Caulfield Betting Tips

Group racing returns to Caulfield this Saturday with the running of the G3 Sir John Monash Stakes.

Thu, 14 Jul, 12:00 AM
Group racing returns to Caulfield this Saturday with the running of the G3 Sir John Monash Stakes (1100m) under weight-for-age conditions.

The track is currently rated a Soft 5, but with some promising weather around, we could run on a Good 4.

The rail is out 10m for the entire circuit, which should see fair racing.

QUADDIES (Races: 6-7-8-9)

SKINNY PLAY: 4,9 / 3,8 / 1,13 / 1,2,8

WIDE PLAY: 1,3,4,5,6,9 / 1,3,8 / 1,3,6,12,13,14,15 / 1,2,3,8,10

R1 11.50pm TROA supports Jockeys Trust Handicap 1200m

SEBRIKKA could not have been more impressive winning at Ballarat back in May. She settled in the second-half of the field before powering home to defeat Curvature, who then bolted in at his next start before finishing second to the promising Trenchant. Sebrikka's sectionals last start were those of a horse who is going to be winning more races.

WAZZENME raced well last start and came within a neck of a good type. Prior to that, he won at huge odds on debut at Bendigo so you can't fault what he's produced so far. He maps nicely here for Michael Walker and the winkers go on for the first time.

GLORIETTE is interesting here first up. Three of four runs to this point have been in stakes company and she has run well in all of them. She just missed in a solid-rating maiden first up last prep. She gets Williams on board who’s in good form and chasing a premiership.

SO SI BON bumped into a good one on debut at Flemington. He’s bred to appreciate the step up in trip - albeit just 100m - and the blinkers go on to sharpen him up.

HAVILDAR looks a decent each-way hope. He was terrific on debut before just battling in the Listed Talindert Stakes (1100m). Happy to forgive that run given many horses fail at their first go down the Flemington straight. The Maher-trained colt won a recent Pakenham synthetic trial by 2.5L.

SELECTIONS: No10 SEBRIKKA, No3 Wazzenme, No5 Gloriette, No4 So Si Bon

VALUE RUNNER: No6 Havildar

R2 12.25pm ACJC Racing 101 HANDICAP 1200m

MAJESTIC LASS has been given time since making a winning debut for this stable at Geelong. Nice filly and she can handle the step back up to this class. Right up to winning it.

LADY ESPRIT was a touch disappointing last time given she had the right run but she might be better getting up to 1200m and finding her feet early.

ANATOLA was disappointing first-up after being given the market support. She is clearly held in high regard and showed plenty of ability in her first prep. She can improve quickly again here.

POWERFUL STORY races better on the speed, but this means she’ll have to be hard ridden from the outside barrier. If she can settle outside of the leader, she should give a strong kick in the straight with just 52.5kg on her back.

STYLEMAKER has each-way claims at big odds. She was in the worst part of the track first up and did a good job to hold on to third. She stepped up to 1300m last start and loomed as a winning hope at the 200m before just peaking on her run. She drops to just 51kg (from 59kg).

SELECTIONS: No3 MAJESTIC LASS, No2 Lady Esprit, No4 Anatola, No7 Powerful Story

VALUE RUNNER: No12 Stylemaker

R3 1.00pm Wilson Medic One Handicap 2000m

FEARLESS RAIDER can turn the tables on Hursley from their last encounter at this track/distance. The latter stays at 60kg and has drawn outside of Fearless Raider, who drops 2kg and gets senior jockey Dwayne Dunn. The margin was 2.2L here two weeks ago but Fearless Raider didn't enjoy the clearest of runs in the straight.

HURSLEY won that race and has to be considered again. Williams gave him a great steer there and he gives them more weight today, but he has to be respected all the same.

O'LONERA ran on well to grab third and that was a third up peak which he should go on with. Based on that run, he’s definitely a chance.

PERFECT LIFELINE at least warrants consideration on his last performance, even though it was on a synthetic track. He won by an ever-increasing 4L and his closing sectionals were pretty impressive. The rise to 2000m should only suit him based on his breeding.

SELECTIONS: No2 FEARLESS RAIDER, No1 Hursley, No3 O’Lonera, No7 Perfect Lifeline

VALUE RUNNER: No7 Perfect Lifeline

R4 1.38pm Rockmount Pretraining Handicap 2000m

KAPOUR was no match for Longeron last time but meets him a couple of kilos better now and he has big upside on that run having been just second up there. He should be ready to run right to his peak and that gives him a big chance of turning the tables.

SCHERZOSO is going well and the step to 2000m looks a positive for him now. He can measure up against this company.

LONGERON is absolutely flying at the moment and isn't to be dismissed lightly. Clearly the best win of his career last time he raced here and no reason to think that he doesn't run right up to that level again.

BONDEIGER was disappointing at his first start for Weir but he has performed well second-up in the past. Williams jumps aboard and he strikes a firmer track, which should see him be competitive.

SELECTIONS: No3 KAPOUR, No8 Scherzoso, No1 Longeron, No6 Bondeiger

VALUE RUNNER: No9 Temps Voleur

R5 2.15pm TAB support Jockeys Trust Handicap 1400m

DIVINE MR ARTIE got too far back last time. He doesn't have to be as far back here and gets a true tempo to run at. He was big late in the piece to be beaten by the narrowest of margins and if he performs similar to that, then he should be very hard to beat here.

MR INDIVIDUAL went forward last time and recaptured his form. He has options from the good draw, which allows jockey Ben Thompson to be more relaxed. Expect them to be close by and his best form gives him a top chance.

TWISTING TYPHOON was ridden much closer last start and showed good improvement. He led until the shadows of the post but was just swamped late. He stays at 1400m and should strip fitter but he does rise an extra 2.5kg on his last run. The firmer the track the better for this Price-trained gelding.

INDIANA WOLF went better than his eighth at this track/distance last start suggests. He was sluggish into stride and was inclined to over-race in behind horses through the middle stages. He was left a touch flat-footed when the pace quickened in the straight but his final 200m was encouraging. He should be able to settle closer from barrier 4.

SELECTIONS: No2 DIVINE MR ARTIE, No1 Mr Individual, No10 Twisting Typhoon, No12 Indiana Wolf

VALUE RUNNER: No12 Indiana Wolf

R6 2.55pm National Jockeys Trust Plate 1400m

MARWOOD is back sharply in class after running well behind a couple of good horses here last time. That form puts him right in the thick of the action at this level and he is the one to beat.

CAMDUS just needs an inch of luck and he can win this. The form from his last race has really stood up and he should appreciate the weaker company. He attacks the line strongly and the tempo of this race should suit him.

SO DOES HE won with a bit of authority here last time and has to be respected again off that. Tends to hold his form once he has found it.

HARD CALL has drawn to settle in the first three and he comes back to BM78 grade after an outstanding BM84 win here two-back. He had to do too much work over the mile here last start and has been freshened for this.

SELECTIONS: No4 MARWOOD, No9 Camdus, No1 So Does He, No3 Hard Call


R7 3.35pm LUCRF Super supports Jockeys Plate 1400m

DUKE OF BRUNSWICK is hard-fit, well-drawn and he just never runs a bad race. He's had eight starts over this trip for two wins and five minor placings and he always runs well at his home track. He is capable of all types of ground and Dwayne Dunn is yet to finish worse than second from four rides on the gelding. He is undoubtedly the safe play in this race.

ULMANN meets Duke of Brunswick 2kg better for a 1.5L margin here last start. That was his first run for the Weir stable and he's sure to derive great benefit from the outing. He can be tardy to begin, which makes the inside alley a slight concern. If he jumps cleanly and can push through on the inside of his main rival he'll be hard to roll. HOSTING can improve quickly on the first up run. He was never in the hunt there but looks better suited up in trip and with that run under his belt.

LORD DURANTE was very good at Sandown two starts back but didn't really fire a shot last start after covering a bit of extra ground on a track suiting on-pacers. He maps perfectly here and can improve sharply on that last start performance.

SELECTIONS: No3 DUKE OF BRUNSWICK, No8 Ulmann, No1 Hosting, No4 Lord Durante


R8 4.15pm PFD Food Services Sir John Monash Stakes 1100m

FAST 'N' ROCKING will appreciate the speed that is going to be prominent in this race. He hasn't got the reputation of a reliable horse, but his form over the past 12 months would suggest that he can be relied upon to run his race. He’ll be hard to hold out over the final stages.

WILD RAIN does tick plenty of boxes here. Oliver should get a nice cart across the field with Lord Of The Sky drawn on his immediate inside and she's shown in the past that she doesn't mind punching the breeze. She boasts six top-two finishes in seven runs over this trip and her second to The Quarterback when resuming last campaign is definitely good enough for this.

GIRL GUIDE was enormous when resuming over this route back in April after seemingly losing all form. She was well-backed at her next outing but floundered in the wet at Warrnambool and was immediately spelled. She's drawn well for Craig Williams and should figure in the finish.

RUNSATI ran very well first up at Flemington and that form has worked out. He appears to be back better than ever on that evidence and looks an each way contender in this despite the 58.5kg being against him.

SELECTIONS: No1 FAST ‘N’ ROCKING, No13 Wild Rain, No14 Girl Guide, No12 Runsati

VALUE RUNNER: No12 Runsati

R9 4.50pm Handicap 1200m

BEIRUT has dominated her races from the front in recent times and on paper this is set up for her to do the same. Although stepping up in class here, she should be hard to catch from barrier 7 with only 54.5kg.

VIBRANT ROUGE is ready to fire after a couple of runs back. Plenty of merit in her latest and this is well within range for her. If there is a little knock it is that she has typically been much better first and second up, but with a new stable this campaign that could change.

MY SISTER LIL is an interesting runner here for astute Cranbourne trainer John Price. Just two starts back she finished 0.4L off Azkadellia, which is obviously top form for this race. Her record over this trip is outstanding (7:4-0-2) and she does have a terrific first-up record (5:2-0-2).

ELLE EXCITE has minor claims, particularly if the track is favouring the swoopers by this stage of the day. She is far from consistent but can bob up at odds.

SELECTIONS: No8 BEIRUT, No1 Vibrant Rouge, No2 My Sister Lil, No12 Elle Excite

VALUE RUNNER: No12 Elle Excite

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