Best Bet: R4. 8. MISS TOMB RAIDER Next Best Bet: R3. 6. HOUSTON STREET Best Roughie: R2. 3. DANGERWOOD
R1 – 6.30pm TAB – We Love A Bet Maiden Plate – 1400m
CHRISTO MANIAC Made fast move at 1000m to sit third out wide to turn and battle on well for three-length third Green Light 1512m Yarra Valley Maiden 29 December. Improver who looks well placed here.
GOOD TIMING Never on the track first-up when ran on fairly for 5.75-length third Private Lounge 1200m Echuca Maiden 31 December. Has been brought along slowly and rates highly with extra fitness here.
TOMMY STANDUP Market drifter on debut when fractious in gates and made quick before turn to be handy straightening but plugged home for 4.6-length fifth Mornington 28 December. In strong stable and will be improved.
APOLLO GOLD Fitter for first-up sixth Dream First 1200m Mornington Maiden 28 December. Go on photo third Vodianova 1600m Moe Maiden two runs earlier 23 April. Will be handy.
SELECTIONS: No1 CHRISTO MANIAC, No5 Good Timing, No7 Tommy Standup, No9 Apollo Gold
VALUE RUNNER: No9 Apollo Gold
R2 – 7.00pm Karaka 2017 Three-Year-Old Maiden Plate – 1500m
DANGERWOOD (Best Roughie) Drifted back to last and worked home nicely in leader-dominated race when seven-length debut 12th Toorak Cowboy 1300m Sandown 21 December. Bound to be improved with experience and extra distance suits.
COUSIN MUSCLES Hit lead 250m but overhauled by Green Light 1512m Yarra Valley Maiden 29 December. Nearing a win.
KAMINDU Jumped well but drifted back before turn, then worked home solidly for two-length fourth to stablemate Ajuda 1400m Echuca Maiden 31 December. Shows promise and will make presence felt.
NAVY BLUE Strong second Street Opera 1612m Kilmore Maiden 12 December then game fourth Linguist 1600m Cranbourne 30 Deeember. Keep safe.
SELECTIONS: No3 DANGERWOOD, No2 Cousin Muscles, No5 Kamindu, No6 Navy Blue
VALUE RUNNER: No3 Dangerwood
R3 – 7.30pm De Bortoli Woodfired Shiraz Maiden Plate – 1600m
No6 HOUSTON STREET
(NEXT BEST BET) Impressive type who started favourite on debut when took the field forward and battled for 2.25-length third Dash For Dee 1419m Sale Maiden 22 December. Looks the testing material with further improvement here.
No9 SNIPFIT No2 GRANGEMOUTH No10 ROCK AND ROSE
No8 MISS TOMB RAIDER
(BEST BET) Enormous effort on debut when she gave the flying Airino eight-lengths start at 500m and ran her to 1.25-lengths 1012m Yarra Valley 29 December. Talented filly with tremendous upside who will be hard to beat with extra distance here.
No9 PENNY GAMBLER No10 RED IS THE ROSE No3 SWISS BEAUTY
KING VALOUR Had a 50-day break before beating Savvy Dresser 2050m Moe Maiden 9 December then led throughout 2430m Mornington BM64 28 December. This race isn’t much tougher and he should be able to dictate tactics again.
PRESUMPTION Blinkers come off after fighting second Shampion 2260m Geelong BM58 on Boxing Day. Pakenham 2500m winner November who will measure up.
SAGAAB Mixes form but won 1950m Yarra Valley and 1700m Stony Creek before fading ten-length sixth Stormy Shore Cranbourne last Sunday. Can bounce back here.
AMORTISE Not disgraced two city runs since game second Skyfire 2200m Sale BM58 4 December. Worth some thought.
SELECTIONS: No1 KING VALOUR, No6 Presumption, No3 Sagaab, No4 Amortise
VALUE RUNNER: No6 Presumption
R5 – 8.30pm MyPunter.com BM64 Handicap – 1600m
GILT EDGE At her peak following three solid fourth placings in this campaign. Just nabbed by Lock And Load 1500m Mornington BM64 14 December then hit lead 200m but swamped when half-length fourth Elegant Queen Cranbourne Mares BM64 23 December. Should sit handy from inside draw and will take beating.
MORTIFIED Racing well with two wins and two placings last five starts. Hit lead with inside run when 1.25-length second Lunar Spin BM64 Moonee Valley 2 December then battling 3.25-length fourth Electric Aura in high-class BM64 22 December. Honest and gets in close to mares with 1.5kg claim.
SLAM BAM Off the track all the way when courageous seven-length fifth Movie 1523m Moonee Valley Mares BM64 then drove through to grab lead but pipped by Alittle Loose 1512m Mares BM64 29 December. One of the main chances.
WICKED SENSATION Has been improving while stepping up in distance. Chased hard for close fourth Rock And Go 1462m Kilmore Maiden 12 December then finished off strongly to beat Claudia’s Beauty 1500m Mornington Mares Maiden 28 December. Up in class but suited by extra trip.
SELECTIONS: No5 GILT EDGE, No1 Mortified, No4 Slam Bam, No8 Wicked Sensation
VALUE RUNNER: No1 Mortified
R7 – 9.30pm Countdown to Karaka 2017 Fillies and Mares BM64 Handicap – 1000m
IMPERIAL EMPRESS Trapped wide throughout but powered home when game 2.5-length second Go Down 1000m Moonee Valley BM70 then strong to the line again when 2.8-length fourth New Summer Night 1300m Sandown BM70 7 December. Drops in class and has been freshened for 1000m with 2kg claim.
STARVASIVE Nearing a win. Chased hard first-up when 1.95-length third Northkape BM64 this trip 10 December then set the pace and fought on gallantly for 2.6-length fourth Little Indian Flemington straight 1000m New Year’s day. Has speed to cross from outside gate.
DECONI Should be vastly improved by solid first-up three-length fifth Little Indian Flemington straight 1000m on New Year’s day. Proved herself in quality three-year-old fillies’ races previous campaign and commands respect here.
SCAPPARE Won last two stylishly at Mornington in easier company and should be included in multiples.
SELECTIONS: No2 IMPERIAL EMPRESS, No6 Starvasive, No4 Deconi, No5 Scappare
VALUE RUNNER: No2 Imperial Empress
ERECTOR Racing in grand form and looks the one to beat again. Carried 59.5kg in beating Defence Witness 1726m Geelong 4 December then just pipped by Sammy The Snake 1800m Sandown 21 December. Should run the extra trip.
ONYA KEITHY Racing consistently and worth some thought. Courageous winner over Anemoi 2040m Moonee Valley BM64 then battled on for 2.9-length fourth Chiatorio 1950m Morphettville BM75 17 December.
CAPTAIN KITTINGER Racing well in easier grade and drops 4kg on last-start win over Riddleofthesphinx 1700m Stony Creek BM58 3 January. Won previous start 2232m Sale BM64 so worthy of consideration.
STORMY SHORE Won two of last four so has claims. Beat Black Chevalier 2025m here BM64 last Friday.
SELECTIONS: No2 ERECTOR, No4 Onya Keithy, No6 Captain Kittinger, No9 Stormy Shore
VALUE RUNNER: No4 Onya Keithy