21. At her prior start she won over 1600m at Sandown on May 11. She has drawn well in five and with the 3kg claim of Beau Mertens carries only 51kg. She is race tough.

Mihany defied a drift in betting to win over 1600m here at his last start on May 1. He has won three of his past four starts and with apprentice Regan Bayliss’ 1.5kg claim he drops to 55kg – a kilo above the limit. He is tight in early odds at $6, but must combat a wide alley in 12.

Time To Test was headed second-up in the straight but did a fair job over 1800m here on May 21. He carried 58kg that day and drops to 55kg with Luke Currie to keep the ride. The son of Testa Rossa, his previous form at Morphettville and Rosehill was first class. He rates highly in an open race.

Amarela beat Time To Test at their last encounter over 1800m here on May 21. He was a drifter in betting from $9 to $12 that day and carried only 54kg. Darren Gauci keeps the ride and he carries the same weight, so Time To Test meets him much better on weights here. He is race hardened.

SELECTIONS: No7 HOLY COW, No3 Mihany, No5 Time To Test, No6 Amarela

R5 2.02pm Young Members' Ball Handicap 2500m

Master Of Arts won the Warrnambool Cup two starts ago and showed plenty of fight as a $2.40 when second to Bold Sniper over 2400m at Sandown on May 28. Senior rider Chris Parnham replaces apprentice Ben Allen, who is suspended. He drops 2.5kg here to 54.5kg and can bounce back.

Second Bullet with in-form apprentice Ben Thompson’s 3kg claim will carry 53kg. The season stayer was trapped deep and fought hard to the wire to go down narrowly to Turnitaround over 2000m here on May 21. He likes this course with three wins and four placings from nine starts and will again be in the firing line.

Ungrateful Ellen never stopped fighting when she ran a half-length second to Zanteca in the Port Adelaide Cup (2500m) at Morphettville on May 21. The four-year-old mare has Craig Williams replacing Dwayne Dunn here and again carries a light-weight on the limit on 54kg. Rates highly.

Golden Mane will carry no weight with the 1.5kg claim of apprentice Regan Bayliss reducing his handicap to 52.5kg. The step up to 2500m is probably his maximum distance, but he was on the heels of Bold Sniper and Master Of Arts over 2400m at Sandown last start on May 28. He again should be in the finish.

SELECTIONS: No6 MASTER OF ARTS, No3 Second Bullet, No7 Ungrateful Ellen, No9 Golden Mane
VALUE RUNNER: No1 Hawkspur

R6 2.42pm Craftsman Handicap 2000m

Whoop Whoop looms as a promising three year old. He lost no friends at his step up to city racing here with a solid third to Loyalty Man over 1600m on May 21. He previously won his maiden at Cranbourne at his second only start. With apprentice Michael Dee’s 1.5kg claim, he carries 56kg, which is at the bottom of the scale here.

Torelli is a chasing a hat-trick here and hails from the red-hot stables of top trainer Darren Weir. Weir has booked Craig Williams to steer with his three year old to carry 59kg. He carried 59kg to win at Bendigo on June 2 so his weight should not prove too much of an anchor and he has a perfect draw on the rail.

Sohool is another chasing a hat-trick, winning at his past two starts. He is a nicely bred colt who hit the lead at the 200m and pulled away for a good win as a $2 favourite at his last start over 2200m at Pakenham on May 24. He carried 60kg that day but, with Dylan Dunn’s 2kg claim, will carry 58kg here. He has won three times and been placed twice at his eight starts.

Vanilla Gold gets her chance here with no weight on 52kg, aided by the 3kg claim of apprentice Beau Mertens. She was having her fourth start when she broke through for a smart win over 2000m at Arat last start on May 19. She carried 56.5kg and drew 13 that day so she gets relief here with a lighter impost and drawn seven for her rise in class.

SELECTIONS: No8 WHOOP WHOOP, No2 Torelli, No1 Sohool, No16 Vanilla Gold
VALUE RUNNER: No13 Mapping

R7 3.22pm Rod Johnson Handicap 1400m

Whistle Baby hails from the yard of co-trainers Matthew Ellerton and Simon Zahra who have been in good form. This five-year-old mare is overdue for a win following her close second to Nautical down the straight 1200m here on May 21. She was backed from $10 into $6.50 that day and, with Chris Symons again to ride on 54.5kg, can repay her supporters.

The New Boy was backed from $6.50 into $5 favouritism and fought hard to go down to Jimando (who he meets again here) over 1400m here on May 21. The New Boy will carry 54kg with senior rider Katelyn Mallyon replacing 3kg apprentice Ben Thompson and the seven year old looms as an each-way chance in an open race.

Jimando was the object of a betting move when he was backed from $11 into $8 and beat The New Boy over 1400m here on May 21. Luke Currie keeps the ride but he does rise 3kg to a steadier 59kg here. He should again take control in front and could be hard to run down.

Del Prado put the writing on the wall when he stormed home under 61.5kg, finishing eighth to Spreadeagled over 1400m at Sandown on May 28. He drops a massive 7kg here and Daniel Moor keeps the ride on the five year old, who has won and finished second at his three starts over this trip. At the odds of $13 he makes good appeal.

SELECTIONS: No12 WHISTLE BABY, No14 The New Boy, No3 Jimando, No13 Del Prado
VALUE RUNNER: No13 Del Prado

R8 4.02pm Jezabeel Handicap 1000m

Olivier has been in sparkling form and pay to ignore his past efforts down the straight. Has won at his past two starts over 1100m at Caulfield. He actually is chasing a hat-trick here and, with Jake Bayliss’ 2kg claim, will carry just 52kg.

Bullpit will relish his return to the short-course straight racing here. He has built a workmanlike record of a win and two placings from five starts over this trip. He is better suited here than down the straight six at his last start on May 21.

Hard Romp is looming for a win with two good efforts back from a spell. Trainer Ciaron Maher has freshened the gelding with a 35-day break. He had a pipe-opener with a slick effort over to run second over 800m in a trial at Cranbourne on May 23.

Reldas is resuming here from a spell. Trainer Robert Smerdon gave the son of Testa Rossa a hit out where he ran third unpressured over 800m at Cranbourne on May 23. He carries 60kg with Chris Parnham to ride.

SELECTIONS: No10 OLIVIER, No6 Bullpit, No4 Hard Romp, No1 Reldas

R9 4.38pm Comic Court Handicap 1400m

Aurum Spirit won over 1600m at Sandown two starts ago and he gave another good effort to run third to Mihany over 1600m here on May 21. He carried 58.5kg last start and drops to 55.5kg with the claim of apprentice Beau Mertens. He has been most reliable.

Must Be Mink has been most reliable finishing in the top four at her past five starts. She met her own sex when scoring a ¾ length win over 1400m at Cranbourne on May 20. She was a $3.60 favourite that day and with Jake Bayliss’ 2kg claim she drops to 55.5kg.

Here To There won three in a row earlier this year. He has been freshened with a 35-day gap since his last start over 1600m here on April 23. He led that day and fought hard but peaked inside the last 150m. He is each-way chance in an open race.

Caprese was checked and caught three deep before finishing fifth over 1200m at Sandown on May 28. He carried 58.5kg that day but the five year old drops to 56.5kg with the claim of apprentice Thomas Sadler. He makes good each-way claims here.

SELECTIONS: No5 Aurum Spirit, No11 Must Be Mink, No2 Here To There, No6 Caprese
VALUE RUNNER: No2 Here To There

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