DAY RACING HORSES TO FOLLOW: ROSHEILL: 18-03-2017
Sydney really turned up the weather for Golden slipper day, the track being a seemingly bottomless heavy 10. But full credit must go to the track staff because despite this the track still played quite fairly but most importantly, safely.
Plenty of horses just completely failed to get through the bottomless track, so there are plenty to forgive. But being a Sydney sider, this rain doesn’t look to be going away any time soon. So I’m looking for some runners who won’t mind putting the snorkel on in the coming weeks.
It was another great day for our black bookers with She Will Reign prevailing in the feature golden slipper, she kept drifting as predicted and won brilliantly at $8+. Le Romain ($8-$6 Doncaster) also ran second to quite a smart galloper (A.K.A the queen of the turn) Winx and Big Duke broke D.K. Weirs Sydney hoodoo for us in the first.
2YO MUDDER SELECTION – FROLIC: Absolutely smashed by punters: $15-$8 in the golden slipper betting after defeating the eventual winner at her previous start. She didn’t let her backers down, running into second, making up a huge amount of ground (around 10L) on the turn.
After ploughing through a bottomless Randwick and doing the same again here, I have absolutely no doubts she eats mud. Being third up in the slipper she’s likely to take some improvement as each run has been as good, if not better, than the last.
The way she ran through the line again is also a very good indicator for stepping up in distance now she’s had the runs over 1200m. Watch for her in the Sires and Champagne where it’s likely to be wet again, offsetting some other - possibly classier – key chances, Catchy.
Coupled with our previous black booker, Diamond Tathagata who ran a brilliant race in for 7th after getting majorly interfered with, I think we’ve identified some good odds about key chances for the afore mentioned events.
Where to next? Sires’ Produce, 1400m, Randwick 01/04: ($11-$6 Fav), Champagne Stakes 1600m
SWIMMING TIME SELECTION – HEAVENLY ANNA: She was unwanted at $51 in betting despite having good heavy form (breaking her maiden on a Kembla heavy 9) and absolutely swam through the going to run on strongly for second, leaving all those who made their runs In the same part of the track in her wake.
Having now qualified for the provincial championship, I’m sure Kerry Parker will be taking her there. It might be difficult to see her turning the tables on the winner Pomelo (Smashed; $3.80-$2.50 Fav), however she’ll most likely be under-rated by the market again and if it’s a bog could run on stoutly.
Interestingly enough, Dream Lane who finished third has been backed $15-$11 for the final whereas Heavenly Anna still remains a $26 chance after running over the top of it. I concede the margin was very close, but that should be reflected more in the market.
Where to next? Provincial Championship Final, 1400m, Randwick, 08/04