Ballarat Betting Tips & Preview
Betting Tips for every race at Ballarat.
This is a very hard meeting to find winners despite the fields being relatively small. The highlight could be the debut of superbly bred filly Earth Angel in Race 3. The weather is going to be warm with a maximum on 29C forecast. The rail will be the same as Tuesday’s meeting at 12 metres from the 600m to the winning post and on the true for the remainder of the course. The track is rated a Good 4.
QUADDIES (Races 5-6-7-8)
Skinny Play: 1,4,7 / 5,6 / 2,8 / 1,3,7
Wide Play: 1,3,4,5,6,7 / 2,3,4,5,6,7 / 1,2,5,6,7,8 / 1,3,4,5,7
BEST BEST: R6 – 5. CRUISING SPEED
Next Best Bet: R7 – 6. SEBRING’S JOY
Best Roughie: R8 – 5. MAGELLAN
R1 - 1:30pm. Ultimate Pumps and Irrigation BM70 Handicap – 1200m.
No2 KAPSET Strikes a small and moderate bunch fresh for his new trainer Ciaron Maher. Not raced since finishing seventh over 2000m at Pakenham on November 10. Has Luke Nolen riding.
No1 KANSAS SUNFLOWER Has not won for over 600 days but her form was fair last campaign when capping it off with a sixth over 1200m at Caulfield in July. Has a good first-up record of four starts for a win and a second.
No4 JINX Deserves another chance in this field and forget her last-start ninth over 1200m against her own sex at Moonee Valley on February 17. This is far easier against five other runners in a shallow race.
No3 SOLSAY Have put a fresh apprentice on in Lachlan King in the hope the novice might reignite the old boy. King’s 3kg claim reduces his impost to 56kg and the trick has worked in the past.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 JINX
R2 – 2.00pm. Bond Homes Maiden – 1200m.
No2 REACHER Will take a heap of benefit from his debut third over 1100m at Wyong on February 12. Hails from an astute stable and stable jockey Dwayne Dunn rides in this maiden. Was backed from $7 into $5 at debut.
No5 MR DE NIRO Was an odds on favourite first-up when hit the front but ran down over 1100m maiden at Kilmore on February 23. Luke Nolen keeps the ride and he will be fitter for the outing. Looms as the danger.
No7 SOLO HEART Wears a lugging bit at his debut. Last trial gave a solid effort to run third over 900m at Rosehill on October 25. Hails from the top Sydney yard of Chris Waller and is by emerging sire So You Think. Worth a look.
No4 GREVISTE Both runs last campaign were on rain-affected ground. Was the $4.20 favourite and had a luckless run when fifth over 1100m at Bendigo on June 23. Would give another chance on top of the ground here.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 GREVISTE
R3 – 2.30pm. City of Ballarat 2YO Fillies Maiden Plate – 1200m.
No3 EARTH ANGEL Arrowfield Stud has kept this classic bred filly from their top broodmare Miss Finland, who also was a champion racehorse. Team Hayes is routing the juvenile races this season and top jockey Damien Oliver is booked.
No10 THEATRIC Poor draw in gate 10 is no help at debut but she did finish alongside Earth Angel at a recent jump-out. She is an Inglis Easter sales graduate and has speed. Top jockey Dwayne Dunn has been booked here.
No4 HOLY MIND Is a nicely bred two-year-old who gave a solid debut when finishing second over 1100m in a fillies’ maiden at Seymour on February 21. She is bound to have derived benefit from the effort and won’t be at the silly odds of $21 here.
No9 SUPER SNOB Group 1 winning jockey Luke Nolen replaces Harry Coffey after her first-up third over 900m in a maiden at Bendigo on February 18. The blinkers go on and the winkers come off in a serious gear change.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 ANGEL EARTH
R4 – 3.00pm. Hygain 3yo Maiden Plate – 1600m.
No2 CRYSTAL KINGDOM Looks to be screaming out for the mile here and he ran a top race to finish second over 1400m in a maiden here on February 26. Damian Lane sticks and he is again well served at the gates drawn in four.
No6 TACITURN Gets blinkers on for the first time after his solid effort to run third over 1400m in a maiden here on February 26. Top jockey Dwayne Dunn rides the Godolphin-trained 3yo here and would respect.
No8 YULONG XIONG HU Was ridden a lot closer last time when finishing third over 1600m at Pakenham on February 16. John Allen replaces Damian Lane who rides Crystal Kingdom. Has been handy lately and is fit.
No4 LYNCH MOB Hails from a top yard and both his Victorian and South Australian starts he has finished strongly. Latest botched the start when third over 1353m at Strathhalbyn on February 1. Luke Currie rides here.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 LYNCH MOB
R5 – 3.30pm. Porter Plant Cup Heat 1 BM70 Handicap – 1600m.
No1 HELL ON EARTH This is a tough race with average horses. The blinkers come off again here and he was tightened before finishing sixth over 1500m at Moonee Valley on February 24. He is worth a look in a shallow race.
No7 POLAR VORTEX Should strip fitter on first-up sixth over 1300m at Sandown on February 22. He gets a riding change with Noel Callow the new pilot and he was backed from $8 into $5.50 when he ran fresh. Keep safe.
No5 KNIGHT STAR Was on the back foot when losing ground at the start and finished seventh over 1390m at Seymour on February 21. Gets Brad Rawiller as the new pillion and is capable of bouncing back here.
No2 LORD FANDANGO Is a German import making his Australian debut. Likes the firm going on his European form and is a stayer who could very well sprint well fresh. He has won twice and been placed twice at his ten starts.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 KNIGHT STAR
R6 – 4.00pm. Sportsbet's New Racing Form F&M BM78 Handicap – 1200m.
No5 CRUISING SPEED (BEST BET) This is a tough card to find a best bet but here we go. Raced without luck when finishing 11th over 1400m at Sandown on February 15. She strikes her own sex here and her prior run at Flemington was full of merit. She gets the 3kg claim of apprentice Lachlan King to reduce her impost to 55kg and she is drawn in four.
No6 OUR VIDIA No luck at Moonee Valley when at $31 and ran a top race.
No2 SAHARA CHILL Is a former NSW mare having her first start for her new Victorian trainer. She has a solid first-up record.
No7 GO GRACEY Had won two in a row prior to finishing a luckless last over 1200m at Moonee Valley on February 17.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 GO GRACEY
R7 – 4.30pm. Hygain Handicap – 1000m.
No6 SEBRING’S JOY (NEXT BEST BET) Is a young horse who could be on the up. The three-year-old filly hails from the astute yard of Darren Weir and she won at her debut over 975m at Swan Hill on October 25 in good style. She was unwanted in betting easing to $8. Weir has booked 3kg apprentice Lachlan King to reduce her weight to 54kg against the older horses here.
No5 AUTONOMOUS Stablemate to Sebring’s Joy and a good last start country winner.
No1 MILITARY Can carry weight (61.5kg) won having won with 60kg last start.
No2 FULCRUM Has a sound fresh record of fives starts for a win and two seconds. With the 3kg claim her weight drops to 57.5kg.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 FULCRUM
R8 – 5.00pm. Porter Plant Cup Heat 2 BM64 Handicap – 1400m.
No7 DESERT GREY Is going to be much fitter than when finishing second over 1300m at Stawell on February 16. He gets Luke Nolen as his new pillion and can redeem himself with punters who grabbed the $2.90 favouritism.
No3 ROBERT DE HERO Gets Damian Lane back on after his good third when backed from $11 into $8,50 over 1500m at Sandown on February 22. Lane has a great record with this stable and this gelding is most consistent.
No1 CHIPPENHAM Gets Lachlan King’s 3kg claim to reduce his impost to 58.5kg after finishing second over 1300m at Bendigo on February 28. He is on the quick back up but his form has been most consistent and drawn three.
No5 MAGELLAN (BEST ROUGHIE) Is a three-year-old with a heap of upside and expect improvement on his first-up second over 1200m at Warnambool on February 23. Jordan Childs is the new rider but he rises 1.5kg to 59kg. Will be fitter.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 MAGELLAN