This is going to be one tough meeting with plenty of rain forecast and the track sure to be heavy.
The temperature for the day will be a minimum on 5C and maximum on 11C so the brollies and overcoats are a necessity.
The rail will be at four metres from 1400m to 700m and at the true position for the remainder.
QUADDIES (Races: 5-6-7-8)
SKINNY PLAY: 2,7 / 2,6 / 10 / 1,4,7,9
WIDE PLAY: 2,5,7,8 / 2,4,5,6 / 10 / 1,4,7,9,12,15,16
R5 3pm ADROIT INSURANCE BM70 HANDICAP 2400m
HOUSE OF STARS has been going great guns for apprentice Tahlia Hope, winning at her past two starts on rain-sodden ground. She carried 56.5kg to post a 2 ¼ length win over 2200m at Bendigo on September 2 at her last start. With Hope’s 2kg claim she will carry 55.5kg and is rock solid for this race.
ROPEADOPE was allowed to dictate last start on September 21 and raced away to a four-length win over 2236m at Sale. He carries 56.kg – which is a half kilo drop - and has Jason Lyons staying on top, but he might not get a saloon passage in front again so easily.
DELIGHTFUL SON has been most consistent over the longer journeys. He worked home well to claim third place over 2200m at Pakenham at his last start on September 18. He carried 51kg that time and goes up to 55.5kg with senior jockey Dean Yendall the new rider.
KING OF ROSSA (Best Roughie) has courage in abundance and fought back to win by ¾ of a length over 2200m at Pakenham on September 14. Senior jockey Patrick Holmes replaces apprentice Michael Dee and he goes up 1.5kg to 55.5kg and must be rated a chance.
SELECTIONS: No2 HOUSE OF STARS, No5 Ropeadope, No7 Delightful Son, No8 King Of Rossa
R6 3.30pm BEACH PARTY SAT 15 OCTOBER F&M BM64 HANDICAP 1600m
I’LL FLY AWAY (Next Best Bet) is a Northern Hemisphere-imported mare out of the stables of the high-flying trainer Darren Weir. The daughter of Galileo was super-impressive at her Australian debut when she charged home late to nail Mia Rosa in a 1406m maiden for fillies and mares at Ballarat on September 5. Another bonus win was on a heavy track, which she is bound to strike here. Dean Yendall stays on board and the wide gate in (13) might be diminished by the wet track.
SELECTIONS: No2 I’LL FLY AWAY, No5 Poppiholla, No4 Loveheart Lass, No6 Vibrance
R7 4pm THE WELLINGTON @ BOTANICAL GARDENS BM78 HANDICAP 1400m
LEOTIE (Best Bet) is using this race as a stepping-stone into the Group 1 1000 Guineas (1600m) at Caulfield next month. She is the sole three-year-old in this race, but has the advantage of being on the limit on 54kg and she meets a lesser class of galloper here than she did when winning at Caulfield. Jockey Chris Parnham stays on board and she trialled on a Heavy 10 and won on a Soft 6 at Sale. She likes to swoop over to her opponents and appears too strong. The sole question is the heavy track. She has a record of two wins and a second at four starts.
SELECTIONS: No10 LEOTIE, No1 Baby Don’t Cry, No3 Stylish Miss, No4 Curragh King
R8 4.30pm SCHWEPPES AUSTRALIA BM64 HANDICAP 1400m
BLAZING SOCKS hails from a top stable and would expect improvement on first-up run when worked home strong to claim third place over 1205m at Sale on September 11. Group 1 winning jockey Mark Zahra is the new rider and he carries the same weight on 59kg.
TURFONIC looms as one of the dangers in a deep race to finish this card. Will be sharply improved on first-up run when narrowly pipped on the post by Esprit Warrior over 1200m at Geelong on September 9. The in-form Damian Lane rides again and again carries 59.5kg.
I AM THE DARK might be one of the shining lights as he will love this track. He ran a strong second over 2000m at his last start at Caulfield on July 2. Daniel Moor is his new rider and he rode him in a recent trial at Cranbourne where he showed he was forward to run third over 990m.
BAROOTA is a four-year-old from the stable of Chris Waller. He won impressively by 2 ¾ lengths at his sole start over 1200m at Kembla Grange on February 2. That was on a Heavy 8, so he handles the wet and Melbourne jockey Ben Melham rides.
SELECTIONS: NO9 BLAZING SOCKS, No7 Turfonic, No1 I Am The Dark, No4 Baroota