Moonee Valley Betting Preview | Horse Racing Tips.

Moonee Valley is notoriously regarded as a racetrack for punters, designed by bookmakers.

Oddschecker
 | 
Thu, 19 Jan, 12:00 AM

Weather forecast is for cloudy conditions, with morning showers and a sunny afternoon. Top temperature 23C.

The track surface is rated a GOOD 4. The rail will be in the TRUE position for the entire circuit.

Moonee Valley is notoriously regarded as a racetrack for punters, designed by bookmakers. So, be careful to monitor the tendency for track bias. Having the rail at the True inside position should lessen the advantage to front-runners. However, it would pay to “go with the flow” if the leading divisions are tending to dominate results and if back-markers / swoopers are struggling to make up ground.

QUADDIES (Races 6-7-8-9)

Skinny: 1,6,10 / 2,3, / 1,2,6 / 3,6,8
Wide: 1,2,3,6,9,10 / 2,3,5,6,7 / 1,2,4,6,7,8,/ 3,6,7,8,13

Best Bet: R3 – 9.WHEAL LEISURE
Next Best Bet: R5 – 2. HIPPARCHUS
Best Roughie: R4 – 4. HOKKAIDO

R1 – 1.00pm William Hill Handicap – 1200m

INVINCIBLE AL Has been desperately unlucky last two runs and gets his chance to break through here. Hopelessly blocked until final 80m when nose second Pearl Congenial 1000m Sandown BM70 24 December then wasn’t given rein until final 50m when close third Capanello, Barthelona 1100m Flemington last Saturday. Beau Mertens’ 2kg claim makes him a great hope. Should go back from wide draw but will be pelting home.

STRICTLY LEGIT Very promising type who created huge impression on debut when he circled the field and cleared out to beat Bolossomo 1000m Mornington 20 December then made up ground late for two-length third Mystified 1100m Caulfield 7 December. Improved by that experience and rates highly with Mark Zahra going on.

MR SNEAKY Challenged on straightening and battled on gamely for half-length fourth Pearl Congenial, Invincible Al 1000m BM70 Sandown 23 December then relished blinkers to easily beat Chateau Cheval 1100m Werribee BM64. This is slightly tougher and he meets Invincible Al 2kg worse for Sandown defeat. Will be handy from barrier 1 and definitely has improved with blinkers on.

GRATWICK Has only missed a place once in eight starts and bound to make his presence felt again from good barrier. Gritty effort when he reached lead on turn and battled on for 2.8-length third Fuhryk, Widge Turf over this trip 31 December.

SELECTIONS: No1 INVINCIBLE AL, No6 Strictly Legit, No2 Mr Sneaky, No3 Gratwick

VALUE RUNNER: No6 Strictly Legit

R2 – 1.35pm Schweppes Lemonade Handicap – 1600m

ZASORCERESS Promising staying type by Zabeel who was resuming after eleventh to Provocative 2400m Queensland Oaks 11 June when she flashed home late for 1.7-length fourth Sword Of Justice 1400m Sandown 4 January. Fitter for the run and should relish the extra distance here. Will be swooping late.

AURORA GLOW Checked at start and squeezed for a run late when eye-catching 1.35-length fourth Deja Blue, Lasayette 1300m Sandown BM70 21 December then finished brilliantly to nab Diamond Baroness similar Sandown event 4 January. Crying out for the 1600m and will take tossing again.

SENSATIONAL ALLY She is absolutely flying at the moment and will give plenty of cheek again here. Booted clear on turn to easily beat Statton 1500m Mornington BM70 28 December then led by six-lengths mid-race and fought on tenaciously for neck third Jacqui’s Joy, Devilishly 1600m Sandown BM70 11 January.

LA SPECIALE Improved by three runs from a spell and should strip at her peak for this trip. Narrowly beaten by Hijack Hussy 1400m BM84 Flemington 17 December then got too far back early when fast-finishing 3.75-length fifth Domino Vitale 1600m Flemington BM78 on New Year’s Day. Will have plenty of support.

SELECTIONS: No7 ZASORCERESS, No3 Aurora Glow, No4 Sensation Ally, No6 La Speciale

VALUE RUNNER: No7 Zasorceress

R3 – 2.10pm Metcash Handicap – 2040m

No 9 WHEAL LEISURE (BEST BET) Looks an outstanding stayer in the making and will appreciate stepping up in distance here against her own age group. Unleashed a powerful finish to beat Desert Duel 1400m Terang Maiden on debut 5 December then was doing best work at finish against older horses when 3.1-length fifth Gervais, Crocodile Rock 1600m Flemington on New Year’s Day. Will be further improved and Crocodile Rock franked that form by winning at Sandown midweek.

No 6 PRESSCOTT

No 3 KAMINDU

No 1 ATLANTIC EXPRESS

R4 – 2.45pm Ranvet VOBIS Gold Star – 1500m

BURNING FRONT Has two wins and two placings from four runs this course and distance so he looks the testing material here. Had a three-week break before fading fourth to Airalign 1400m Sandown 24 December then bounced back to best in beating Helova Street 1600m Caulfield two weeks ago. Should add to his imposing record here.

HARD CALL Rates highly on storming 2.5-length win over Bradman 1400m Caulfield on Boxing Day at third run from a spell. Goes up 3kg here but will be further improved.

HOKKAIDO (Best Roughie) Caught the eye first-up when he came again to finish half-length third to Bradman, Shopaholic 1400m Caulfield BM78 two weeks back. Lightly-raced type who looks like a late bloomer and must be respected with the benefit of extra fitness here. Each-way chance.

BALLYBRIT Loves this track and boasts three wins from four starts here. Controlled the pace and easily beat Royal Applause 1600m Fillies-and-Mares BM70 here on 16 December then overcame slow start to be handy and faded to seventh Big Duke 1800m Caulfield BM78 on Boxing Day. Shorter trip a help.

SELECTIONS: No1 BURNING FRONT, No5 Hard Call, No4 Hokkaido, No9 Ballybrit VALUE RUNNER: No4 Hokkaido

R5 – 3.20pm Schweppervescence Handicap – 1600m

No 2 HIPPARCHUS (NEXT BEST BET) Got well back and ran home strongly for 1.5-length third Little White Cloud, Nozomi 2000m Flemington 5 November then railed through to hit lead on turn when game 1.75-length fifth Boom Time 2040m here on Boxing Day. Fresh for drop back to 1600m and sure to give a good sight again.

No 5 DOMINO VITALE

No 3 KING’S COMMAND

No 9 SWORD OF JUSTICE

R6 -4.00pm Schweppes Sparkling Handicap – 2040m

BIG DUKE Should be at his peak following three runs from a spell and looks the one to beat here. Hit lead on straightening when dogged head second Castle Hackett 1600m Sandown 7 December then charged away for effortless 4.5-length win over Bondeiger 1800m Caulfield BM78 on Boxing Day. Gets 2kg off his back for Ben Allen.

COOL CHAP Came off a seven-week break for a fighting 0.75-length second Plein Ciel 1800m Caulfield two weeks ago. Placed twice from previous four runs and should strip fitter for this.

CREDITON Improving type who is working through his grades nicely and rates a lightweight chance here. Beat Red Ticker 1950m Yarra Valley BM64 16 December then chased gamely for 0.75-length second Oncidium Ruler 2400m Sandown 4 January. Could pay to follow.

SHIKARPOUR Racing consistently over longer trips but is super-fit and must be respected. Finished 3.65-length third Annus Mirabilis, Hardern 2400m Sandown 24 December then ran into a smart one when second Gallic Chieftan 2250m Morphettville BM82 two weeks ago.

SELECTIONS: No6 BIG DUKE, No1 Cool Chap, No10 Crediton, No3 Shikarpour

VALUE RUNNER: No10 Crediton

R7 – 4.40pm Schweppes Indian Tonic Handicap – 1000m

CRYSTAL DREAMER Racing in sparkling form, winning at three runs this campaign and looks the testing material again. Proved too strong for Dance With Fontein 1000m BM78 Sandown 24 December then progressed to beat Atlantic City 1200m BM84 Caulfield two weeks ago. Should land in the box seat from barrier 2.

RUNSATI Improved by three runs from a spell and ideally drawn to take up a forward position here. Had outside draw when game 1.35-length third Shakespearean Lass this trip 26 November then courageous length second to Decision Time Flemington straight 1100m 17 December. Nice and fresh for this.

LADY ESPRIT Model of consistency with a win and a second from three runs this track. Proved too strong for Angry Gee BM70 over this trip 31 December. Meets Angry Gee 0.5kg better for beating that horse by one length. Will be running on.

ANGRY GEE Handy sprinter with a win and three placings last five starts. Close fourth to My Survivor 1100m Flemington straight 1100m 17 December then jumped awkwardly and chased hard when length second Lady Espirit over this trip 31 December. Meets Lady Esprit on slightly worse terms but is one of the main chances.

SELECTIONS: No2 CRYSTAL DREAMER, No3 Runsati, No7 Lady Esprit, No5 Angry Gee

VALUE RUNNER: No2 Runsati

R8 – 5.20pm Sandwich Chefs Handicap – 1200m

IT IS WRITTEN Grand old campaigner who showed that he was as good as ever when he pounded home to beat Beau Rada 1000m here 31 December. Has an amazing record on this circuit with eight wins and eight placings. He only needs a clear run from the inside gate to figure in the finish again.

SMART DART Has been brought along progressively during his career and has won three of last five starts. Beat Exclusive Lass and It Is Written 1200m Pakenham 3 December then held on for 2.25-length third Lucky Liberty, Grand Rosso 1200m Caulfield on Boxing Day. Meets It Is Written 1.5kg worse for length margin and Exclusive Lass 3.5kg worse.

ROCK ‘N’ GOLD Hasn’t been more than two-lengths from the winner last five starts and has place claims again from inside draw. Ran fifth It Is Written 1000m here 31 December then chased hard again when fourth Thermal Current Flemington straight 1000m last Saturday. Has a win and four placings from seven starts this track and commands respect.

DEVILS PINCH Hit the lead but peaked last 50m when photo second Cheeky Babe 1200m Mornington BM70 14 December then not suited by stop-start tempo when beaten a neck by Roman Fizz BM78 over this trip 31 December. Will need luck from outside draw but worthy of consideration.

SELECTIONS: No1 IT IS WRITTEN, No2 Smart Dart, No6 Rock ‘N’ Gold, No8 Devils Pinch

VALUE RUNNER: No1 It is Written

R9 – 5.55pm Jacob Schweppe Handicap – 1200m

AMERISTRALIA Classy mare who was trapped deep throughout and doing best work at the finish when length third Prussian Vixen 1100m Caulfield first-up two weeks ago. Showed outstanding promise when she trounced Cheeky Babe, Miss Vista 1000m Caulfield and close fifth Sheidel in Stakes Grade 1200m Caulfield last October before spell. Fitter now and will test this field.

CHEEKY BABE Overcame wide run to beat Devil’s Pinch 1200m Mornington BM70 13 December then chimed in to win at 100m but peaked when close third Aurora Glow 1300m Sandown BM78 4 January. Meets Ameristralia on 1kg worse terms here. Consistent mare who has to be considered.

CHIAVARI Honest type who rarely runs a bad race. Close second to Lyuba 1000m BM84 here 26 November and 3.75-length third Divine Mr Artie Flemington straight 1200m 10 December before chasing gamely for three-length fourth Prussian Vixen 1100m Caulfield two weeks ago. Drawn to figure in the finish again.

POWERFUL STORY Shouldered her way out of a pocket at 200m but winner had kicked when length second Sister Kitty Mac 1110m Werribee Fillies-and-Mares BM64 then couldn’t get a run and restrained for five-length last Mystified 1100m Caulfield two weeks ago. Close-up fourth only run this track. Keep safe.

SELECTIONS: No8 AMERISTRALIA, No6 Cheeky Babe, No3 Chiavari, No13 Powerful Story

VALUE RUNNER: No3 Chiavari

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