One thing is certain is that we get things right more often than our weather bureau. Tipping has been extra hard of late because we never know how the track will play until the last minute. For instance after 20mm was predicted last Saturday we got nothing and the track dried out. At least we know Doomben is a good drying track and it will be on the soft side rather than being a bog. The rail is out 8.5 metres and while the fields are small there are plenty of chances in most races.
QUADDIES (Races 5-6-7-8)
Skinny Play: 1,2/2,6/2,4/1,6.
Wide Play: 1,2,3,7/2,3,6,7/2,3,4,5/1,6,8,10
BEST BEST: R4 – 1. REAL EGO
Next Best Bet: R2 – 3. SANCTUARY COVE
Best Roughie: R6 – 2. REVITALISE
NO 1 EMINENT At the time of writing there was some doubt he would run but as he is more likely than not to be a starter we have to put him on top. He has about ten-lengths on these on ability and is being set for Group 1 races in Sydney.
NO 2 MISPRINT Has been racing fairly and had no luck last start. Has to be an each-way chance here.
NO 5 MARSEILLE EN FLEUR Both starts have been good and has been looking for this distance. Looks a good each-way bet.
NO 6 NIVO Ran into a promising horse when second at the Gold Coast and that run was good enough to give him a chance here.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 6 NIVO
NO 3 SANCTUARY COVE (NEXT BEST BET) Nearly fell himself when caught up behind a horse that broke down at first run this area and then looked winner until final 100m when second at next start. Ready to win now.
NO 4 MADAM AMAROGUE She has had a few chances and usually has been solid without looking the winner. This is very easy and rates highly.
NO 2 BEYOND BRAVE Good run when second at Toowoomba last start. This is no harder and stretched a promising horse last time.
NO 1 IDALIA'S DREAM Has accepted in two maidens and stable was debating which one to start him in. Paced all three starts and will be a chance in either race.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 2 BEYOND BRAVE
NO 2 PRODUCE ME LATE His two most recent runs have been very good including a second at Eagle Farm last start. This distance suits and looks very hard to beat.
NO 4 MONTANA PINES Has been racing well without ever looking like winning. But he won't find a much easier maiden than this and a soft track shouldn't worry him.
NO 3 IDALIA'S DREAM Entered for two maidens and stable debating which one to run him in. Obviously an each-way chance on past three thirds no matter where he starts.
NO 7 FALLACY Has been well backed a couple of times lately and only worked home fairly when second at Eagle Farm last start. Looks like 1600m will suit.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 7 FALLACY
NO 1 REAL EGO (BEST BET) Rarely runs a bad race and strong winner at the Sunshine Coast last start. Gets in well at the weights with a 3kgs claim and the stable is in form. He won't run into a much easier midweek race than this.
NO 3 RICH AFFAIR Has been running in much harder races and finishing not that far away. This is ideal for him and should handle a wet track.
NO 2 QUELLE LIAISON Has been racing well and a good winner at the Gold Coast last start. Has been placed twice on wet tracks.
NO 6 PRONTEZZA Looked certain to win last start but run over in the final 100m by a smart horse who has since been placed in Saturday grade. Has won on soft going and should lead these.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 2 QUELLE LIASION
NO 3 VAULTING AMBITION Getting back to best form with three runs from a long spell. Covered a lot of extra ground last start when only fair in a Saturday race when favourite.
NO 1 FIRST CRUSH Good effort when second at 2020m last start and although back in distance likes wet tracks and should lead these.
NO 7 SHE GOES POP Has been consistent without winning at the provincial tracks of late. Good second at the Sunshine Coast last time when held up for a run in the straight.
NO 2 GEOMETRIST Was racing very well at Ipswich before outclassed last time in a Saturday race where struck trouble. Back in grade here.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 7 SHE GOES POP
NO 3 MY FIRECRACKER Has won his past two starts in impressive fashion with strong finishing efforts. This isn't hard but just needs a solid early pace. A two-time winner on soft tracks.
NO 2 REVITALISE (BEST ROUGHIE) It has been a long time between wins but his last start was good and followed a handy effort in a much stronger race. We liked the way he trialled at Deagon last month and this is weak. Likes soft tracks.
NO 7 ONE MANSINI Good Sunshine Coast winner and then had no luck at all when fourth in a $50,000 Class 3 last time. Wet track is a worry.
NO 6 THE EQUALISER Has ability but gets a mile back in his races and that is no help this track. But provided there is good early pace he will be running home hard. He has won on a heavy track.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 2 REVITALISE
NO 4 ALL THAT IS Ran a terrific second at huge odds in a $50,000 Class 3 last start. Other recent form is solid and loves wet tracks.
NO 3 SPIRAL Trialled well before resumed this area and has been placed three runs this campaign. Handles the wet and strong each-way hopes here.
NO 2 OCEAN CITY Had very good Sydney form early in his career and won twice this area before having no luck latest unplaced run in stronger company.
NO 5 RAINBOW LACE Went far too hard early when walloped at last start in a harder race. This should suit on previous form although won't want it too wet.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 3 SPIRAL
NO 10 KAPSTAR He is no star and doesn't win many. But gets his chance here with a light weight and a wet track to dictate from the start. He will be good each-way odds in this.
NO 1 CONNIVING Run down in final 100m last time at Eagle Farm but usually races well this type of race. He won't want it too wet by race 8.
NO 8 COLLAR'S UP Has been honest of late and is a winner this track. Seems to be at his best around this distance.
NO 6 AMERICAN HERO Trialled well back in January and three runs since have been handy without running a place. This suits and has good soft track form.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 10 KAPSTAR