Pakenham Betting Preview | Horse Racing Tips
Racing returns to Pakenham for the running of the Pakenham Cup
Thu, 1 Dec, 12:00 AM
Racing returns to Pakenham for the running of the Pakenham Cup, and after several Thursday night meetings, the club hosts a major Saturday meeting.
A strong card of nine races is set and leading trainer Darren Weir again holds a strong hand throughout the proceedings.
There are a few competitive races so be wary but the track is rated at a Good 4 and the rail is in at the true position, so there should be fair racing.
The weather forecast is fine.
QUADDIES Races: 6-7-8-9
SKINNY PLAY: 1,2,4,6 / 2,5,6,9 / 1,2,3,5,8 / 5,9,13,14,15
QUADDIE PLAY: 1,2,3,4,5,6 / 1,2,4,5,6,7,9,10 / 1,2,3,5,6,8,15 / 2,5,6,8,9,13,14,15
BEST BET: R1, No1 Wise Hero.
NEXT BEST BET: R9, No5 Palmera Lad.
BEST ROUGHIE: R8, No1 Burning Front.
R1 1pm O'CONNOR 3YO BM70 HANDICAP 1000m
WISE HERO (BEST BET) is out to keep intact his unblemished record with trainer John Price. He has looked super imposing at two starts for a runaway four-length win at Sale before blowing apart his opposition over 1200m at Moonee Valley on November 26. He backs up here and with leading apprentice Ben Allen’s 2kg claim he will carry 58kg, which is a half kilo more than he carried to win last start at the Valley. He will be tight in the odds but should get punters off on the right note.
SELECTIONS: No1 WISE HERO, No2 Liberty Song, No4 Invincible Al, No8 Divertente.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 Divertente.
R2 1.35pm SPORTSBET RACING FORM HANDICAP 1200m
GALLANT HARMONY resumed off a 29-day break to post a comprehensive one length win as a $7.50 chance over 1200m at Ballarat on November 19. He gets apprentice Brandon Stockdale’s 3kg allowance to whittle his weight down to 52kg.
SMART DART was beaten by Gallant Harmony last start over 1200m at Ballarat on November 19. Apprentice Ben Thompson keeps the ride and his claim sees him carry just 52kg here. Looks like a good match race on paper.
IT IS WRITTEN can bounce back from a disappointing seventh to Gallant Harmony at Ballarat over 1200m on November 19. He gets a change of rider with apprentice Jye McNeil taking the reins and he carries only 54.5kg.
BOB OF THE HEAD made ground late to claim third placing over 1200m at Moonee Valley on November 11. Jamie Mott is replaced by the popular Harry Coffey and he again looms as some chance here.
SELECTIONS: No3 Gallant Harmony, No5 Smart Dart, No2 It Is Written, No7 Bob Of The Head.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 Bob Of The Head.
R3 2.10pm VIATEK BM78 HANDICAP 1000m
ROYAL SPINNER ran a close second to Smart Dart, who is well fancied in the previous race over 1200m at Kyneton on November 2. He gets the 2kg claim of experienced apprentice Beau Mertens here and will carry just 55kg in an open race.
I AM THE GENERAL returns home after a raid in Adelaide where he ran second over 1000m at Morphettville on November 19. With apprentice Jack Martin riding he gets 3kg off his listed weight down to 52kg.
A PRIVATE PARTY is capable of handling the rise in class. He ran a good fourth over 1000m at Sandown on November 16. With apprentice Brandon Stockman’s 3kg claim he will carry 55kg but the barrier (12) is a setback.
TANGO ROCK is a lightly-raced galloper with an outstanding record of two wins and two seconds at seven starts. Not raced since finishing ninth down the straight 1000m at Flemington on July 9 and gets ace jockey Craig Williams to pilot.
SELECTIONS: No7 ROYAL SPINNER, No12 I Am The General, No6 A Private Party, No13 Tango Rock.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 Tango Rock.
R4 2.45pm MOMENTUM GAMING F&M BM78 HANDICAP 1400m
MATERNAL has been in excellent form and gets her chance to rebound into the winners’ enclosure after a good third over 1600m at Sandown at $4.40 on November 16. She gets the services of top hoop Craig Williams and is strong.
DIAMOND BARONESS looms as a danger on her good fourth over 1200m at Ballarat on November 19. She again races against her own sex here and has a riding change with Luke Nolen replacing Mark Zahra and drops a half kilo to 56kg.
AZ GIVEN gets some weight relief here after carrying 60kg when ridden by Michael Dee to finish eighth over 1400m against her own sex at Sandown on November 23. Ben Thompson’s 2kg claim sees her carry 55kg here.
CHEEKY BABE had no answer to the winner Entrancing but battled away okay when finishing second over 1200m at Ballarat on November 14. She was the $2.80 favourite that day and will carry only 53.5kg with the 2kg claim of Ben Allen.
SELECTIONS: No9 MATERNAL, No8 Diamond Baroness, No4 Az Given, No5 Cheeky Babe
VALUE RUNNER: No4 Az Given.
R5 3.25pm WISE CHOICE CATERING 3YO BM70 HANDICAP 1400m
SNITZSON is a lightly raced galloper with a heap of upside. He can win again after breaking his maiden at his second start over 1300m at Cranbourne on November 19. He gets the benefit of having Victoria’s premier jockey Craig Williams take the reins and he drops a half kilo to 56.5kg.
FUSE was at the long odds of $18 when posting a smart win over 1400m at Ballarat on November 19. Clashes against a clever galloper in Snitzon but has kept Linda Meech on board. He does go up a bit in weight, rising two kilos to 57kg, which is a test.
MADAM MOUTON was a notable drifter from $6.50 to $10 before finishing a sound second over 1300m at Sandown on November 16. She gets Ben Thompson’s 2kg claim which sees her carry a mere 52kg in this deep race, but the barrier (14) is a drawback.
BALLET MASTER came in for some support when backed from $14 into $10 before finishing a close third over 1300m at Sandown on November 16. Has a jockey change with Damien Oliver being replaced by Craig Newitt and gets weight relief, down 3kg to 56kg.
SELECTIONS: No6 SNITZSON, No3 Fuse, No14 Madam Mouton, No7 Ballet Master.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 Ballet Master.
R6 4.00pm SCHWEPPES DAVID BOURKE MEMORIAL HANDICAP 1600m
MIHANY gave a good effort when finishing fourth to the ex-WA galloper Hazzabeel in the Kilmore Cup (1600m) on November 20. Gets Regan Bayliss’s 1.5kg claim here to drop his weight to a comfortable 55.5kg and is a top chance.
KENJORWOOD hails from the leading stables of trainer Darren Weir and was a sound fifth to Hazzabeel in the Kilmore Cup (1600m) on November 20. Ben Allen’s 2kg allowance sees his weight down to 58kg.
LOOPHOLE is a seasoned galloper racing first up here after last start running eighth at Rosehill in the Group 3 Kingston Town Stakes on September 10. Craig Newitt gets the nod from trainer Chris Waller and he bears thought.
PETROLOGY got way too far back before finishing strongly to claim seventh place in the Kilmore Cup (1600m) on November 20. Cory Parish keeps the ride and he will carry no weight on 54.5kg. Can be a bit hit and miss but bears thought.
SELECTIONS: No2 MIHANY, No1 Kenjorwood, No6 Loophole, No5 Petrology.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 Loophole.
R7 4.40pm SUPERIOR FOOD SERVICES PAKENHAM CUP 2500m
SWACADELIC has struck a purple patch and can be supreme here. Latest he fought hard to run a strong second to the International Qewy in the Sandown Cup (3200m) on November 12. Craig Williams will steer here and has 56kg.
PILOTE D’ESSAI was at double figure odds when he upstaged his higher rated rivals to romp in the Ballarat Cup (2200m) on November 19. Apprentice Regan Bayliss keeps the ride despite not being able to use his claim on 58kg.
LORD VAN PERCY had to come from a hopeless position in the Ballarat Cup (2200m) when finishing ninth to Pilote D’Essai on November 19. Gets a change of rider with John Allen replacing Dean Yendall and can bounce back.
CRAFTY CRUISER could loom as a chance here on his last start eighth over 2800m at Flemington on November 1. He was trapped deep for most of the journey and fought on well and he carries no weight on 54kg here.
SELECTIONS: No6 SWACADELIC, No2 Pilote D’Essai, No5 Lord Van Percy, No9 Crafty Cruiser.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 Crafty Cruiser.
R8 5.20pm RACING.COM VOBIS GOLD BULLION 1400m
BURNING FRONT (BEST ROUGHIE) gets his chance here under these compressed weight conditions. Latest he ran on well when finishing sixth over 1300m in the Group 3 Heffernan Stakes at Sandown on November 12. Dean Yendall is off and Luke Nolen on. Now he is fit.
DAN ZEPHYR was knocked from pillar to post when finishing 12th over 1000m at Moonee Valley on November 26. Just draw a line straight through and go on his prior win at Ararat. Senior rider Rhys McLeod rides here.
ROUGH JUSTICE has been freshened up and can improve further on his second over 1400m at Flemington on November 5. He goes up in weight to 59kg for his drop in class and is capable of giving a forward showing.
LUCKY LIBERTY ran third behind Lord Aspen and Rough Justice in a 1400m handicap at Flemington on November 5 at his last start. He jumps up 4kg here to 58kg and has a riding change, with Jake Noonan the new rider.
SELECTIONS: No1 BURNING FRONT. No3 Dan Zephyr, No2 Rough Justice, No5 Lucky Liberty.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 Burning Front.
R9 5.55pm STABIL-LIME GROUP BM78 HANDICAP 2000m
PALMERA LAD (NEXT BEST BET) was absolutely dominant when he tore away to a 4 ¾ length win over 2000m here on November 10. That was a big effort and with apprentice Ben Allen’s 2kg claim he gets a nice weight on 55.5kg to repeat the dose here. Brad Rawiller rode the gelding at his last start when he carried 59kg and he jumped from gate (11). He has a superior draw in gate (9) here and can end the day on a high for top trainer Darren Weir.
SELECTIONS: No5 PALMERA LAD, No9 Get The Picture, No14 Hardern, No15 But It’s True.
VALUE RUNNER: No15 But It’s True.