Melbourne Cup Day Betting Preview

The world’s richest handicap is run on the hollowed grounds of Flemington with the staging of this year’s $6 million Melbourne Cup.

Sun, 30 Oct, 12:00 AM
The world’s richest handicap is run on the hollowed grounds of Flemington with the staging of this year’s $6 million Melbourne Cup.

It is the race that stops a nation and millions of Australians will have their only bet for the year in trying to pick the winner of the Cup.

It is an iconic race and another fantastic episode will be written into the rich history of the Cup today.

It will be another classic mouth-watering clash of stamina, speed and horsemanship over 3200m.

QUADDIES Races: 7-8-9-10

SKINNY QUADDIE 1,4,6,11,12,17,19,20 / 1,9,14,19/ 4,9,13,19 / 3,5,6,11,13,15
QUADDIE: 1,2,4,6,5,7,8,11,1,2,13,17,19,10 / 1,4,9,12,13,14,15, 17,19 / 1,2,3,4,5,7,9,11,13,17,19 / 1,2,3,5,6,7,8,10,11,12,13,14,15

BEST BET: R1, No1 Madeenaty.
NEXT BEST BET: R10, No3 Silent Sedition.
BEST ROUGHIE: R3, No1 Kinema.

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R1 10.40am OTTAWA STAKES 1000m

MADEENATY (BEST BET) is a $750,000 Magic Millions Gold Coast sales graduate who showed she has a heap of untapped ability to win the first two-year-old race for the new season. She fired home like a rocket to give her rivals no chance recording a 2 ½ length win over 1000m here on October 2. Top jockey Mark Zahra again has the job to steer and she only rises a half kilo to 55.5kg for her win. Looks hard to see anything going as quick here.

SELECTIONS: No1 MADEENATY, No2 Time Awaits, No3 Lucky Louie, No8 Balle D’or.

VALUE RUNNER: No8 Balle D’or.

R2 11.20am TAB.COM.AU TROPHY 1700m

MODEL DRAGON is a South Australian mare who comes here with an unblemished record with three starts for three wins. Her trainer Phillip Stokes and jockey Dominic Tourneur have an excellent strike rate at their Melbourne raids.

NASSAK is another very promising young mare with a record of four starts for three wins. She blew away her rivals for a 1 ¾ length win over 1300m at Warwick Farm on October 12 and lacks nothing in horsemanship with Glyn Schofield riding.

SLEEPLESS NIGHTS being a daughter of High Chaparral will appreciate the distance rise. She ran a solid fourth over 1400m at Geelong on October 14 and drops 2kg to 54kg here and has Daniel Moor staying on top.

SELECTIONS: No5 TIDY PROPHET, No11 Model Dragon, No12 Nassak, No14 Sleepless Nights.

VALUE RUNNER: No14 Sleepless Nights.


MURPHY’S DELIGHT hails from the leading Sydney stables of Chris Waller. Waller has booked Hugh Bowman to ride and they won last week’s Cox Plate with Winx so they are strong. He ran a solid second in the Tatt’s Club Cup (2400m) at Randwick last start on October 15.

KINEMA (Roughie) is a Northern Hemisphere import who made a great debut in Australia when running fourth to Qewy in the Geelong Cup (2400m) on October 19. English jockey Ryan Moore takes control and he gives trainer Chris Waller a strong hand.

SUPER HAZE is a lightly-raced son of High Chaparral who is racing in top stead. He won over 2300m at Geelong on October 19 giving him two successive wins in the provincials. Has no weight on 54.5kg with Kerrin McEvoy to ride again.

ALL I SURVEY comes out of the Geelong Cup where he ran a solid fourth over the 2400m on October 19. Apprentice Michael Dee rides but he can’t use his allowance and he looms as an each-way hope on the weights.

SELECTIONS: No3 MURPHY’S DELIGHT, No1 Kinema, No18 Super Haze, No14 All I Survey.



DEMONSTRATE won successive races at Geelong when giving his rivals a lesson in how to win with a 3 ¼ length victory over 1200m in the Dual Choice at Geelong on October 19. James McDonald rides again and is the danger.

SOVEREIGN NATION is a lightly-raced son of Encosta De Lago who ran a good third over 1400m at Geelong on October 12. Mark Zahra replaces Michael Walker and he drops 2.5kg to 57.5kg here.

LUCKY LIBERTY was ridden by Chris Parnham, when he landed consecutive wins at Sale on October 23. He was a drifter from $2.70 to $3.50 but defied the ease to win by a half-length and makes appeal here.

SELECTIONS: No1 RAGEESE, No3 Demonstrate, No4 Sovereign Nation, No6 Lucky Liberty.

VALUE RUNNER: No6 Lucky Liberty.


DREAM FIRST was plunged into the deep end at her debut when she ran third to Sword Of Light in the Blue Diamond Prelude at Caulfield on Australia Day. She then failed at her next start and would forget that run. She resumes here and one to watch.

BIASED WITNESS is a colt by Star Witness. He gave a good effort off a 175-day break when running third over 1000m at Moonee Valley on October 21. He was backed from $7 into $5.50 that day and would keep in mind here.

MANUEL is a lightly-raced colt who has shown plenty of ability. He resumed here after having his last run at Morphettville where he ran fifth over 1050m as a $3 favourite. The in-form Kerrin McEvoy takes the steering wheel.

INVINCIBLE AL has the brother and sister combination of trainer Patrick Payne and sister Michelle, who won the Melbourne Cup last year. He ran a good third in an 800m trial at Cranbourne in his warm up for this and respect.

SELECTIONS: No17 DREAM FIRST, No3 Biased Witness, No13 Manuel, No9 Invincible Al.

VALUE RUNNER: No9 Invincible Al.


SYLPHEED had to do a lot of bullocking work when a red hot $1.90 favourite and running fourth over 1400m against her own sex and age at Caulfield on October 15. She gets a riding change with Sydney’s Tommy Berry replacing the suspended Damien Oliver.

SWEET SHERRY has won two of her past three starts. She won narrowly at Moonee Valley over 1200m when a $4 favourite on October 22. Steven Arnold keeps the ride and she will again make plenty of play despite the quick back-up.

SAMARA DANCER is a South Australian filly who finally gets a decent draw in six. She drops in class here after jumping from (13) to run 11th in the Group 1 Thousand Guineas (1600m) at Caulfield on October 8. Stable rider Dominic Tourneur rides.

MY COUNTRY was scratched from last Saturday at Moonee Valley when hotly fancied. She is racing well and on her last-start second to Hear The Chant in the Group 3 Thoroughbred Club Stakes (1200m) at Caulfield on October 8 she rates highly.

SELECTIONS: No17 SYLPHEED, No3 Sweet Sherry, No1 Samara Dancer, No6 My Country.

VALUE RUNNER: No6 My Country.

Melbourne Cup - Runner by runner analysis

For a detailed runner by runner preview of the 2016 Melbourne Cup, click the above link.


FABRIZIO boasts a record of six wins from ten starts. He ran a ripper in the Group 1 Epsom Handicap and then stamped that form with a 4 ¼ length win over 1600m at Randwick on October 15. Melbourne hoop Luke Nolen rides here.

CURRAGH is a New Zealand galloper showing good form. He has won twice from three Australian starts and he makes appeal on his 1 ¾ length win over 1600m at Moe on October 13. He should be at lucrative odds.

FIRST COURSE was at double figure odds when won over 1600m on a Heavy 9 at Sale on October 13. Ace apprentice Ben Thompson keeps the ride and he has no weight on 54kg and not too badly drawn in (11).

TARQUIN is now race fit and backs up here off a sound third over 2040m at Moonee Valley on October 21. Craig Williams replaces stable jockey James McDonald with his weight down to 54kg a 1.5kg drop on last start.

SELECTIONS: No14 FABRIZIO, No19 Curragh, No15 First Course, No13 Tarquin.

VALUE RUNNER: No19 Curragh.


FAATINAH ran a great race last start when running second to Our Boy Malachi in the Group 2 Caulfield Sprint (1000m) on October 15. The stable has booked top English rider Ryan Moore to steer and rates highly.

ILLUSTRIOUS LAD has been a model of consistency and will again be hard to hold out. He ran a top second to Keen Array over 1200m at Caulfield on October 12. He carried 58kg that day and drops to 55.5kg here.

RUETIGGER gave a solid effort to run sixth to Our Boy Malachi in the Group 2 Caulfield Sprint (1000m) at Caulfield on October 15. Has top jockey Craig Williams on board and will carry no weight on 54kg.

RAVI is having her third start back from a spell and is in fine fettle with a second-up fourth to Sheidel in the Group 3 Northwood Plume (1200m) at Caulfield on October 8. Has no weight on 54kg and a good strike rate.

SELECTIONS: No1 FAATINAH, No4 Illustrious Lad, No9 Ruettiger, No13 Ravi.

VALUE RUNNER: No9 Ruettiger.


SILENT SEDITION (NEXT BEST BET) was specked first-up when firmed from $13 into $11 and she gave a good account to run a close second in the Group 2 Northwood Plume Stakes (1200m) at Caulfield on October 8. The daughter of War Chant only rises a half kilo and she is again drawn to be forward in gate (4). Melbourne’s premier jockey Craig Williams rides and a win here might confirm a trip to Perth for the Group 1 $1 million Railway Stakes (1600m). Hard to beat against her own sex.

SELECTIONS: No3 SILENT SEDITION, No15 Shillelagh, No1 Slightly Sweet, No6 Artistry.

VALUE RUNNER: No6 Artistry.

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