Day 2 of the Championships have arrived, and it is a bit of a letdown from last week in all honesty. Winx has scared off her rivals in the Queen Elizabeth. Only nine runners in a $4,000,000 race is disappointing. Outside of that the Kiwis look to have a stranglehold on the Oaks like the Derby last week. Hoping again the track gets too slow and the rail is +4m 1600m to Winning Post, +3m Remainder. Praying for no bias this week!
QUADDIES (Races 6-7-8-9)
Skinny: 9 – 4,5,10 – 1,6,17 – 1,11
Wide: 9 – 4,5,6,7,8,10 – 1,3,5,6,12,14,17 – 1,3,5,9,11
Best Bet: R3 N4 SERENA BAY
Next Best Bet: R6 N1 LASQUETI SPIRIT
Best Roughie: R2 N9 UBATUBA
NO 9 WHISPERED SECRET Won well last start against the older horses and gave them a start. Previous to that she had no luck behind Ataraxia. The step to 1600m now looks to suit.
NO 1 MURAAHIB Really ran through the line last start at Rosehill indicating the step to 1600m would work. He was having his first start in Sydney that day and took a while to get on his “Sydney leg” now that he has had that experience he should improve.
NO 4 COULTHARD Got the job done in good fashion last start in what looked to be an ok maiden over 1400m. He has had a trial since then and did what he needed to do. Snowden and Harron in a 2yo race!
NO 8 EARTH ANGEL Supremely well-bred 2yo who will only get better as the distances increase. The debut win was strong through the line and up to 1600m suits now.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 8 EARTH ANGEL
NO 9 UBATUBA (BEST ROUGHIE) Got way too far back in the Albury Guineas last start, he drops 6kgs for that effort and gets the senior jockey here. The form out of that race should stand up.
NO 2 BEZEL Has been nothing short of horrible this preparation. He hasn’t performed at all and he was pulled up last start in the Phar Lap. His trials have been quite good. Maybe the tongue tie can do the trick?
NO 1 ECHO EFFECT Ran well in the Doncaster Prelude last start and drops back to 3yo level here. Prior to that his form was fantastic just being beaten in the Hobartville and placing to Royal Navy prior. 59kgs though.
NO 3 PEACOCK Comes back from what has been a disappointing Melbourne prep. If he is at his best, his form is good enough to run well here.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 9 UBATUBA
NO 4 SERENA BAY (BEST BET) Huge winner fresh over 1200m with 59kgs. She dominated the race and ran better time than the older horses on the day. She has She Will Reign form from her first prep too. Second-up at home she looks ready to peak here and should be hard to beat.
NO 6 ALMANZORA Big winner on debut at Warwick Farm, she got through the going quite well. She drops in weight for that effort and looks to be one of the better Godolphin fillies.
NO 3 SHOALS 2/2 In Melbourne thus far with the last effort being a good winner down the straight. Yet to see wet going and Fastnets don’t seem to handle super wet going. But she is superbly bred.
NO 1 FORMALITY Better suited in a small field here rather than the Slipper, she will hope that the track improves as she didn’t handle it in the Slipper.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 1 SERENA BAY
NO 9 POMELO Dominated her lead-up run last start and gave them no chance to get near her. She has won all three in good fashion this time in and she looks ready for 1400m now. She should get an easy enough time here and be hard to run down.
NO 10 DREAM LANE Hit the line well in the better going last start and the step to 1400m here looks suitable. Word has come out that he was working well in the lead-up and he is set to peak here.
NO 2 BETTER NOT BLUE Ran superbly last start in the qualifier. He got carted right off the track and ran through the line well. Out to 1400m now looks much more suitable.
NO 3 ZIGANUI Looked all over a winner last start before getting swamped late by a horse down the fast lane. Third up to 1400m here with Bowman on are all ticks. He is adept in all going.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 3 ZIGANUI
NO 5 GLENALL Massive last start in the Galaxy and actually has been huge in all three runs this time in. He finds a race that suits perfectly here and Clark gets back aboard. From gate 6 he should just sit off them and prove too strong.
NO 3 DEFCON Trialing up in impressive fashion coming into a first-up run. His best runs have been fresh in both of his campaigns so far. I wonder why he was seven weeks between trials?
NO 6 TACTICAL ADVANTAGE Going brilliantly this time in and didn’t have the best of luck last start. He has been back to the trials again as per usual for this prep. On a drier track he should be better suited.
NO 2 IMPENDING Was never going to win last start when he was dragged back to last on a track that suited leaders. Now here in a big prizemoney race which can help the stallion profile, he is set to peak.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 3 DEFCON
NO 1 LASQUETI SPIRIT (NEXT BEST BET) May well run them into the ground again here. It took Jameka / Humidor to get past her last start and that is serious WFA Group 1 form. She comes and meets a bunch of fillies for the first time this prep, how are they going to feel at the 800m when she is off and gone?
NO 3 BONNEVAL Won her last three in impressive fashion, had the proper lead up of a 2400m run coming in. The Kiwis have been dominant and this filly can continue that.
NO 6 DEVISE Brings the same form as Bonneval this time in and probably can’t turn the result around, but Kiwi in a 2400m Classic race needs to be respected.
NO 10 WHEAL LEISURE Brings far left of field form into this, but the last three runs have been over 2000m and a wet track should suit.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 1 LASQUETI SPIRIT
NO 9 WINX What do I need to say, she will be $1.10 and going for 17 straight. Sit back and enjoy her.
NO 3 HAPPY CLAPPER Backs up quickly again here after a big run last weekend in the Doncaster. He did this last year and ran third. He handles all going and should be the runner-up.
NO 1 HARTNELL Ran on well last start and looks to be back on track after a failure in the Chipping Norton. From gate 1 Doyle should sit a touch closer and be thereabouts.
NO 2 EXOSPHERIC Solid enough last start in the BMW. The drop back to 2000m shouldn’t pose an issue at all. Wet tracks are no issue either.
VALUE RUNNER: 9 – 3/1 EXACTA
NO 10 PENGLAI PAVILION I know little of the form O/S but the horse who beat him last start won the Dubai 3200m Group 1 race so it has to be respected, as does Appleby when he brings one here. McEvoy has a great record on these horses and his wet form is brilliant.
NO 5 ASSIGN The step up to the 3200m here could be a step too far given the prep. But being from Lloyds camp you cannot deny him. He ground away last start when winning as if the step up will suit.
NO 4 TALLY Has had a great grounding for this race by taking on the WFA horses early in the prep then winning with 59kg at handicap conditions, he drops to 55kgs here and is adept in all going.
NO 7 BIG DUKE Favs have a horrid record in this race and he now has to step up and meet some proper horses and has never backed up.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 10 PENGALI PAVILION
NO 6 DIXIE BLOSSOMS One last chance for me here, I now understand the totally negative tactics last start, as she is here to peak on the big day. Randwick, 1600m and a wet track all are ticks, as is Clipperton back on.
NO 1 SILENT SEDITION Broke through for a well-deserved Group 1 last start with a win in the William Reid. She was huge in the Coolmore prior when 3-4 wide the trip. Williams back on here is no negative and the wet track shouldn’t be an issue. Maybe a tough mile is?
NO 17 FOXPLAY Drops back from 2000m here and it looks a perfect set up for C Waller big mile winners. Her win previous to that over 1500m was brilliant and at WFA she is well weighted given her rating.
NO 5 ZANBAGH Big winner last start of the Emancipation, she gets her preferred going yet again here and is proven up to 2400m. From gate 16 she is going to have to go back and the services of D Lane aren’t to be knocked.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 6 DIXIE BLOSSOMS
NO 11 RAVI Trialing in brilliant fashion leading into a fresh run here. She looks to have the upside that some of these don’t. She handles all going.
NO 1 TYCOON TARA Has been a revelation since she joined the Snowden stable. She has trialled brilliantly and she is in last preps form, lookout.
NO 3 SECRET AGENDA Comes into this second-up and finds softer going which is what she likes best. She ran on in good sectionals at Mornington and back to mares grade she is suited.
NO 5 THAMES COURT Hasn’t had much luck this time in and finds a suitable race here. I like that she has the blinkers on for the first time here as well as being back to 1200m after a tough run in the Coolmore.
VALUE RUNNER: NO 5 THAMES COURT