Randwick for the Anzac day meeting, we have a few interesting races early on with the 2yo maidens which usually produces a good horse or two. After that, more diluted races with nice city and provincial meetings in eight days. We can only get 86 acceptances for 8 races. The rail is out 10m after the Sydney Cup meeting and the track should be soft.
QUADDIES (races 5-6-7-8)
Skinny Play: 4,6 – 2,3,5 – 6 – 2,3,5,6
Wide Play: 2,4,6,7 – 2,3,5 – 6 - FIELD
BEST BET: R7 – 6. BLOWING KISSES
Next Best Bet: R2 – 13. TAKING AIM
Best Roughie: R3 – 4. IVORYMAN
No7 MELIBOEA has solid form around her and has had a good trial coming into this off a freshen up. Look at the names that she has finished around in her four starts and you can see why she looks to be a classy filly who can breakthrough here.
No8 MEMBERSHIP was really well backed on debut and really failed to perform there. She has had a spell since then and gone back to the trials and did a good job there. She looks to roll along in front here and should be a chance here.
No12 SEAGLASS has improved with each trial thus far in her career. She is really well bred and trained on the track and with McEvoy on board she should get a good run in the race from gate 8.
No6 MADONNICA resumed quite well with a really good run at Newcastle in which they ran super quick time for the day there. She has drawn a good gate and has some good form around her and has a chance here.
VALUE RUNNER: No12 SEAGLASS
No13 TAKING AIM (NEXT BEST BET) has the best form in this race by a long way and provided that he has freshened up well he should be too good for this lot. The trial leading in was quite good and the runs behind Menari / Dimicus / Catchy are more than good enough here.
No5 GAULOIS has really good form around him and has trialled well leading in, Goodfell and Trekking form is good enough here.
No8 KOOKABAA has run well in both career runs to date and should do so again here from the good gate.
No7 HONG QIGONG is quite well bred and has trialed well coming into this with his brilliant trial on April 10.
VALUE RUNNER: No 8 KOOKABAA
No5 PROMETHEUS has solid form around him and has trialled up well coming into this event. I am not sure where he can get to this time in, but this does look to be a good kick off point for him. Maybe he can turn up in Queensland?
No7 SMOOTH WHISKEY found the line well enough fresh, on what was a really tough day to make ground at Warwick Farm. He should be improved for that first-up run and from the good gate (1) Avdulla should have him in a stalking position.
No4 IVORYMAN (BEST ROUGHIE) was good enough first up at Wyong. Now to the 1400m of Randwick and the wide open spaces will suit him much better, the form from that race should hold up quite well too and I like him out to the 1400m.
No3 YEAH BRAVO has solid form around him and was pretty poor first-up, but that was off what was a good trial and he may have been flattened off that. Out to the 1400m now suits perfectly and he has his chance.
VALUE RUNNER: No 4 IVORYMAN
No4 STAMPEDE looks to have a mortgage on this race after what happened to him last start, the stablemate took him on and they went 13 lengths above average for the middle section of the race, yet he managed to kick and was just run down late. 2000m now suits perfectly and he will get no pressure in the lead here.
No3 LIFE LESS ORDINARY was quite dominant in winning at his first Australian start, given his ownership he may well be off to the Wagga Cup after this, while he may not peak here given the small field he has a chance.
No5 KISEKI DANE backs up after Easter Monday and did a good job in winning there, he should sit off the speed and have his chance.
No2 FLOODLIGHT drops in grade here and hasn’t set the world on fire in two Australian runs so far. Drier ground may help?
VALUE RUNNER: No5 KISEKI DANE
No4 SHIELD WALL looks to have found her race here and gets blinkers on for the first time and she looks well suited here, the two runs at Newcastle have been quite good and this looks weaker than that.
No6 WORD GAMES comes out of a good maiden on debut where she finished off quite well behind Whispered Secret. That form has since stood up and she has been back to the trials since that and did her business quite well. Cummings has used this tactic well in the past.
No7 DUCHESS PEDRILLE has trialled in brilliant fashion twice leading into the first-up run. I like how the last trial was over 1050m and she was asked to win that, from gate 2 Parr should sit her right on the speed and prove hard to run down.
No2 MIA ROSA has been good enough in two runs in Melbourne thus far and comes here with no trial leading in and I couldn’t find a jump out of hers. I just have to trust the SP profile and her breeding here.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 WORD GAMES
No2 SKILLFUL has a good second-up record and resumed quite well at Canterbury, where he basically snagged out of it and ran on quite well late. He has a great record at the track and distance and looks quite well suited here.
No3 LAY DOWN THE LAW has really found form this time in with good wins from his last two starts. He handles all type of going and after the claim he looks to be well weighted and he has his chance yet again.
No5 LABDIEN has had two nice trials coming into the fresh run here. She has never really lived up to the potential that she has, and always seems to have a short SP profile. She looks to have come back well and the booking of Shinn gives me hope here.
No6 VANILOQUIO backs up quickly after a good win at the midweeks at Wyong, he travelled wide throughout the run there and still put them away well. McEvoy sticks here and he has his chance.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 LAY DOWN THE LAW
No6 BLOWING KISSES (BEST BET) was a dominant winner when resuming at Wyong and only really sprinted for 100m and just smashed them. The form that she has coming into this is undeniable. She now gets to the wide open spaces of Randwick here and if she can get smoother in the run here and is let rip at the top of the rise, she could well put a massive gap in them here.
No3 LOVERBOY CHARLIE won well upon resuming at Warwick Farm, he stays at the 1000m here and has to be given a chance again.
No8 ATHENA LASS has been running well in races similar to this in Melbourne, the trip up the highway may well spark her into action.
No9 NICOF gets good weight relief here with the claim and the country bump in the weights. He is a flat out 1000m sprinter and could fill a placing here.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 NICOF
No5 MILITARY MACHINE won with a hint of arrogance when resuming at Wyong, he sat off them in what was a slowly run race and sprinted away to smash them. Before that he had brilliant form around him and the win there may have given him the confidence to go on with it here and he could picket fence.
No3 STAR REFLECTION drops in grade here after taking on the provincial championship series. She wasn’t too far off making the final there and looks better suited back to the 1200m. She handles all sorts of going and has her chance here.
No2 NO INTEREST resumed at Canberra with a big weight and finished off well in what was a good open class country race. She gets a claim here for King and gets a really good run from the gate. The form that she has is quite good and has her chance here.
No6 RELAXED resumes here after two solid trials and looks to have found a winnable race first-up. He is a 3yo taking on the older horses here, not sure where he can end up this time in but he looks to have his chance with Avdulla on.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 NO INTEREST