Racing returns to Warrnambool, but with the wet weather dominating, the track will be rain-affected and tipping difficult.
The track is rated a Heavy 10 with the rail at eight metres for the entire circuit.
The penetrometer is 6.8.
Showers are forecast with a cold day on a maximum of 13C after a minimum of 6C.
JOHNNY DOWRY won’t get it any easier than this. He won over 2400m at Bendigo before finishing a fair sixth over 2350m here on June 23. Had plenty of trials and respect.
BEAN TRAC faces a weak bunch here and he has had the racing to say he is fit enough. The query is the distance, but if he is ever going to get a crack at winning, he gets his chance here.
DON’T BE SHY broke her maiden status over 2000m three starts ago. This is an awful race to begin the quaddie. She is race-hardened and likes the wet.
MARCKS MAHA is a maiden at eight starts. He is only four-years-old and can improve. Ran fourth on a bog here over 2350m after leading on August 4. Race fit.
SELECTIONS: No4 JOHNNY DOWRY, No2 Bean Trac, No7 Don’t Be Shy, No11 Marcks Maha VALUE RUNNER: No11 Marcks Maha
R7 3.30pm Ponting Bros BM64 Handicap 2047m
FINE EMBERS goes up 2kg to 61kg but has been winning in good style and chasing a hat-trick. Ploughed through the mud to score over 2100m at Echuca last start and can repeat.
AAGAS ploughed through the heavy going to win over 1623m at Moe two starts back before running home steadily to run sixth over 1771m at Sale last start. Chance in moderate bunch.
LAVISH MACTAVISH has plenty of upside having raced only twice. Broke-through first-up over 1600m and from a wide gate (11) is sure to go back. Will be finishing on.
VENTURA HIGHWAY showed sharp improvement to win on a bog at Echuca at his third start over 1600m at $31. Can keep improving.
SELECTIONS: No2 FINE EMBERS, No3 Aagas, No6 Lavish Mactavish, No7 Ventura Highway VALUE RUNNER: No7 Ventura Highway
R8 4pm R & M Security Services BM70 Handicap 1700m
WOOLSTHORPE STORE won impressively when he ploughed through the mud over 1700m here on August 4. With apprentice Chelsea Hall’s 2kg claim will carry a kilo less on 58kg.
ROBBIE’S STAR returned from a break to post a good win at Bendigo, before up a grade and ran on well to claim fourth place over 1800m at Sandown on August 10. Likes the wet and one of the better chances.
HOLBEIN PRINCE won well at Swan Hill over 1600m before he was pushed up a grade and ran fourth over 1600m at Sandown on August 10. Seasoned galloper and likes the wet.
JUST CALL ME BRUCE is the old man of this race at nine-years-old. He is racing well and ran second to Woolsthorpe Store at his last outing here over 1700m on August 4. Each-way.
SELECTIONS: No1 WOOLSTHORPE STORE, No7 Robbie’s Star, No10 Holbein Prince, No6 Just Call Me Bruce VALUE RUNNER: No10 Holbein Prince
R9 4.30pm Northeast Stockdale and Leggo BM64 Handicap 1100m
SHORTSPRESSO loves the wet and comes here with a win and a second over the short sprints. His record here is three placings at five starts. Can break the ice.
COPERNICUS has had his hoof on the till with two handy seconds on provincial tracks on heavy going. Apprentice Ethan Brown’s 2kg claim will see him carry 57.5kg.
EQUIETTO is a lightly raced four-year-old who has won and been placed third at his three starts. Runs here first-up with no trials or jump-outs. He is bred to handle the wet and take on trust.
RAIN FAST won two straight before disappointed when finishing ninth over 1300m at Bendigo on August 14. Her two wins were on bog tracks. Give another chance.
SELECTIONS: No2 SHORTSPRESSO, No4 Copernicus, No5 Equietto, No7 Rain Fast VALUE RUNNER: No5 Equietto