Flemington Saturday 28-01-2017 Horses to Follow

Find the right horses for your blackbook from Flemington on Saturday

Mon, 30 Jan, 1:04 PM


Racing was back at headquarters last weekend where the track played nicely with winners coming from all parts. On the good surface the times were also quite fast on average.

OBVIOUS PICK – PORTMAN: This gelding dealt pain to the bookies, landing some big bets ($5,000 @ 2.35) in a sustained move from $4.40 when markets opened into as low as $1.90 for a moment before jumping at $2.35.

It was a painless watch for favourite backers as Ben Allen put the son of Makfi into the 1-1, 2-3 lengths off the pace and bolted up around the turn to win by 2.25L on the post not fully tested.

Only being a 72 rater on the Victorian benchmark system (why he carried a fly at 52.5kg), Qatar Bloodstock look to have a very progressive middle distance horse on their hands.

Post race interview with Geoffrey Faber [RACING.com] revealed a tentative plan to keep him under handicap conditions before trying him in a group 3 company later this prep. On that run and only being a 4 year old, he should be able to stretch out to 1800-2000m.

Record: 7:3-1-1


Where to next? BM84 over 1700m on 18-02-2016 at Flemington

TRUST THE FORM PICKS – TIVACI / EL DIVINO: There was a dramatic juxtaposition between these two gallopers in their finishing order and pre-post betting. With Tivaci being seemingly unwanted: $9-$17 and El Divino almost landing the plunge of the day: $5-$3.80.

The new addition to the Weir stable, El Divino almost looked home, leading up until around 50m to go, when Tivaci unleashed a massive finishing burst to get up by 0.2L on the post. Both gallopers had good runs in transit; Tivaci settling fifth about 3L off the leaders, whilst El Divino was on the inside just on their backs.

The sections in this race were blistering with Tivaci running a 32.09s last 600m being the fastest split. Whilst the weakening leader Kirani was the only runner not to clock a sub 33s last 600m with 33.13s.

Despite the track serving up pretty fast sections throughout the day, with times like this I really believe this is a race we can trust the form out of moving forward into the autumn.

Moving forward, the Moroney stable believe Tivaci will be able to stretch out to 1400m, with stable manager Anthony Feroce telling RACONG.com that he may be seen next over 1400m in the G1 C.F.Orr Stakes at WFA on February 11 then into the G1 Newmarket Handicap on March 11 over 1200m which he has been trimmed $51-$15 for. However given his brilliant fresh record he could be seen next in the Newmarket.

Like many recent high end additions to the un-stoppable Weir camp, the beach life seems to have turned El Divino around after a lack-luster spring campaign. It’s hard to say how high the Weir camp will reach with El Divino given his disappointment in the Golden Rose campaign. But with fitness on his side a 1200m-group class sprint would definitely be on the radar, perhaps the Kevin Hayes G3 over 1200m on the 11th of February.

Records: Tivaci: 14:2-3-3, El Divino: 6:2-1-0


Where to next? Tivaci: C.F.Orr 1400m/ Newmarket 1200m, El Divino: 1200-1400m Group Class

TOUGH AS TEAK PICK – EXTRA ZERO: Closing in on 100 starts at 10 years of age and still running on as strong as ever, with earnings in excess of $1.6M wouldn’t you like one of him.

He put the writing on the wall second up after a trial earlier this month by running on strongly for third over a mile at Caufield. He kept this trend going on Saturday running on down the rail for fifth in a strong field at $21.

After being slow out and settling 9L at the tail of the field in a slowly run affair he was entitled to grind away over a distance short of his best, having contested hurdle races over 3200m+ previously. But he did more than that after saving ground along the rails he clocked the fastest last 600m of the race at 33.27s to finish 1.45L behind the all the way winner Goldstream.

Seemingly getting closer to full fitness the Hayes camp will more than likely keep stretching him out in trip past the 2000m. However being a BM100 horse he’ll no doubt run into some smart ones, but his SP profile says we’ll more than likely be getting some good odds about him wherever he goes.

Record: 94:6-20-10


Where to next? Open Handicap 2000m+

Related Tips

Thursday Racing Tips - 27th June

Get your wet track form ready because we are playing on Heavy surfaces in New South Wales and Victoria today.
Read Article

Wednesday Gawler Best Bets - 26th June

Our expert has done the form at Gawler and come up with three of the best to follow in Adelaide this afternoon.
Read Article

Wednesday Randwick Racing Previews & Tips - 26th June

We are playing on a Heavy surface on the Kenso but our day could get off to the best start possible thanks to Chris Waller.
Read Article