The rail will be out 11m from the 600m to the Winning Post and in the True position for the remainder of the circuit. The track prediction is for a Good 4 rating.
QUADDIES (Races 5-6-7-8)
Skinny: 1,6,7 / 7,8 / 3,8 / 3,10
Wide: 1,4,6,7 / 4,5,7,8 / 3,6,7,8 / 2,3,4,10,11,14,15
Best Bet: R7 – 3. WRITTEN ERA
Next Best Bet: R3 – 9. ELSARAY
ARCTIC FLOW Fitter for first-up second Havadash Stawell 6 January and with further improvement will be in the finish.
JUST GETS’EM Solid performances Echuca and Bendigo before first-up ninth Fuhryk Moonee Valley tougher company 31 December. Better suited this grade.
SISTINE SAINT Not far away in three starts. Favourite when fifth Jvala Moe last month. Likely to bounce back from inside barrier.
BEDFORD Had support when sixth Positive Carry 1838m Sale 21 September. Looking for further but could sprint well fresh.
SELECTIONS: No1 ARCTIC FLOW, No3 Just Gets’em, No5 Sistine Saint, No2 Bedford
VALUE RUNNER: No2 Bedford
No9 ELSARAY (NEXT BEST BET) Placed at three of five starts and will strip fitter here. Worked hard middle stages but booted clear on straightening when gallant first-up third Le Belle Jude, Prince Ziggy 1400m Geelong Maiden 12 January. With an easier run here she will give them something to chase.
No8 CALL ME SACHI
No4 FONTEIN FLYER
HEATHER HONEY Placed at five of last six starts and gets her chance to break through here. Has good winning form around her through Murphy, Super Mario, Charlie Cheval and bound to make her presence felt.
ELITE JOY Not far away three runs this campaign and ideally drawn here. Slowly away before solid 3.85-length fourth Knowable, I Boogie 1100m Geelong 2 January. Rates with the chances.
BUBBA’S CALL Solid effort third-up when third Belcielo 1514m Yarra Valley 10 January and worth some thought.
SELECTIONS: No8 HEATHER HONEY,No6 Elite Joy, No1 Bubba’s Call
PEAKY BLINDERS Racing in great form and will take tossing. Beat Choisigold 1726m Geelong BM64 15 December before eye-catching three-length fourth Gervais, Crocodile Rock 1600m Flemington New Year’s Day. Plenty of winning form from that race and he looks the one to beat here.
DUKE OF NOTTINGHAM Won successive starts 1200m Swan Hill Maiden and 1400m Echuca BM58 then overcame chequered run for third Playful Rosie, Jest For The Road 1600m Werribee 5 January. On the improve and rates highly.
CRITICAL RISK Goes well fresh and has excellent record this distance. Spelled after eight Mr Wonderful 1800m Sandown 24 August. Won 1600m Cranbourne BM70 and third Sandown same trip. Keep safe.
SELECTIONS: No7 PEAKY BLINDERS, No6 Duke Of Nottingham, No1 Critical Risk
VALUE RUNNER: No1 Critical Risk
MORTIFIED Model of consistency who won Kilmore 1607m and 1600m before game second Lunar Spin Monee Valley 1600m BM64 2 December and solid fourth Electric Aura 1736m Sale 22 December. Fresh for drop back to 1600m and will take tossing.
GILT EDGE Close fourths four runs on end before not handling heavy track when sixth Hot Power 1600m Cranbourne 13 January. Gets her chance to atone here.
DENPASAR Goes well this track. Ran seven-length third Movie 1523m Moonee Valley 9 December then caught deep when fading eighth Petracca 1700m Geelong 2 January. Has to be taken on trust.
MATHISON Has a win and five placings from nine Sydney starts and should be kept safe first-up. Runner-up 1600m Hawkesbury before winning Kembla 1600m Maiden and seventh Canterbury last July. That form could stack up here for new stable.
SELECTIONS: No5 MORTIFIED, No8 Gilt Edge, No7 Denpasar, No4 Mathison
VALUE RUNNER: No8 Gilt Edge
SEGUNA Close-up two runs since first-up win 1206m Benalla Maiden 3 December. Caught wide and showed grit when two-length fourth to Oak Door, Cliff Hanger 1400m Sandown 4 January. Both those horses have won since which makes the form look good for this.
MEADOW SPRITE Has won two of last four and will be prominent again from inside draw. Beat Delrazi 1450m Kyneton BM58 then game 1.75-length second Hard Promise 1300m Geelong BM64 12 January.
HAUKLAND BEACH Has won two of last three and rates highly. Favourite and over-raced early when 1.25-length fourth Catechesis 1590m Wodonga BM58 then finished fast to beat Boogie Woogie Man 1100m Stawell BM64 6 January.
PLAIN TOM Racing third-up when overpowered Modern Dane 1300m Ararat Maiden 13 January. This is tougher but has claims.
SELECTIONS: No8 SEGUNA, No7 Meadow Sprite, No5 Haukland Beach, No4 Plain Tom
VALUE RUNNER: No5 Haukland Beach
No3 WRITTEN ERA (BEST BET) Four wins and three placings from eight starts suggests she is the one to beat again first-up. Beat Silver Stratum 1400m this track 31 October then far too good for Judges, Shintaro 1300 Warrnambool 17 November. Goes well fresh and ideally drawn in barrier one.
No8 EL RADA
No6 OUR VIDIA
SELECTIONS: No3 WRITTEN ERA, No8 El Rada, No6 Our Vidia
VALUE RUNNER: No6 Our Vida
POPPIHOLLA Form was excellent before unlucky 4.35-length seventh Lola Lu 1800m Sandown BM64 4 January. Won Werribee 2000m and nose second Defence Witness 2040m Moonee Valley previously. Blinkers go on here and only needs cover from outside alley to figure in the finish.
TEMPERED Placed at two of last five starts and has been supported each time. Battled on fairly for 4.5-length sixth Skulduggery 1700m Caulfield 7 January. Likely improver.
SELECTIONS: No 10 POPPIHOLLA, No 11 Three Strykes, No 3 Tempered