AFL Round 2 Betting Preview

Round 2 of the AFL kicks off and there are plenty of money making opportunities about!

Oddschecker
 | 
Thu, 30 Mar, 4:45 AM

HAWTHORN V ADELAIDE– Saturday afternoon, 1:45pm MCG

Hawthorn has won seven straight against Adelaide, can they extent that run?

 

The Hawks have lost Sam Mitchell and Jordan Lewis to rival clubs, and despite a soul destroying loss to Essendon in Round 1 the betting markets have completely overreacted. Is the dynasty over?

 

Yes, there are some causes for concern for the Hawks coming off a limp performance, but they can bounce back and beat an Adelaide side on a six-day backup after playing in scorching heat.

 

The Hawks welcome back Luke Hodge, who will provide some much needed leadership but the real improvement will come from Jaeger O’Meara and Ty Vickery who both underwhelmed in their debut for the Hawks.

 

Tom Mitchell racked up 37 disposals and will continue to improve working with his new teammates while much loved skipper Jarryd Roughead will be better for the hit out from his first game back from a long outing and will no doubt continue to improve with each game he plays.

 

Jack Gunston has proven himself one of the best forwards in the AFL since transferring from Adelaide to Hawthorn.

 

Gunston has made a huge impact at the Hawks since making the move, last year was the first year in five that he represented the ‘Brown and Gold’ that they did not make the Grand Final, he was however uncharacteristically quiet against the Bombers. Gunston failed to register a score against the Bombers and we are tipping him to hit back this week.

 

STATS BET

When these teams met last year in Round 5 at the MCG the Hawks won by three points with 221 points scored, while it was a similar story when the teams clashed in the semi-final in 2015 with the Hawks pounding in 21 goals.

 

The Crows kicked horrendously in front of goal that day scoring 8.13 and despite that fact there were still 196 points scored.

 

These two teams play attacking footy and after the Total Over points saluted in all nine games in Round 1, this is one that we are confidently predicting will go over.

 

 

THE MATCH TIP:  

HAWTHORN

 

SUGGESTED BET: TOTAL MATCH POINTS 

OVER 193.5 POINTS

 

1ST GOALSCORER: 

JACK GUNSTON

 

GWS V GOLD COAST – Saturday afternoon, 4:35pm Spotless Stadium

Two teams tipped for big things in 2017 got off to a terrible start in Round 1 and will be desperate to bounce back.

 

Some experts were tipping GWS to go through the entire season undefeated, so when they were trounced by 56 points in Round 1 against Adelaide it threw the cat amongst the pigeons.

 

As poor as GWS was last week, it is nothing compared to what Gold Coast dished up.

 

After an encouraging pre-season and welcoming back superstar Gary Ablett, they walked out of the barriers and somehow conceded seven goals in the opening quarter against Brisbane.

 

The Suns have no answer when teams move the ball quickly, and the major problem for them is that no team does that better in the competition than GWS.

 

The Giants will record a big win here and it will be the key forward Jeremy Cameron and Jonathan Patton who will be amongst the goals.

 

GWS will hit back hard, they return to Spotless Stadium where they won six games last season and alarmingly for the Suns the Giants have won four straight against them.

 

When the teams met at the venue in Round 8 last year the Giants won 22.17.149 to 9.4.58 and we are predicting a similar scoreline here.

 

If the Suns are going to win matches in 2017 it appears that once again the pressure will be on little superstar Gary Ablett to brunt the load of the midfield and push forward and kick goals.

 

Last week in the loss to Brisbane Ablett was good, you could even say he was very good collecting 28 disposals. Only Tom Rockliff had more with 37.

 

The expectations on Ablett are sometimes unfair, but the reality is that if the Suns are going to cause the upset he will have to feature prominently.

 

If you intend on backing the Giants to win the flag ($5) or make the Grand Final ($3.75 @ Palmerbet) then now is the time to do it.

 

STATS BET

Giants midfielder Stephen Coniglio saves his best for the Suns.

 

When the teams met in Round 20 he was the only player to crack 30 possessions on his way to 33 and it was a similar story earlier in the season when he collected the ball 25 times and had a team leading 8 tackles.

 

Look to Coniglio in disposal and fantasy markets.

 

 

THE MATCH TIP:  

GWS

 

SUGGESTED BET – LINE   

GWS -26.5

 

MARGIN: 

GWS OVER 39.5

 

 

BRISBANE V ESSENDON – Saturday night, 7:25pm GABBA

These two teams both caused upsets in Round 1 and surprisingly one will be 2-0.

 

In 2016 these two teams combined for just six wins and finished in 17th and 18th place on the ladder, few would have anticipated that in early April one would find themselves 2-0 on the back of two upset victories to start 2017.

 

Brisbane were electric in the opening term against Gold Coast, they slotted home seven goals to establish what turned out to be a match winning lead, while there were nervous times for the Lions, they showed enough composure in the final term to secure a much needed victory.

 

The Bombers and their supporters have gone to hell and back in the last few years, but on the back of a 25 point win over Hawthorn in Round 1 the finals are certainly a distinct possibility.

 

The Lions will be feeling good having registered an early win but it will be the Bombers now looking at this game as a wonderful chance to start the season 2-0.

 

The positive thing for the Bombers in the win over Hawthorn is also the concern, the conversion.

While a 25 point win over Hawthorn is great, it should have been a much heavier win and the only question over them is kicking big scores.

 

Joe Daniher is one of the best lead up forwards in the competition, but lets himself down with his goalckicking and only returned 3.3 last week.

 

As a result of concerns over the Bombers scoring we think they will grind out a win and take them in the Under 39.5 category in Margin betting.

 

STATS BET

The Merrett name has been famous at Windy Hill for decades and Zach is doing the family name proud.

 

The midfielder, who looks as if he would more likely be a jockey than an AFL star, was brilliant in Round 1 against Hawthorn collecting 37 disposals.

 

There are several players in this game that rack up plenty of disposals and he looks a good bet for Group A most touches.

 

 

THE MATCH TIP:  

ESSENDON

 

SUGGESTED BET:  MARGIN

ESSENDON UNDER 39.5 POINTS

 

1ST GOALSCORER: 

ORAZIO FANTASIA

 

WEST COAST V ST KILDA – Saturday night, 7:40pm Domain Stadium

The Saints were tipped to do big things in 2017, but will have to reverse a horrible interstate record to avoid an 0-2 start to the season.

 

When the teams met at Domain Stadium in Round 8 last year the Eagles won by a thumping 103 points and it would be a brave man to tip against them in this one.

 

Both these teams expect to play finals footy in 2017, but made vastly different starts to the season and this game now becomes one of vital importance.

 

The Eagles could now have the most damaging midfield in the competition with the addition of Sam Mitchell who was best on ground in his first game for the Eagles and with the likes of Gaff, Priddis, Shuey and Masten around him it is easy to see why the Eagles are in the premiership discussion.

 

The Saints were bitterly disappointing after quarter time against Melbourne last week and will need to reverse some horrible interstate form to get themselves a much-needed win.

 

Not only were the Saints crushed by 103 points last time they played the Eagles, they have dropped their past five games at Domain Stadium and didn’t win a game outside of Victoria in 2016. Adding to the woes for the Saints is the loss of inspirational Nick Riewoldt.

 

Looking longer term we suggest locking in the $2.75 (Sportsbet) on Josh Kennedy winning the Coleman Medal and the $21 (Crownbet) on the double with Kennedy winning the Coleman into West Coast winning the premiership.

 

Kennedy has won the Coleman the past two seasons, he started with a seven goal haul and kicked five against the Saints when they last clashed.

 

A big haul on Saturday night and he may not be black figures again this year.

 

STATS BET

Punters will make a fortune on Eagles games in 2017 if they do two things - back Sam Mitchell for the Group A Most Disposals and Josh Kennedy for the Most Goals.

 

In the Round 1 win over North Melbourne both these bet suggestions paid off, Mitchell racked up 38 disposals which was the most on the ground with Josh Kennedy slotting seven goals.

 

We are keen on both happening here.

 

 

THE MATCH TIP:  

WEST COAST

 

SUGGESTED BET:  

WINNING MARGIN: EAGLES OVER 39.5

 

1ST GOALSCORER: 

JOSH KENNEDY

 

 

 

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