Pakenham (Thursday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Pakenham. Today’s best bet is in race 5.
Night racing continues deep into the autumn at Pakenham and Cranbourne.
Tonight’s Pakenham meeting should escape the rain with rain not forecast until Friday.
After the downpour last Saturday the track is not completely dried out as it is rated a Soft 6 and doesn’t need any more showers.
There is not much chance of drying out with a low of 11C forecast and a high on 23C for Thursday and low 20s in between.
The false rail is at seven metres.
QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)
Skinny Play: 2 / 12 / 6,7,8 / 1,7,9
Wide Play: 2,7,9,10 / 7,8,12 / 3,6,7,8,9,14 / 1,5,6,79,14
BEST BET: R5 – 2. MISSILE BOOM
Next Best Bet: R6 – 12 MAWHOOBA
Best Roughie: R7 – 14. OLD FARM ROAD
R1 – 6.00pm. Polytrack Maiden – 1400m.
No7 RIDGWAY gives punters the chance to get their money back after he ran second first-up as a $2.10 favourite over 1200m here in a maiden on March 30. Did not have much luck that time and can redeem.
No12 POLISHER wound up into a powerful finish to snatch second over 1200m in a fillies’ maiden here on March 23. Returns here with a kilo drop in weight to 56kg and a far superior alley in gate five.
No4 RIVER REWARD was specked into $5.50 before flooding home to run second over 1200m in a maiden here on March 23. Jamie Mott keeps the ride and is better drawn in gate eight. Was trapped deep from wide alley before.
No3 NATHAN ROAD did not have too much luck before finishing on well to run fourth over 1200m in a maiden here on March 30. Was a drifter in betting from $4.80 to $7 that time and deserves another chance.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 NATHAN ROAD
R2 – 6.30pm. Racing.com Maiden – 1200m.
No9 EVERYBODY’S GAL has done enough at her three starts with two placings to suggest here. Latest she ran a sound third over 1300m in a maiden at Geelong first up on March 28. She is bound to be fitter.
No8 BLUE MONEY has been trying to break the ice for some time and may be today. She is fresh here after having ran fourth over 1200m in a maiden at Moonee Valley on December 9. Has a solid first-up record and Dwayne Dunn to ride.
No10 GOLDEN FUSAICHI refused to surrender when running second over 1200m in a maiden here on March 30. That was first-up off a very long spell and was her first placing at four starts. Can improve further.
No5 ONE BLINK gets Jack Martin’s 1.5kg reducing his impost to 56.5kg. He has been well prepared for this with two trials over 990m and 800m at Cranbourne and his first-up record is not too bad. Worth thought here.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 ONE BLINK
R3 – 7.00pm. John Duff & Co Maiden – 1600m.
No5 MUTIN has been most expensive to his supporters but can finally break-through here after starting as a $3.20 favourite and running second over 1600m in a maiden at Sandown on March 29. Placed at all five starts.
No11 HANDPICKED definitely showed enough at her debut to worth following. She wound up to finish fourth over 1400m in a F&M maiden here on March 30. She has a tongue-tie fitted for the first time here.
No4 LET’S MAKE WHOOPI may improve on debut when running eighth over 1200m in a maiden here on March 30. Daniel Stackhouse is the new rider and has drawn perfectly in gate one. Has blinkers off and winkers go on.
No12 WHITE LADY was well-fancied at debut when running a sound fourth over 1400m in a maiden here on March 23. Jake Noonan keeps the ride and has a superior draw in gate four. Blinkers go on for the first time.
VALUE RUNNER: No12 WHITE LADY
R4 – 7.30pm. Total Animal Care Supplies Handicap – 1600m.
No3 FIFE eased in the betting but was a high profiler before finishing a solid second over 1400m against her own sex at Sandown on March 29. That was first up and has a riding change with Luke Nolen the new jockey.
No2 NORTHERN CHARM takes a big leap in weight from 57kg to 59kg with the claim of apprentice Jordan Grob. She did win impressively enough over 1600m here on March 23 and has won at two of her past three starts.
No1 DEVILISHLY has been finishing with the leaders. Latest ran a good third over 1500m at Sandown on March 29. With apprentice Mitchell Aiken’s 2kg claim her impost drops to 59kg, but is still up 1.5kg on last run.
No8 TICKED gave a fair first-up effort when hitting the line solidly over 1500m against F&M at Cranbourne on March 31. She was kept safe in the betting at $5.50 and is unbeaten at this distance.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 TICKED
R5 – 8.00pm. Stabil-lime Handicap – 1400m.
No2 MISSILE BOOM (BEST BET) showed great improvement second-up when tearing away to a 2¼ length win over 1400m here on March 30. He does go up 2kg to 60kg, but Jamie Mott keeps the ride. Has an outstanding strike rate of two starts for a win and a second at this track and loves this distance.
No10 KAPTIVE HERO scored a slashing win here on March 30. Danger.
No9 HENPECKER is from a top stable and has a top jockey on top. Ready with a trial under belt.
No7 MISS DUBOIS has an unblemished record at this track and last start winner here.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 MISS DUBOIS
R6 – 8.30pm. Officer Grain Store Handicap – 1200m.
No12 MAWHOOBA (NEXT BEST BET) may be the baby of this field as a three-year-old filly but she is all class with a record of two wins, two seconds and a third at her five starts. She resumes here from a spell but she did trial well over 990m at Cranbourne on April 3. She looks ready to fire off first-up.
No7 MAKATITI resumed from a 227-day break to run a strong second and respect.
No8 TYCOON FELIX is worth each-way thoughts on win over 1000m at Cranbourne.
No11 ST SWITHUNS has an ace first-up record and had two trials as a warm-up.
VALUE RUNNER: No11 ST SWITHUNS
R7 – 9.00pm. APM Handicap – 1200m.
No6 MAGAZINE GAP faces a competitive field here, but has had two solid trials at Cranbourne in preparation for this. Has a sound first-up record and was in top form at this track last campaign. Has winkers off.
No8 NIGHT QUEEN hails from a leading stable and departed with a smart win over 1400m here on August 16. She carried 59.5kg to that win and has a fair drawn in gate 10. Mitchell Aitken’s 2kg claim reduces her handicap to 56kg.
No14(E) OLD FARM ROAD (BEST ROUGHIE) hails from a leading New Zealand stable. He did enough to suggest he is a chance here on his first-up second over 1206m at Benella on March 25. Would expect natural improvement here.
No7 GOOD THERAPY is up in class on last-start win at Stoney Creek when striding to a 4-length win over 1100m in a maiden on March 27. Daniel Stackhouse has stayed on board and he is from a smart Caulfield stable.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 GOOD THERAPY
R8 – 9.30pm. Sportsbet Racing Form Handicap – 1600m.
No1 CHEQUERED FLAG had good support at Australian debut when running a strong third over 1600m here on March 23. Brad Rawiller rides again and goes up a half kilo to 60kg. Bound to be fitter and expect good support again.
No9 HUSSOR showed improvement second up to post a smart win over 1400m at Ballarat on April 2. Brad Rawiller jumps off to Chequered Flag but has the good rider Craig Newitt to deputise. Looks a strong danger.
No7 MEOWIE WOWIE is a lightly-raced galloper with plenty of upside. Latest won a maiden over 1400m at Wangaratta on March 31. Daniel Stackhouse rides again and goes up a kilo to 57.5kg. Has good chances.
No5 SAN VINCENZO fulfilled promise when broke maiden status in style with a 2¾ length win over 1400m at Ballarat on March 26. Goes up a half kilo to 58.5kg and is a galloper with upside and yet to miss a cheque at three starts this prep.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 MEOWIE WOWIE