Hawkesbury (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Hawkesbury. Today’s best bet is in race 8
Hawkesbury for their cup day and standalone Saturday meeting. Nine big races on the card with full and competitive fields. We are racing in the true position and the track will be good. This meeting will be a pointer to the Scone carnival in two weeks time.
QUADDIES (races 6-7-8-9)
Skinny Play: 3,8 – 4,5 – 5,6 – 1,2,3,13
Wide Play: 3,5,7,8 – 1,2,4,5,11 – 5,6,16 – 1,2,3,5,8,9,13
BEST BET: R8 – 6. SPECTROSCOPE
Next Best Bet: R2 – 1. SERENA BAY
Best Roughie: R4 – 9. OLD NORTH
R1 – 11.55am. Richmond Club Provincial Stayers Benchmark 84 Handicap - 2100m.
No9 EERISED started 150/1 in the Frank Packer plate and really ran above what was expected of him. Going through his form, he was well set up to run well there given his grounding. This is a tougher test as he is meeting well performed other horses, but he is on the way up.
No7 SUPER HAZE really hit the line well last start in Melbourne, he jumps straight to 2100m now and that looks as if it will suit. He is a winner over 2400m in the past and wasn’t too far off Kinema in the spring.
No1 MY GIULIANO has a good second-up record and should improve here after hitting the line well enough fresh in an unsuitable race. He may want it a touch wetter than this to show his best, but this is a weak race.
No3 MORTAR PLATOON looks like he will be well suited out to 2100m here. The drop in weight and the distance should improve him as he has been running on well recently.
VALUE RUNNER: No 9 EERISED
R2 – 12.30pm. TAB Clarendon Stakes - 1300m.
No 1 SERENA BAY (NEXT BEST BET) wasn’t at all suited last start when on speed and run down late. I don’t think that she handles the heavy going either, as it was her second “miss” on wet going thus far. The step to 1300m should suit here as she can roll along in front and be hard to run down, like she did at Goulburn over the 1200m when resuming.
No 4 ICON OF DUBAI should appreciate getting out to the 1300m here as he is the brother of Pride Of Dubai. He hit the line well enough on debut to suggest that he should improve with further ground. From gate 2 he should sit just off the speed and appreciate the long straight.
No 8 FIFTH AFFAIR backs up quickly from ANZAC Day and was quite good when getting run down late there. She drops 3kgs for that run and at her home track / out to 1300m suit perfectly.
No 3 GO DADDY GO gets blinkers on for the first time here and has been good enough in both runs in his career, the trial between runs was quite good.
VALUE RUNNER: No 3 GO DADDY GO
R3 – 1.05pm. TAB Highway Handicap - 1100m.
No10 I AM A COOL KID was a big winner on debut at Bathurst and resumes here after a good trial at Mudgee. He is very well bred and gets in on a light weight here as he only carries 51kgs after the claim. He looks to have a lot of upside here and can take the next step.
No6 LOVES A HASSLE resumed from a long break with a big win at Mudgee, he really seemed to appreciate the open expanses of Mudgee that day and gets that again here at Hawkesbury. He should be further improved from a year off and he is second-up here.
No7 STILL UNDAUNTED should be better suited back to the 1100m here after not running out the 1200m at Randwick. His win at Scone two back was massive and stacked up really well form wise. With the blinkers off he should settle better.
No3 MOSS MY NAME has been trialing up quite well in the lead up to the fresh run here. It looks as if Crockett has set him up for a big run fresh here, as if he wins another race he is no longer highway eligible.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 STILL UNDAUNTED
R4 – 1.40pm. Hawkesbury XXXX Gold Rush - 1100m.
No3 CLEARLY INNOCENT resumes here off what was a poor prep last time in where he didn’t really deliver. He has since changed stables to Kris Lees and has been trialing up quite well coming into this. 1100m may well be too short, but the wide open spaces of Hawkesbury may well suit.
No9 OLD NORTH (BEST ROUGHIE) has been trialing up well coming into a first-up run here. He was poor in two runs last time in and was spelled quickly, he has had a long break and may well be an autumn horse too. He has also been gelded and it may well be the making of him.
No10 BURNING PASSION has been trialing up well coming into this and does have a good fresh record here. He is the one sprinter in this race who has shown consistent form as of late and it may well deliver him a stakes win here.
No8 GRUNDERZEIT looks ready to go here after a quick freshen up since the summer sprints. He has a good first-up record, but the knock on him is that he has never won at another track other than Canterbury. He gets in with no weight here.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 OLD NORTH
R5 – 2.15pm. Blakes Marine Benchmark 85 Handicap - 1300m.
No1 BETTER NOT BLUE has been massive in two runs this time in, in provincial championship races. He has had not much luck in either of those runs. He draws a good gate here and gets the claim which gets him down to 58kgs and at his best he is hard to beat.
No3 LIAPARI resumes here and should be well suited at the 1300m fresh here. He enjoys good going and gets Bowman on board from gate 10 he should be finishing off strongly.
No8 LANCIATO is back off a freshen up here and won well last start getting up in the last stride. Newnham is really placing his horses well and they have to be respected when they turn up to the track. This gelding is a real line chaser and has his chance.
No6 ASTARA has her first start for the Snowdens here and comes across with respectable NZ form, the two trials leading into this have been quite good. She has form around La Bella Diosa and Start Wondering and that’s good enough for here.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 ASTARA
R6 – 2.55pm. 2017 Godolphin Crown - 1300m.
No8 DAYSEE DOOM missed the Queen of The Turf in preference for races like this and Scone. She is absolutely low flying and getting back to 1300m here suit much better, she hasn’t had any luck in all three runs this time in and if she gets that luck here, she has her chance.
No3 SWEET REDEMPTION resumes here after two trials, the last of which was fantastic. She really stepped up last preparation and travelled all over the country. Avdulla won the festival on her during the Summer and really gelled with her. If she can find the lead they will struggle to beat her.
No5 SLIGHTLY SWEET didn’t have the best of luck last preparation and has trialled up well enough coming into this and from gate 16, she will get back and have the last shot at them.
No7 KINSHACHI took that next step last preparation and graduated to listed grade. She didn’t have the best of luck at the Magic Millions, she looks as if she is on her way up to QLD and has to be respected wherever she runs.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 KINSHACHI
R7 – 3.35pm. Blacktown Workers Club Hawkesbury Guineas - 1400m.
No4 SPRIGHT gets back onto dry going here which she has been crying out for, as she didn’t have the best of luck early on this prep. She is on her home track here for the first time and if she brings her best form, she is going to be hard to beat.
No5 CALANDA won well against the bias last start at Canterbury in what was a big effort first-up against the older horses. The way he ran through the line last start suggested that 1400m would be much more suitable. As are the big wide spaces of Hawkesbury.
No11 PROMPT RESPONSE has been good this time in and looks set to peak third up from a spell. From gate 11 Angland will roll forward here and on her best form she has her chance.
No1 GOOD STANDING resumes here after a spell where he really took the next step last time in. His form last time in was fantastic and after the good trials leading into this he will be steaming at them late.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 GOOD STANDING
R8 – 4.15pm. Livamol Hawkesbury Gold Cup - 1600m.
No6 SPECTROSCOPE (BEST BET) was good enough in the Doncaster to suggest that he is going to be hard to beat here. He was caught off the track in the Doncaster on a day where you needed to be on the pace and on the fence. His two wins at his first two Australian runs previous to that were fantastic and Avdulla should have him in the running line and he should be too good for these.
No5 FABRIZIO was horrid first up and has been back to the trials since and went about his work quite well. He jumps quickly to the mile which is a concern, but he should be fit enough.
No16 DUCA VALENTINOIS was massive first-up at Randwick and was all over a winner until the line. The step now to 1600m looks to suit and he has his chance down on the minimum.
No8 PAJARO drops well in weight here after a good first-up run. He is a winner at the mile in the past and has his chance here.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 PAJARO
R9 – 4.50pm. All State Shopping Benchmark 78 Handicap - 1500m.
No3 ZIGANUI hasn’t had the best of luck at all runs this time in and gets another race to suit here. He ran right through the line last start and the step to 1500m here suits and he has his chance to break through here.
No1 BERETTA should take up the speed here and prove hard to run down given the way he won last start. He ran right through the line there and from gate 10 Avdulla will have all options available to him.
No2 BROADSIDE should be much fitter after his last start run where the tactics were horridly wrong – take the tactics out of it and it looks a perfect prep run for this. If he can cross and lead here, he is going to be awfully hard to beat.
No13 GAMBLER’S BLUES has been good in both runs this time in and drops in weight here after a tough effort in the Wellington cup where he didn’t look to handle the track at all well. He has won all three of his races over the mile and has his chance here.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 ZIGANUI