Fevola's Round 5 Betting Preview

It looks as though the Power will be back to winning ways in this one.

Oddschecker
 | 
Fri, 21 Apr, 12:13 AM

Port Adelaide vs Carlton (Friday)

It looks as though the Power will be back to winning ways in this one.

 

They will be winning this and probably covering the Line which is hovering around 37.5 Points depending on who you are betting with.

 

Carlton tried hard against Gold Coast last week but lack a few pieces in order to get the job done. I cannot see them beating Port who are one of the better teams in the comp at the moment.

 

Ollie Wines is our man to have 30+ Disposals ($1.80 @ Sportsbet) and I think he is going to have a big game as he always tends to show his best against the Blues.

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

PORT ADELAIDE -37.5 LINE


VALUE PLAY:

WINES 30+ DISPOSALS

 

VALUE PLAY:

SAM GRAY MOST GOALS

Western Bulldogs vs Brisbane (Saturday)

This is going to get ugly if you are a Brisbane supporter.

 

The Lions are taking on the champs and I can see this being a total gap job – there’s no point in sugarcoating it!

 

Western Bulldogs are packing too many guns for Brisbane and although they are short in Head-to-Head betting, take them to cover the Line which is around 45.5.

 

They will cover the line easy so the value is in goal scorers and disposals markets.

 

Put some of your hard earned on Jake Stringer to kick 3+ Goals while he is paying $3 @ Sportsbet to kick 4+ Goals. Liam Picken is your man for touches so get on him to have 30+ Disposals.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

WESTERN BULLDOGS -45.5 LINE


VALUE PLAY:

STRINGER 3+ GOALS

 

VALUE PLAY:

LIAM PICKEN 30+ DISPOSALS

Gold Coast vs Adelaide (Saturday)

Don’t look to take the shorts because I smell an upset on the cards!

 

I am tipping the Suns ($4.30 @ Unibet) to cause a boilover for a few reasons. Firstly, they are in-form and secondly the game is at Metricon Stadium. With Gary Ablett Jnr in outstanding form, Adelaide have to lose one at some point and I reckon this one is it.

 

Speaking of the great man, Ablett Jnr is a lock for 3+ Goals and 30 Disposals so get on wherever you can because I think that’s a really good bet.

 

Tom Lynch for the Suns is a moral for Most Goals and I think he’ll bag at least 5 or 6 following his 7 from last week.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

GOLD COAST


VALUE PLAY:

LYNCH MOST GOALS

 

VALUE PLAY:

ABLETT JNR 3+ GOALS AND 30+ DISPOSALS
 

Sydney vs GWS (Saturday)

The Swannies are set to break their maiden in the Sydney Derby.

 

Sydney are going to win this so take advantage of the good price on offer. Shopping around I have found them at $2.75 with Sportsbet.

 

I know they are yet to win a game but they haven’t been going too bad and a derby match is exactly what they need to kick-start their season. Let’s be honest, no one wants to go 0-5 do they?

 

The gun will be Buddy Franklin who I’m tipping for Most Goals while Dylan Shiel could be a good thing to get at least 30 touches or more.

 

The SCG will be buzzing for this one and I cannot wait to see emerges the winner.

Fremantle vs North Melbourne (Saturday)

The Dockers are set to inflict more pain on the Kangaroos this weekend.

 

Fremantle has suddenly found form and are looking for three straight wins and strike a North Melbourne outfit that is low on confidence.

 

Michael Walters is the man for 1st Goal while Nat Fyfe and Jack Ziebell for their teams will do the job in touches and rack up at least 30 Disposals each.

 

St Kilda vs Geelong (Sunday)

This is a really big game and could produce one of several upsets this weekend.

 

Geelong will drop a game sooner or later and St Kilda aren’t a bad team at all so I think this could be the week where the Cats will see their unbeaten run come to an end.

 

The Saints are aiming for three straight wins and have some confidence behind them. Take the value of $2.80 @ Palmerbet for them to get the points.

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

ST KILDA


VALUE PLAY:

JACK BILLINGS 1ST GOAL

 

VALUE PLAY:

PATRICK DANGERFIELD 30+ DISPOSALS

Hawthorn vs West Coast (Sunday)

It’s time the Hawks got off the mark for 2017.

 

This won’t be because they are a better side than the Eagles but mainly due to the fact that West Coast cannot play at the ‘G.

 

The West Coast outfit has struggled to play at the MCG for a number of years and have beaten just one team there in several years. The dimensions of the ‘G are far different to that of Subiaco and that is something that the Eagles players appeared to have struggled with.

 

Jarryd Roughead is due for a big game so expect him to explode in this one. Back him in the Most Goals market while Tom Mitchell is my choice for 30+ Disposals. While you’re at it throw in Matt Priddis for 30+ Disposals too – that is nearly a certainty!

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

HAWTHORN


VALUE PLAY:

TOM MITCHELL 30+ DISPOSALS

 

VALUE PLAY:

MATT PRIDDIS 30+ DISPOSALS

Richmond vs Melbourne (Monday)

 

The perfect start to the season will continue for the Tigers here.

 

They’ve won all four games so far and it will take a bit more than a depleted Melbourne side to stop their roll.

 

Richmond are going to win this and win this well.

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

RICHMOND


VALUE PLAY:

JACK RIEWOLDT 1ST GOAL

 

VALUE PLAY:

TRENT COTCHIN 30+ DISPOSALS

Essendon vs Collingwood (Tuesday)

This is going to be a ripper with the Black and Whites set to rock ‘n’ roll.

 

ANZAC Day always brings out the best in both sides and with a ripper crowd expected at the ‘G this should be another fascinating contest. It’s a big game on a big day.

 

I think the Pies are a little more advanced than the Bombers at the moment.

 

There should be some value to be found in various markets because ANZAC Day tends to throw up a player no one expected to have a big one. This year my pick is for Alex Fasolo to be that player. Take him in the ANZAC Medal market because he loves the big stage!

 

As for the others, Steele Sidebottom should be good for 30+ Disposals while Darcy Moore is my choice for 1st Goalscorer. Look to Scott Pendlebury to rack up 30+ Disposals as well along with the Bombers’ Brent Stanton.

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

COLLINGWOOD


VALUE PLAY:

DARCY MOORE 1ST GOAL

 

VALUE PLAY:

ALEX FASOLO ANZAC DAY MEDAL

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