Golden Slipper day is finally here, ten races on the card. Five Group 1 races, this is the best day in Australian racing as far as I'm concerned (sorry Derby day). We also get to see the wonder mare Winx go around again in the Ryder. The weather is the big talking point in the lead-up. I have mixed soft and heavy form. Hopefully it doesn't rain on the day the rail is 3m out. Be warned the quaddie is races 6,7,8,9 this week.
QUADDIES (Races 6-7-8-9)
Skinny: 1,2,4 – 1,8,9,15 – 3,6,8,12 – 2,4,5,6
Wide: 1,2,4,6,8,9 – 1,3,8,9,10,11,15 – 1,3,6,7,8,12,14 - 1,2,4,5,6,7,8
Best Bet: R3 N1 TACTICAL ADVANTAGE
Next Best Bet: R5 N8 WINX
Best Roughie: R7 N8 MENARI
NO 2 KINEMA Was good enough at his first two runs back for Waller and now gets out to 2400m. Soft going won’t bother him at all and last time Ryan Moore was on he was a big winner at Flemington.
NO 1 ALLERGIC Should be rock hard fit now after four runs this time in and backs up again. Last time at 2400m he ran third in the Metropolitan. His Rosehill record is quite good.
NO 4 OUR CENTURY Big effort last start winning the Wangaratta Cup. Last time when he was at 2400m he was placed behind Francis Of Assisi, that stacks up well here.
NO 3 BIG DUKE Won’t be backing a Weir horse until he wins a race in Sydney. This horse doesn’t profile that well.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 2 KINEMA
NO 6 RAIMENT Big step up here, but has been in great form this preparation and the trial between runs was solid. Down to 53kgs she has her chance.
NO 4 TEMPT ME NOT Looks well set up for a good first-up run, but has only had one trial over 740m which is a concern, I’m thinking she will be set up for a race over the Randwick Carnival. But can run well here.
NO 3 HIEROGLYPHICS Got a 10/10 last start from Moreria, Avdulla back on here after being 2/2 on him this prep. Has good wet form and is a winner at Rosehill.
NO 8 SAMANTHA Got all favors last start and won well. She is a great wet tracker and drops in weight for that win. Yet to see her home track, but should run well.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 4 TEMPT ME NOT
NO 1 TACTICAL ADVANTAGE (Best Bet) Low flying this time in winning all races. He steps up in grade here, but that shouldn’t stop him. He is a winner on soft going previously too. The trial between runs was brilliant and he should be too good for them.
NO 4 CRAFTY COP Won well on wet going last start and should run well here.
NO 6 MY COUNTRY Has been trialing quite well leading into this race and has wet track form.
NO 8 STAR OF MONSOON Could have found an easier race than this being a maiden, but he is a quality horse and has trialled well.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 8 STAR OF MONSOON
NO 5 THE UNITED STATES Looks set to peak here third run in from a spell on the backup. This is the same formula he used last year when winning this race, third-up on the backup. He just got tired late last week, ready to go now.
NO 1 HARTNELL Had the bias against him last start but was horrible still. His third-up form at 2000m reads three starts two wins. He can turn it around but I don’t want to take evens.
NO 7 ANTONIO GIUSEPPE On the quick backup looks well suited even though he is stepping up to WFA. He dragged the field up on a fast pace last week. Wet track / Rosehill / 2000m are all ticks.
NO 4 OUR IVANHOWE Finally gets the wet track he has wanted all his career in Australia. His trial leading in was good and he is a G1 winner over 2000m.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 5 THE UNITED STATES
NO 8 WINX (Next Best Bet) She wins! Enjoy watching her go around. Not much else can be added. Going for 15 in a row.
NO 2 LE ROMAIN Flying this time in with two brilliant wins, entitled to be second fav. WFA Group 1 winner over a mile last spring.
NO 1 CHAUTAUQUA Showed some of his old form last start. 1500m is a new beast, but running as if he needs it.
NO 3 HAURAKI Good resumption last start, loves wet going and is on track for the Doncaster.
VALUE RUNNER: 8 / 2 EXACTA
NO 2 GINGERNUTS Brings a brilliant record across the Tazman here. His win in the NZ Derby was brilliant running away from them, wet track no issue and he will be the fittest horse here.
NO 4 INFERENCE Did a good job winning the Randwick Guineas last start and will clearly get through the going. My one concern is third-up to the 2000m.
NO 8 SIZZLING BULLET Brings the “other form” to the race as he has been going around in lesser races but has been going quite well. After his last win I labeled him a Derby horse. He is proven in the wet and gets Ryan Moore!
NO 1 PRIZED ICON Good enough fresh and then savaged the line in the Australian Guineas. Wet track no issue, nor is 2000m.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 8 SIZZLING BULLET
NO 15 HOUTZEN First NSW run here which history is against, but it’s made to be broken. Breathtaking in all four wins so far. She has the speed to lead this race and do it comfortably. If left alone in front she will give a huge kick.
NO 1 PARIAH Gets a better run on the map here than his last two where he has been wide. He should be able to be one off the fence from the gate, he will need a touch of luck straightening. I love that he has had a run at Rosehill and will know his whereabouts.
NO 8 MENARI (Best Roughie) No luck in his last two runs where he should have won one, and then overplayed the bias last start and ran out of gas. He maps perfectly here, as they will come off the fence in the straight and he may get a saloon passage through.
NO 9 CATCHY Will need more luck here than in the Diamond, not much more to say about her. She is a line chaser and the Diamond winner and will be steaming over them.
NO 11 TULIP Won strongly here last week in the Magic Night and will be the fittest horse here on the backup. Her Diamond run was quite good finding the line.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 8 MENARI
NO 12 RUSSIAN REVOLUTION Has been trialing in imposing fashion leading into this first-up run. This definitely looks a target race as he gets in with only 50.5kgs. He is adept in all going and I like that the last of his two trials was over 1050m. He should be ready to go here.
NO 3 ENGLISH Won quite well when resuming as she had to do work to get out to the best going. She ran sixth in this race last year as fav. But she got a mile back in a super-fast race. It doesn’t look to be as fast this year. Wet going no issue and should improve second-up.
NO 6 REDZEL Out bobbed first-up in the challenge but did have all favours that day. Out to 1100m second-up suits and he does get a 4kg weight swing on English, as well as being an 1100m specialist.
NO 8 SUPIDO Ran on well second-up behind English and Redzel. Forget the Lightning and go off previous form. Last time in at WFA he was a length off Black Heart Bart. Good enough for this.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 12 RUSSIAN REVOLUTION
NO 6 SONG AND LAUGHTER Did it the hardest way last start as she had to take up the running from the 800m and just got tired late. She loves a wet track and this race looks much more suitable for her.
NO 5 HAPPY HANNAH Ran on really well first-up from a spell. She has a good second-up record and up to 1900m shouldn’t be an issue whatsoever as she should have won the Matriach last prep. At her best, she may well blow them away.
NO 4 ALEGRIA Found the fast lane last start and really motored through the line. The step up now to 1900m looks ideal at her third run back. She has a good record at Rosehill and is well within a chance.
NO 2 ELLE LOU Has to step up to 1900m here which is the big worry. She ran out the mile well last start in the worst going. Glyn has drawn the best barrier in 1 to get her to run the trip out. She loves a wet track and is low flying.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 6 SONG AND LAUGHTER
NO 4 MACHINEGUN JUBS Loves wet tracks and has flown through them as of late, gets a gun run from gate 7.
NO 13 POMELO Will take up the speed and prove hard to run down, got through wet conditions last start.
NO 11 INVINCIBLE GEORGE Full of ability, but is still untapped. This could be a step to soon too early, but happy to gamble and find out.
NO 10 APPOINT PERCY May be looking for further, but does enjoy wet tracks.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 10 APPOINT PERCY