Victoria’s wet autumn has meant punters have had to face repeated bog tracks.
The track is rated a Soft 7, which is far superior to what it has been over recent weeks.
Let us hope the forecast of fine weather holds.
The rail will be at the true position for the eight race card.
QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)
Skinny Play: 5,9 / 2,4 / 4,5,8 / 1,2,3,4,7
Wide Play: 1,3,5,7,9,12 / 2,4,6,11 / 1,4,5,7,8 / 1,2,3,4,5,7
BEST BET: R6 – 4. IT’S A SILVERTRAIL
Next Best Bet: R5 – 5. BAREFOOT TYCOON
Best Roughie: R8 – 3. DON’T WE LOVE IT
No4 LA RENARDE ran a cracking second here over 1000m first-up with Thomas Sadler in the saddle. Trainer John Sadler has removed the blinkers from the filly who strikes her own age and sex. Strong showing.
No5 MESCLUN she gave a solid effort to run second against older mares in a 1000m maiden at Mornington on May 1. She is on the quick back up here but has been placed at four of her five starts so far.
No3 FILLE GRIS She makes her debut for former WA trainer John Price after finishing a sound third over 800m on a bog track in a trial at Cranbourne on April 21. The stable is in-form and she gets gun apprentice Ben Allen to ride.
No8 SNITZELWAY she gets two critical gear changes with a tongue-tie going on and the blinkers coming off. Faced a quagmire when running last of nine here over 1000m on April 28. Give another chance.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 SNITZELWAY
No9 SHE’S A PLUCK has finished inside the money at three of her four starts. Latest ran a good second over 1000m at Sale on April 18. That was against her own age and strikes older horses in this maiden. Good chance.
No5 DIVINE STRYKE She is resuming from a 116-day spell. Has been placed third at three starts fresh and has no trial form to go by here. She gets senior jockey Daniel Stackhouse to ride and would expect a forward showing.
No2 ROYAL REBEL ran a close sixth first-up from a spell over 1100m at Moe on April 25. That was only his second start and he will sport blinkers for the first time here. Strikes meek opposition here.
No3 ZANAHARY was the $3.40 favourite when finishing fourth over 1000m here on a bog track on April 21. Has been very well fancied at three starts this campaign and will wear a northon bit for the first time.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 DIVINE STRYKE
No5 RAYAHEEN is bred to be a star being by Australia’s champion stallion Redoute’s Choice. She is sure to be peppered right up for her debut by the record-breaking trainer Darren Weir and will be ridden by top apprentice Ben Allen.
No8 SKY LAKE ran a good third at her debut over 1140m at Geelong on December 26. She is from one of Victoria’s top juvenile yards and she will be improved for the outing. Looks the danger.
No10 WANTED DIVA drops significantly in class on her debut at Caulfield where she was outclassed when finishing 11th over 1200m on April 22. She is from Team Hayes and will be primed for this race.
No7 SISTER MAREE will sport blinkers and a lugging bit at her debut. She is by former outstanding juvenile All Too Hard and hails from a top juvenile yard in Mick Price. Makes good appeal.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 SISTER MAREE
No2 DIAMONDS ARE struck another bog track after coming down from NSW to escape the wet. Still ran a brave second over 1300m in a maiden at Sandown on April 26 and gets Melbourne’s top apprentice Beau Mertens to ride.
No9 RADIANT ROUGE has been in-form and looms as one of the better chances on her second over 1200m at Geelong on April 30. With Ethan Brown’s 2kg claim she will carry a mere 54.5kg and rates with good prospects.
No11 SUPERIOR ROSE is race fit and struck a quagmire when finishing fifth over 1400m at Pakenham on May 7. Faces a quick back up here but is rock hard.
No1 BEALE STREET is lightly-raced having made only two appearances. Latest he ran eighth in a 1200m maiden at Geelong on April 30. Did make ground late that day and should be fitter.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 BEALE STREET
No5 BAREFOOT TYCOON (NEXT BEST BET) Has yet to finish further back than fourth at three starts. Liked his win here last August at his debut. He resumed with a brave second over 1300m on a quagmire track here on April 28. He kept charging at them that day and with leading apprentice Ben Allen at the helm he makes strong appeal to break-through here.
No3 TRINITY HILL has been performing well on country tracks and the addition of winkers may help.
No9 IF YOU WILL Edging closer and closer to a win and is from the star stable of Darren Weir.
No1 GANGSTAR’S CURSE is anchored by a big weight but would rate as a chance here.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 IF YOU WILL
No4 IT’S A SILVERTRAIL (BEST BET) has been in striking form landing two wins from his past four starts. He won a trial over 2400m here on a bog track on April 26 since his last start when finishing sixth over 2400m at Bendigo on April 19. He is from the Darren Weir camp and the stable is riding on cloud nine at the minute.
No8 DANE HUSSLER will be much fitter for the run over 2100m and expect improvement.
No5 EPSOM HILL is a European stayer who gets his chance to break the ice in Australia.
No2 PASSOVER is a British bred stayer who will be sharply improved on his first-up effort.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 PASSOVER
No5 SEBRING’S JOY has been right on the leaders’ hammers and with the addition of blinkers for the first time he will be switched right on. She ran a solid sixth over 1100m at Geelong on April 30 and has the red hot John Allen riding for Darren Weir.
No11 FUTURE IN DOUBT ploughed through the mud to post a very clever win over 1200m in a maiden against her own sex here on April 28. With Jordan Grob’s claim will carry only 55.5kg.
No1 A STERLING DASH Goes up a kilo to 61kg here on his last start win at Mornington over 1000m on May 1. Was strongly fancied that day and will have a strong following here despite the big weight. Good chance.
No8 GOLDEN FUSAICHI Broke her maiden status with a smart win over 1000m at Mornington on May 1. That was her third start this campaign and came off two seconds. Chance again.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 GOLDEN FUSAICHI
No4 VANTAGGIO had no luck whatsoever when finishing 16th over 1600m at Morphettville on April 8. Has been freshened up by trainer Ciaron Maher for this race and he gets top jockey Luke Nolen back on board. Can redeem.
No5 CALL IT A DAY won here two starts ago before finishing a sound fifth over 1500m at Bendigo on May 5. He is on the quick back up but trainer Wes Hunter seems to have a knack at being able to get away with it.
No3 DON’T WE LOVE IT (BEST ROUGHIE) comes into calculations here on his last-start second over 1500m at Geelong on April 30. Has the red hot John Allen to ride from gate two.
No1 KHUTULUN should relish the drop back in distance after having a tough run over 2000m at Caulfield where he ran sixth on April 22. Will carry 60kg with the claim of Nathan Punch.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 KHUTULUN