Randwick (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Randwick. Today’s best bet is in race 7
Randwick for the rescheduled Sydney Cup meeting, well done by the ATC for re-running the race as it’s a $2 million race that needs to be decided. There are 10 races on the card now which is hard not to like. We should have a soft track on race day and the rail should be out 2m the circuit.
QUADDIES (races 7-8-9-10)
Skinny Play: 6 – 10,14 – 4,7,8 – 1,3,8
Wide Play: 1,6,8 – 4,7,10,12,14 – 1,2,3,4,7,8,10 – 1,2,3,7,8
BEST BET: R7 – 6. NIETA
Next Best Bet: R1 – 4. DEBONAIRLY
Best Roughie: R10 – 1. REPLIQUE
R1 – 11.25pm. Stratum Star Retires To Widden Handicap - 1100m.
No4 DEBONAIRLY (NEXT BEST BET) resumed with a super strong win at Newcastle in fairly fast time. To do that first up over 1200m was quite impressive and the drop back to 1100m here shouldn’t be an issue at all. The hoof filler as a gear change doesn’t mean anything, it’s like wearing a new pair of Asics. She should roll along and be hard to beat.
No2 DARHAD has trialled in good fashion leading into the first-up run here. He has joined Team Hawkes since the last prep and comes out of some good form races.
No3 SILENCE got the job done well at Newcastle over 900m and the jump now to 1100m is a tricky one, but the way he savaged the line on debut showed that this shouldn’t be an issue.
No5 SIAM has form around Catchy from last prep and has trialled well coming into the fresh run.
VALUE RUNNER: No 3 SILENCE
R2 – 12.00pm. Schweppervescene Handicap -1200m.
No5 GIBRALTAR GIRL wasn’t too bad first-up in a stronger race than this and ran on quite well against the bias. She drops back from stakes grade to BM level and is a winner second-up in the past. If the track dried out any more it would enhance her chances ten-fold.
No3 I THOUGHT SO threw away the Gosford Guineas last start by baulking at the finishing line a few times. He still isn’t the furnished product and in the long Randwick straight, he may well get lost again here and run all over the place. I want to see him do it on race day before backing him.
No1 TESSERA resumes here with blinkers back on and has been gelded which must have been hard by Godolphin as he is a Group winner who is well bred. The trials leading in have been quite good and from the soft gate of 1, McEvoy will need to hold him up for one run at them with 61kg.
No7 FRANCE resumes here off the back of a good trial leading in and has some very solid form behind him. He should be able to get through the soft going off that trial. He has his first start here at his home track and he looks suited.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 GIBRALTAR GIRL
R3 – 12.35pm. ATC Heritage Centre Handicap -1600m.
No4 EGG TART has come back in brilliant fashion with two wins from as many starts and has savaged the line on both occasions and now steps to the mile here which should suit perfectly. She looks to be a legitimate QLD Oaks contender and this is the next step for her here.
No3 CAERLESS CHOICE steps up from country grade for the first time and was quite good in the Championships final against the bias that day. Him stepping to the mile now looks to suit and he claims right down to 57kgs which suits well. He is a winner at the mile in the past.
No7 OKLAHOMA GIRL won well at the mile last start and stays at the distance here, she may well be looking for further right now, but is unbeaten at 1600m and it seems to be her go. If Waller has kept her fresh enough she can figure in the finish.
No6 THE PINNACLE has won well in his last two runs and the win at Newcastle was quite good as he overcame a lot of troubles to win that race. The open spaces of Randwick suit here.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 OAKLAHOMA GIRL
R4 – 1.10pm. Schweppes Randwick Royale Handicap - 2400m.
No8 RICHARD OF YORKE sat up on a murderous speed last start and was run down late by Hans Holbien and he beat the rest quite well there. Wet tracks aren’t an issue at all as he has got through them in the past and his Melbourne form should hold up well here.
No5 DIVINE SANCTION has been going well enough as of late without winning and gets to 2400m here. He looks to be a legit one goer who probably won't be in the stable for much longer, he does drop in weight here which could help.
No1 SURVIVED was quite good last start in the Albury Cup when asked to do a lot of work before the turn there and that effort told on him late. He is a tough old boy who will keep on trying day in day out for you. After the claim he is well in and he doesn’t mind soft going.
No2 YOUL DASH FOR CASH has a great wet track record and finds soft going here, his run last start in the Mornington Cup wasn’t too bad at all for his rating up against some well performed horses. He claims down to 54.5kg and should be in the finish if he holds his form.
VALUE RUNNER: No 2 YOUL DASH FOR CASH
R5 – 1.45pm. TAB Highway Handicap - 1400m.
No5 SCHEDULE won well last start at Scone over what looked to be an unsuitable distance. I have always been a fan of this horse ever since he left the Lloyd Williams camp. He now comes to Randwick second-up and soft going won't worry him at all given the win at Scone. The wide open expanses of Randwick suit as does McEvoy.
No7 ONLY CHOICE was a big winner second-up after an amazing debut where he made up a stack of ground late to just miss. Now just staying at the 1400m is a slight worry as I think he is looking for 1600m now. But with the long Randwick straight and some cut in the ground should help offset that.
No1 BARBASS resumes here off a long break and gets the blinkers back on for the first-up run. He has had close to a year off and has had two solid trials coming into this to get his fitness up. His form is better than these, but 61kgs fresh I have to be wary.
No3 NOT FOR EXPORT was fantastic closing off in the Country Championships against the bias. That form should hold up quite well here. He only goes up 2kgs for that effort and has shown that he can handle wet going in the past.
VALUE RUNNER: No 5 SCHEDULE
R6 – 2.20pm. ATC Membership Handicap - 1600m.
No6 BROADSIDE should be a lot fitter for the first-up effort where he went 13 lengths above the average for the early section of the race. He was entitled to drop out late and did. He has a good second-up record and at 1600m he is a winner in the past and should take up the pace here.
No9 GRAND DREAMER comes here in search of wet ground and finds it here. The record at 1600m is quite outstanding and getting in on the minimum here with McEvoy after what was a solid first-up run he needs to be respected here.
No8 MY PSYCHIATRIST closed off well enough upon resumption at Warwick Farm, up to a mile now does suit even more. But it has been noted that she is off to the Wagga Cup next start which is a Listed race which would give her black type and she will probably peak there.
No2 MONTAUK comes back here off a freshen-up and finally looks to have found that killer instinct. Avdulla seems to get the best out of him and he stays on here. He may want a touch further than this, but he will be hitting the line.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 MY PSYCHIARTRIST
R7 – 2.55pm. Ranvet Handicap - 1000m.
No6 NIETA (BEST BET) resumes here off the back of a brilliant last preparation where she went from a Class 2 win, to an unlucky defeat in a Listed race. She has had two trials coming into this and looks to have come back in brilliant fashion, she is unbeaten fresh and is a gun over 1000m. She handles all types of going and looks brilliantly suited resuming.
No8 HIGHLY GEARED will lead them up here and won quite well in the Camerena at Canberra, she has won in wet going previously and claims right down here.
No1 SIR BACCHUS is the best horse in the race and may well blow them away, but 61kgs and 1000m worry me.
No2 I AM ZELADY hasn’t won over 1000m in the past and will find this too short, off the freshen up she will be running through the line.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 HIGHLY GEARED
R8 – 3.35pm. Schweppes Sydney Cup - 3200m.
No14 POLARISATION actually won the called off Sydney Cup and I am counting it as a race for the few horses who ran out the race. Last spring these Godolphin horses just spring boarded second-up and this horse “won” in a dominant fashion. I see no reason why he cannot win here.
No10 PENGLAI PAVILION was run down late in the Sydney Cup and did do a stack of work there, again like Polarisation he should be improved for that effort and although he isn’t the same price as he was on the original Sydney Cup, just note that he should improve “second-up”.
No12 LASQUETI SPIRIT will have to break all sorts of records to win this race, but given the set up that she has had she does look well suited here. She won't have to go as fast in front as she did in the Oaks, and given that she has drawn out, she won't get stuck behind them early.
No7 HARLEM has good international form and getting out to 3200m here looks as if it will suit quite well given his run in the Kergolay last year (In France). I am forgetting the Queen Elizabeth run as he was outclassed there at WFA. Handicap conditions here suit better, and Chad Schofield coming down to ride.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 HARLEM
R9 – 4.15pm. TAB.COM.AU Handicap - 1400m.
No7 DREAMFORCE just missed upon resumption at Newcastle and the step now to 1400m looks as if it will suit perfectly. He is a winner second-up in the past and does have some good form around him. John Thompson horses have found their form as of late.
No8 DISTINCIVE LOOK did a mountain of work in the Country Championships and I am just writing off that run due to the bias on the day. He gets a tongue tie here too and that should help him. He is a winner at Randwick in the past and should get a better run here.
No4 SUPPLY AND DEMAND has been back to the trials since a good win last month at the midweeks. The drop back to 1400m shouldn’t worry given the two trials he had. He is adept in all going and looks to take up the pace here and should be hard to run down.
No3 LAZYAXL ran on quite well last start over 1200m and showed that the step up to 1400m here will suit. He has handled all going in the past and since the move to Newnham’s stable he has shown he is a lot more versatile tactically.
VALUE RUNNER: No 8 DISTINCTIVE LOOK
R10 – 4.55pm. #THERACES Handicap -1400m.
No1 REPLIQUE (BEST ROUGHIE) resumes here for her second Australian preparation and should be much more suited here now after a solid grounding. The trials leading in have been quite good and she did run some good races last prep and its stronger than it looks.
No3 ANISHA drops back in grade here and looks much more suited at this level. She has been beaten at Group level twice before and bounced back both times with brilliant runs. She is adept in all going and isn’t the best of horses to watch in the run, but with clear running she will finish over the top.
No8 SIREN’S FURY is well up in weight here but has run quite well at her last two starts and drops in level yet again here. She has handled wet going in the past and looks to get a race run to suit here, even though she takes on the older horses.
No7 GRETNA had a change of tactics last start and finally broke through there, I expect the same tactics to be employed here as they are a proven winner. She handles all going and now that she has found that winning feeling she may well hold it.
VALUE RUNNER: No 1 REPLIQUE