Oaks Day Betting Preview

The running of the time-honoured Crown Oaks sees a top-line field of fillies lining up at Flemington.

Tue, 1 Nov, 12:00 AM
The running of the time-honoured Crown Oaks sees a top-line field of fillies lining up at Flemington.

Yankee Rose is the obvious favourite but there are some tough and hardened Victorian fillies who will be out to repel the star Sydney filly.

A very tough program of nine races here on Ladies Day and winners will be hard to find in the supporting events.

The rail will be at the true position with a track rating of a Good 4. The weather forecast is to be fine with a top of 22C.

QUADDIES Races: 6-7-8-9

SKINNY PLAY: 1,9,11,13 / 1,2,3,4 / 1,3,5 / 4,5,6,7,11
WIDE PLAY: 1,2,3,4,9,11,13 / 1,2,3,4,12 / 1,3,5,6 / 2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,11

BEST BET: R8 No1 Yankee Rose
NEXT BEST BET: R7 No4 Hellbent
BEST ROUGHIE: R8 No2 Missrock

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R1 12.15pm RED ROCK DELI PLATE 1700m

WHIRLPOOL will be fitter now from second-up 10th in the Group 3 Tesio Stakes (1600m) at Moonee Valley on October 22. The distance should suit here and has an important jockey change, with Craig Williams replacing Stephen Baster.

SEA THE SPARKLE can continue on her merry winning way here and keep her unbeaten record intact. She posted a smart win, carrying 59.5kg in the provincials over 1600m on October 18. Drops a kilo to 58.5kg.

HELL OR HIGHWATER is chasing a hat-trick here after landing a convincing 1 ¼ length win over 1600m at Caulfield on October 1. Damien Oliver keeps the ride and she can overcome the weight ride to 60.5kg.

MOUNT OMEI landed a successful protest to claim second place first-up over 1600m at Warwick Farm on October 19. Top Sydney jockey Hugh Bowman rides here for Chris Waller and is a big danger.

SELECTIONS: No17 Whirlpool, No4 Sea The Sparkle, No1 Hell Or Highwater, No5 Mount Omei.

VALUE RUNNER: No1 Hell Or Highwater.

R2 12.55pm TWITTER TROPHY 1800m

DATA POINT was an easing $2.35 favourite when running second over 2000m at Caulfield on October 12. Luke Nolen keeps the ride and drops 1.5kg to 54kg here. Has been costly to favourite backers but can make amends.

GET THE PICTURE has a massive weight drop from 60kg to 54kg and can redeem. Last start ran 10th second up over 1700m at Geelong on October 19. Will be fitter now and expect a forward showing here.

CURRAGH has won or been placed second twice at past four starts. Latest was an easing $2.35 when finishing second over 1600m at Moonee Valley on October 28. Michael Walker is replaced by Damien Oliver here.

ENCOSTA LINE is bound to strip fitter after jumping up to 2000m when finishing third at Randwick on October 22. Ben Melham rides for the leading Sydney stable of Chris Waller and looms as one of the dangers in an open race.

SELECTIONS: No16 DATA POINT, No17 Get The Picture, No7 Curragh, No4 Encosta Line.

VALUE RUNNER: No4 Encosta Line.


ROCK FORTHE LADIES defied a betting drift from $2.30 to $3.40 to post a smart win over 1400m at Randwick on October 22. Top Sydney jockey Blake Shinn replaces Tim Clark and has performed well in Melbourne before.

MURT THE FLIRT is racing well and can stretch winning streak to two straight wins here. Latest carried 58kg to win over 1400m at Caulfield on October 12. Chris Symons will ride at 57kg and drawn ideally in gate (3).

FABULONH gets a new rider with top Melbourne jockey Damien Oliver taking the reins and drops from 58.5kg to 54kg here on last start win over 1400m on a Heavy 8 at Warrnambool on October 5. Has good claims.

ONEROUS was specked into $7 at second-up run when finishing third over 1200m at Randwick on October 22. Drops down from 61kg to 57.5kg and gets ace Sydney jockey Hugh Bowman to steer here for Chris Waller.

SELECTIONS: No1 ROCK FORTHE LADIES, No4 Murt The Flirt, No9 Fabulonh, No2 Onerous.

VALUE RUNNER: No2 Onerous.


GRANDE ROSSO was heavily backed from $5.50 into $3.90 and landed the money with a good win over 1400m at Bendigo on October 20. Top jockey Damian Lane will ride at 54kg again and makes appeal in an open event.

POLAR VORTEX disappointed his backers when plunged from $3.20 into $2.60 and finished fifth over 1700m at Geelong on October 14. He drops from 57.5kg to 54kg and has Stephen Baster again to steer here.

REFULGENT was solid in betting at $5.50 when landed the money with a smart win for jockey Brad Rawiller over 1600m at Moonee Valley on October 21. Carries the same weight on 58.5kg and rates as a good chance again.

MIHANY can make amends for a disappointing fifth under 60kg when at $5.50 throughout to Refulgent over 1600m at Moonee Valley on October 21. Drops two kilos to 58kg and apprentice Regan Bayliss rides again.

SELECTIONS: No4 GRANDE ROSSO, No11 Polar Vortex, No1 Refulgent, No2 Mihany.

VALUE RUNNER: No11 Polar Vortex.

R5 2.55pm TCL QUHD TV STAKES 1800m

EXOCET gave a big run to finish alongside subsequent Group 1 winner I Am A Star in a close finish when fourth in the Group 2 Fillies Classic (1600m) at Moonee Valley on October 22. Dwayne Dunn rides again and she drops 3kg to 54kg.

NEMRUD can rebound on his last start ninth when an easing $5.20 chance to Captain Duffy in the Geelong Classic (2200m) on October 19. Stable jockey James McDonald rides again and makes appeal here.

HESSDALEN came in for strong support when backed into $9 before finishing fast to run a close second over 1600m at Randwick on October 15. Damien Oliver is the new rider and he drops a kilo to 56kg here.

RIGHTEOUS MATE broke his maiden status at his second start when posting a smart win over 1600m for jockey Tommy Berry at Gosford on October 13. Top Sydney jockey Hugh Bowman takes the ride here.

SELECTIONS: No13 EXOCET, No1 Nemrud, No2 Hessdalen, No5 Righteous Mate.

VALUE RUNNER: No5 Righteous Mate.

R6 3.35pm L'OREAL PARIS STAKES 1400m

RAGEESE was beaten by a smart galloper when starting as a red-hot $1.90 favourite to finish a close second over 1500m at Moonee Valley on October 21. Damian Lane rides at the lightweight on 54kg, which is a drop of 5.5kg here.

CLEARLY INNOCENT will be ridden by Melbourne Cup winning jockey Kerrin McEvoy, replacing Tommy Berry. Was a drifter from $4.20 to $6.50 when running fourth over 1200m second-up at Caulfield on October 12 and drops 3.5kg to 54kg here.

FEDERAL can improve sharply on his last-start fourth in the Crystal Mile at Moonee Valley on October 22. Stable jockey James McDonald rides again and he gets a big decrease in weight down from 59kg to 54.5kg and has drawn on the rail to get a soft run.

TAKEDOWN struck a horse in full flight when running second to Voodoo Lad in the Moonga Stakes (1400m) at Caulfield on October 15. He previously had won two straight at Randwick and has Blake Shinn again to steer in his mission to score a Melbourne win here.

SELECTIONS: No13 RAGEESE, No11 Clearly Innocent, No9 Federal, No1 Takedown.

VALUE RUNNER: No1 Takedown.

R7 4.15pm MUMM STAKES 1000m

HELLBENT (NEXT BEST BET) is looming as a future star. He has had six weeks to recover from his mishap in the stabling area at Caulfield and is fully capable of a big showing here. He won by 2 ¼ lengths last start over 1100m at Caulfield on September 24. Top jockey Mark Zahra replaces Craig Williams here and he has an outstanding record of 11 starts from six wins and two placings. He strikes a strong field here but is capable of the rise.

SELECTIONS: No4 HELLBENT, No1 Terravista, No3 Redzel, No2 Flamberge.

VALUE RUNNER: No2 Flamberge.

R8 5pm CROWN OAKS 2500m

YANKEE ROSE (BEST BET) deserves to be the red-hot $1.65 favourite for the Oaks on her great third behind the freakish mare Winx and Hartnell, who ran third in the Melbourne Cup on Tuesday, in the weight-for-age championship of the Cox Plate (2040m) at Moonee Valley on October 22. She won the Group 1 Spring Champion Stakes at her prior Sydney start and was second in last season’s Group 1 Golden Slipper at Rosehill. She drops back to racing against her own sex and age here and is clearly the dominant filly.

SELECTIONS: No1 YANKEE ROSE, No2 Missrock, No7 Harlow Gold, No5 Eleonora.

VALUE RUNNER: No2 Missrock (Roughie)


SPRIGHT is a daughter of leading sire Hinchinbrook and can land a hat-trick here. She landed her second straight win in good style over 1200m at Randwick on October 15. She gets Melbourne Cup winning rider Kerrin McEvoy to ride.

KENTUCKY MISS has an awkward alley (16) but she is flying, landing her second win in a row over 1100m at Warwick Farm on October 12. Top Melbourne jockey Damien Oliver gets the job to steer here.

FAITH’S ENCORE gave a top effort to run third to Kentucky Miss over 1100m at Warwick Farm on October 12. She has a new rider with Melbourne based jockey Mark Zahra taking the reins and can threaten.

SUPER TOO has an unblemished first-up record of two starts for two wins. She showed she was primed for a strong first-up assault with a strong 1 ¼ length win in an 805m trial at Warwick Farm on October 18.

SELECTIONS: No4 SPRIGHT, No5 Kentucky Miss, No11 Faith’s Encore, No7 Super Too.

VALUE RUNNER: No7 Super Too.

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