The wet weather continues to taunt punters in their search for winners this spring with showers forecast and the track already rated a Soft 5 and likely to deteriorate.
The penetrometer is at 5.45 with the rail out five metres from the 1700m to the 800m and six metres for the remainder of the track.
QUADDIES (Races: 6-7-8-9)
SKINNY PLAY: 3,5,6,8 / 1,2,5 / 2,4 / 3,4
WIDE PLAY: 1,2,3,5,6,8,10 / 1,2,3,5,8,9 / 2,4,6,10, 11 / 1,2,3,4,9
BEST BET: R3, No2 Styleman.
NEXT BEST BET: R4, No2 Savvy Bandit.
BEST ROUGHIE: R5, No1 My Sister Lil.
R1 1pm LAURELS FUNCTION CENTRE MAIDEN PLATE 1738m
POSITIVE CARRY is a New Zealand visitor who created a big impression when powering into second place over 1411m here on September 11. Big riding change with premier Melbourne jockey Craig Williams and sure to be heavily backed again.
SAGONI looms as the main danger after his strong first-up effort when working home well to finish second to Harlow Road over 1400m at Pakenham on September 1.
ALABAMA CHARGE is bound to be improved on first-up third to Desert Gray and Positive Carry in a 1411m here on September 11. The extra distance will suit.
MISS DUBOIS hails from noted staying trainer Patrick Payne and warmed up nicely for her first hit out with a smart win over 1200m in a trial at Wangaratta on September 6.
SELECTIONS: No12 POSITIVE CARRY, No8 Sagoni, No1 Alabama Charge, No6 Miss Dubois.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 Miss Dubois.
R2 1.30pm NEWRY FENCING CONTRACTORS MAIDEN PLATE 1421m
JUST REWARDS has a new rider with Luke Nolen taking the reins. Has been ultra-consistent and has a superior draw here in gate (4) than last start when jumped from 13 to finish third over 1300m at Sandown on September 7. The one to beat.
ROYAL SHAME rates as the biggest danger because can take some catching if allowed to bowl along in front. His rematch with Just Rewards after finishing second over 1300m at Sandown on September 7 should be an enticing affair.
POP QUEEN proved expensive to those who took the $1.90 odds when finishing second over 1300m at Cranbourne on August 28. Has been freshened to make restitution here.
INTERCHANGE EMILY was unwanted at $41 in the betting second up but ran a cracker to run second over 1216m at Moe on September 6. The extra distance should suit and has each-way claims.
SELECTIONS: No4 JUST REWARDS, No8 Royal Shame, No12 Pop Queen, No10 Interchange Emily.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 Interchange Emily.
R3 2pm GIBSON GROUNDSPREAD 3YO BM64 HANDICAP 1421m
STYLEMAN (BEST BET) was super impressive in romping home to a 6 ½ length win at his maiden over 1200m at Pakenham on September 12. Luke Nolen keeps the ride and he is at better value than $1.50 offered last start and has a superior draw in (4). Looks the one to beat.
SELECTIONS: No2 STYLEMAN, No8 Bella Sorellastra, No7 Charlton, No1 Barbie’s Boy.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 Bella Sorellastra.
R4 2.30pm XMAS BREAKUPS SUN 4TH DEC BM64 HANDICAP` 2236m
SAVVY BANDIT (NEXT BEST BET) is a New Zealander who gave a great effort to romp home by 1 ½ lengths over 2000m at Geelong at his second Australian start on September 9. Expect further improvement with Melbourne’s premier jockey Craig Williams as the new hoop, but should be at better odds than $1.80 set last time.
SELECTIONS: No2 SAVVY BANDIT, No3 Mr Satnav, No7 Ropeadope, No1 Darlux.
VALUE TIP: No7 Ropeadope.
R5 3pm NO1 CAR WASH BM78 HANDICAP 1421m
DATA POINT comes into this race with solid form having run second to Pay Up Bro over 1400m at Sandown first-up on August 31. Has also chased home He’s Our Rokki who is flying and makes strong appeal here fresh.
MY SISTER LIL (BEST ROUGHIE) has been racing without luck and gave a good effort to claim 12th place in the Group 2 Let’s Elope Stakes (1400m) at Flemington on September 10. Finished under three lengths shy of the winner and top jockey Damian Lane rides.
MOSS ‘N’ DALE gets his chance to win again after winning two starts ago at Sandown. Latest ran third over 1514m at Moonee Valley, beating home today’s rival Hokkaido, on September 3.
HOKKAIDO is right at his top now following a solid run to finish ninth over 1514m at Moonee Valley on September 3. That was a good effort and will relish this distance.
SELECTIONS: No8 DATA POINT, No1 My Sister Lil, No5 Moss ‘N’ Dale, No4 Hokkaido.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 My Sister Lil.
R6 3.30pm LJ HOOKER SALE BM70 HANDICAP 1210m
BOB OF THE HEAD drops a grade here on first run for 106 days when finishing fifth over 1100m at Geelong on September 4. Has a superior draw in gate (2) and Jamie Mott remains the pilot in a race where he looks to be well-suited.
BALLY PADDY likes to lope along running up forward and will drop 3kg with Jack Martin’s 2kg claim to 55.5kg on his last start when carried 58.5kg finishing second over 1205m here on September 11.
GEORGIE’S LUCE is down in class on her last-start seventh in the Rivette Series Final over 1600m at Flemington 74 days ago. She won over 1411m at her last start at this track and warrants respect fresh.
FACE FORWARD has the blinkers going back on and gets a relief in class. Latest start was outgunned down the straight 1200m at Flemington on August 6. This is far easier around a bend.
SELECTIONS: No3 BOB OF THE HEAD, No6 Bally Paddy, No8 Georgie’s Luce, No5 Face Forward.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 Face Forward.
R7 4pm TYREPOWER SALE F&M BM64 HANDICAP 1110m
SCUZI is a lightly-raced daughter of Magnus who should be strong here first-up. Was spelled after finishing seventh at Sandown on March 16. Ace jockey Damien Oliver is booked here.
DOC’S HERO has plenty of speed and sure to be prominent. Latest ran second over 1116m at Moe on September 6 carrying 57.5kg. She is up to 59.5kg here but rates highly.
BALTIC AMBER won at her second start over 1005 in a maiden last start on September 3. This is stronger and goes up 3.5kg to 56.5kg but Linda Meech keeps the ride.
SAFARIANN gets her chance here against her own sex in mild opposition. Down in class on her last-start ninth in the Group 3 Kevin Hayes Stakes at Caulfield on February 13.
SELECTIONS: No5 Scuzi, No2 Doc’s Hero, No9 Baltic Amber, No1 Safariann.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 Safariann.
R8 4.30pm SALE CUP 23RD OCTOBER F&M BM70 HANDICAP 1421m
WHIRLPOOL showed she was on key for a bold first-up effort to win a barrier trial over 1000m at Pakenham on August 25. Has an excellent first-up record and looks the one to beat.
PURE PRIDE had no luck whatsoever first-up when running seventh over 1200m at Cranbourne on August 28. She drops 3kg to 55.5kg and makes strong appeal fresh.
MILES OF KRISHAN will be sharply improved on her first-up second over 1200m at Pakenham on September 1. She was heavily backed into a $2.45 favourite that day.
LOLA LU ran a great second over 1411m here last start on September 11. She drops a half kilo to 54kg and Craig Newitt stays on board.
SELECTIONS: No2 WHIRLPOOL, No6 Pure Pride, No4 Miles Of Krishan, No11 Lola Lu.
VALUE RUNNER: No11 Lola Lu.
R9 5.05 PANTAC PROTECTIVE SERVICES BM64 HANDICAP 1738m
HE’S THE BOSS was a heavily backed favourite at $2.60 and collected for his punters over 1500m at Geelong on September 4. He goes up 2kg to 59kg but is unbeaten at his two starts.
SKULDUGGERY had no luck at his first start back off a 132-day break when running sixth over 1400m at Geelong on September 4. Has Damien Oliver as his new pilot and would respect.
BATTLES END is an older mare who loves this track. She is fresh here after running fifth over 1800m at Sandown on August 31. Jack Martin’s 2kg claim sees her carry 54.5kg.
FORTHEFUNOFIT lumped 62kg to win over 1628m at Moe last start on September 6. He is down a kilo to 61kg here and Jamie Motts stays on top. Rarely runs a bad race.
SELECTIONS: No3 HE’S THE BOSS, No4 Skulduggery, No9 Battles End, No2 Forthefunofit.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 Battles End