This is the biggest day of the year at Doomben with the running of its oldest race the Doomben 10,000. It means capacity fields and top class horses. The track has had a heavy work load in the past two years but is holding up well. Big fields here always generate plenty of early pace which gives all runners their chances. There has been rain about Brisbane for most of the week but Doomben is the best drying track in the state because it is banked and has a sand base.
QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)
Skinny Play: 1,2,7/2,8,9/1/3
Wide Play: 1,2,4,7/2,8,9,11/1,5,8.11/1,3,9,12
BEST BET: R8 – 3. MONGOLIAN WOLF
Next Best Bet: R7 – 1. FELL SWOOP
Best Roughie: R2 – 8. SHARPE HUSSLER
No6 TUMBLER Ran the worst race of her career in the Group 2 Victory Stakes last start at Eagle Farm. Previous form was outstanding, back to Doomben and down in grade from the inside barrier looks hard to beat in a very tough race.
No10 STELLA OMBRA He got caught in the wrong part of the track when an excellent first-up fourth at Eagle Farm. Another suited back to Doomben and usually goes well second-up.
No8 BETTER LAND On his best form would be a Group 1 horse but connections insist on keeping him a stallion because of his great breeding. It means he isn't the most consistent of horses. But he did trial well for his comeback run here.
No5 INVINCIBLE EXPRESS It is an indication of how strong this race is when we made her only our fourth pick. (There are at least 10 winning chances here.) She has won her past five starts and has humped big weight from bad barriers in doing it.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 BETTER LAND
No7 DON'T TELL MAMA Very strong winner at good odds this track last start. Loves Doomben and the 1350m suits. Again there are ten genuine winning chances here but she should be in the finish.
No8 SHARPE HUSSLER (BEST ROUGHIE) Has had three runs back from a spell for a new stable and getting better with each effort. Probably should have won last start and this suits with plenty of pace assured.
No2 PRIVLAKA Has plenty of weight here but has earned it with some very good recent runs. Fine second at Eagle Farm last start when little luck. He has the pace to overcome the bad barrier and any more rain would help.
No3 BINALONG ROAD He will be very big odds here. But he is a first-up specialist who loves this track and distance. He has a terrible barrier but that is not always a disaster from this start.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 SHARPE HUSSLER
No10 SULTAN OF SWING Kiwi galloper who has been racing in handy company of late. Down on the minimum weight here with an in-form jockey and can handle all type of tracks.
No5 CANTBUYBETTER He was racing well in restricted class winning under big weights before open company debut when third to a top mare this track and distance two weeks ago. This suits ideally.
No1 AMOVATIO Quality runner who isn't far off top class. First-up since December here but has had two trials and gone well both times. He is a first-up winner three times.
No4 PUNTA NORTE He was at his best last start when winning under a big weight on a wet track in restricted class. This is harder but has always shown potential to win a stakes race.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 CANTBUYBETTER
No2 SNITZKRAFT Extra smart two-year-old who won brilliantly twice before first-up third at Eagle Farm last start. Didn't handle the shifty track at all last time and is much better placed here at Doomben. Very hard to beat.
No1 OURS TO KEEP Won his first three starts and then unlucky in the Magic Millions Classic. Resumed with a fourth at Eagle Farm last start when clearly didn't handle the track. Chance here.
No6 TANGLED Sydney visitor who was a last-start winner at Wyong. It was a nice run but stepping up in class here. Stable can improve their two-year-olds quickly.
No3 ALL TOO HUIYING Ran some honest races against strong company in the Sydney autumn carnival. He has worked very well this week and suited in this company.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 TANGLED
No2 MORTON’S FORK From the powerful Godolphin stable and could give new trainer Darren Beadman his first stakes winner here. Raced in top company during the autumn and races very well fresh. He has had two trials for this winning the last one.
No4 OINK Popular horse who was very good winner at Eagle Farm first up under a big weight. He is a winner second-up and although probably better at Eagle Farm he will race well here.
No1 GOOD STANDING A genuine stakes horse who was handy first-up in the Hawkesbury Guineas. He had trialled nicely before that and is the class horse here.
No7 BILLY THE KID Getting up in class but is a genuinely exciting horse. He should be fitter for close second first-up at Eagle Farm. Has a strong hope here and just needs a touch of luck.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 OINK
No2 STAMPEDE Showed a lot of heart to lead all the way to win the Wagga Cup last start. Looks the likely leader again here and this track and distance should suit. Can handle wet and dry tracks.
No8 THE CHAIRMAN Melbourne visitor who has been racing well there with a win and minor placing past five starts. He looks well placed at the weights against some of these.
No9 MORENDI He has been the staying find of the late Brisbane summer. Gets back in his races and runs home hard which means he is better placed at Eagle Farm but he has won his only start this track.
No11 ZAMBEZI WARRIOR Kiwi stayer who has been running some nice races in good company. Has a light weight here and should get conditions to suit.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 MORENDI
No1 FELL SWOOP (NEXT BEST BET) He has been placed five times in Group 1 races without winning but this is his chance to win one. Has had a six weeks break since running third to champion Chautauqua in the T J Smith Stakes but has won a barrier trial. The wide barrier is no help but he should be able to get into a nice trail behind the pace and be hard to hold out.
No5 MUSIC MAGNATE Won this race last year and is in good form again. Led all the way to win the Victory Stakes last time but won't get the same soft lead here. But looks the main danger from a nice barrier draw.
No8 START WONDERING A Kiwi who is well performed in Group 1 company. There is always a query on the Kiwi form in our sprints but there are big wraps on him. He has been winning against the best in New Zealand so deserves a chance here.
No12 RUSSIAN REVOLUTION He won the Group 1 Galaxy two runs back and then floundered in the Randwick mud next start in the T J Smith. Better placed here and is the one who gets in well at the weights in a weight for age event.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 START WONDERING
No3 MONGOLIAN WOLF (BEST BET) Promising Kiwi galloper who is now with Australia's top trainer Darren Weir. Too strong in the Packer Plate in Sydney last start and this looks an ideal race for him. Handles wet and dry tracks and should win this.
No1 VELADERO From a top Sydney stable which has won this race several times. Good second to Mongolian Wolf in the Packer Plate and has since won a trial earlier this week. Fit for this which isn't the strongest Group 3 you will find.
No9 PETER JOHN His trainer is regarded as one of the best conditioners of stayers in Australia. Last start was a strong winner at Gosford and while this is harder stable never comes to Brisbane unless it has a chance.
No12 ORDER AGAIN Won a restricted race by 7½-lengths last start at Eagle Farm. He has had a few problems but veteran trainer has always said he can win the Queensland Derby. It gives him a chance here at odds.
VALUE RUNNER: No12 ORDER AGAIN