Should get fair racing here at the return to Sale and with the track predicted to be a Good 4.
The rail is out at the three-metre position for the entire circuit.
The day will be overcast but there is no rain forecast.
It will be cool with a minimum on 7C and a maximum on 17C.
It will be pleasant to be racing back on top of the ground.
Punters should be wary in the early races for the debutantes.
QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)
Skinny Play: 1,6,9 / 4,7,9 / 4,7,15 / 2,4,8
Wide Play: 1,2,3,5,6,8,9 / 1,2,3,4,7,9 / 1,4,7,8,11,15 / 2,3,4,6,8,9
BEST BET: R1 – 2. BELLA VELLA
Next Best Bet: R8 – 2. SIR SAGAMORE
Best Roughie: R5 – 8. TRANQUIL MISS
No2 BELLA VELLA (BEST BET) she ploughed a furrow through the mud to run a grand second at her debut on a Heavy 10 over 1106m at Ballarat on April 28. She strikes a superior track here and with Patrick Maloney to ride again and drawn gate three she is bound to get a soft run. She will be improved for the effort and she rates most highly.
No1 WOMAN IN RED Won her maiden in good style at Cranbourne last start. Good chance.
No3 JOSEPHINE SEA She ran strong on the pace at a Flemington jump-out. Go well.
No6 FAITH IN HAND With two runs under her belt and down from a Group 3 race she has appeal.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 FAITH IN HAND
No6 ROYAL SHAME resumes here with a record of three seconds from four starts. He showed enough to race on the pace at a recent Flemington jump out to suggest he is forward for his first-up start and had top rider Damian Lane to steer
No4 PENTHOUSE POET drops back in distance on last-start third over 1400m in a maiden at Sandown on April 28. He had Dwayne Dunn that day and gets Aaron Lynch here. The drop back in journey is the query.
No1 ALMIGHTY MOSES faced a bog track when running third over 1000m in a maiden at Cranbourne on April 28. Back on the firmer ground should get his chance to break a long drought having yet to salute first at 21 starts.
No7 SCENSAY is a former Queensland galloper who raced on the Gold Coast and finished sixth over 1400m in a maiden on October 5 at his last start. He is now in the Victorian stable of Peter Gelagotis and is worth watching.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 SCENSAY
No4 MAKATITI gets his chance to rebound after striking a bog track when finishing third over 1400m at Sandown on April 26. Thomas Sadler keeps the ride and drawn gate three he should get a nice passage throughout.
No8 LOST COMMAND was a warm $2.70 favourite when he posted a smart win over 1500m on a Soft 8 at Geelong on April 30. He is from an astute stable and he drops a kilo to 57.5kg on his last start win. Michael Dee rides again.
No2 POLAR VORTEX won over 1600m before being taken to Tatura where he ran second over 1600m on March 19 as a hot $2.20 favourite. This distance looks perfect off a small break and respect.
No6 BUT IT’S TRUE has the brow noseband removed. He is first-up after having ran 12th over 2000m at Pakenham on December 3. He is lightly-raced and has a sound record fresh. Expect him to be finishing on.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 BUT IT’S TRUE
No8 BELLAMEZZO had won her maiden well before she struck a strong field and a bog track when running 10th over 1400m against her own age and sex at Sandown on April 26. This is much milder and she has a critical gear change with blinkers going on.
No4 SIMPLY SPLASHING won his maiden at Stawell before striking a heavy track when finishing fourth over 1400m against 3yrs at Warrnambool on May 3. He gets top jockey Brad Rawiller as his new pillion.
No6 HUSSY’S GLOW has won well at her past two starts. Latest she was a $2.60 favourite when racing away to a len win over 1170m at Wangaratta on May 8. With Mitchell Aitken’s 2kg claim her weight drops to 56.5kg.
No1 MISSILE BOOM is back at his right level after finishing 11th to the talented Egg Tart over 1600m on a rain-soaked track at Flemington on April 25. He has 60.5kg here but has the experienced Daniel Stackhouse to guide.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 MISSILE BOOM
No9 WHIRLPOOL dashed away to a brilliant first-up win over 1406m on a bog track at Benella on April 28. She was backed into a $1.95 favourite that day and her form last campaign was in higher grades. She can make it two straight here.
No8 TRANQUIL MISS (BEST ROUGHIE) showed good improvement second-up to run sixth over 1100m here on April 18. She looks on the rise on that effort and she likes this trip with a win and a second at three starts.
No1 DIVINE CHILLS has father John and son Thomas chasing successive wins after she held strong for a narrow win on a bog track at Sandown on April 26. That was against her own sex too and she drops a half-kilo to 58kg here.
No3 SHARING should get a nice run with top apprentice Ben Allen riding and jumping from six. She ran well enough when finishing fourth over 1200m at Cranbourne on April 7 to suggest here fresh.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 TRANQUIL MISS
No4 OLLIE THE THIRD enjoyed his jump in distance to post a clever maiden win over 2000m at Pakenham on May 7. He rises a half kilo to 59kg and Chris Symons keeps the ride. Looks a dye-in-the-wool stayer.
No9 VILLARRICA she trounced her opposition to claim an impressive 2½ length win over 1600m in a maiden at Geelong on April 30. Patrick Maloney keeps the ride and has room to improve further.
No1 ADATTO connections had a big enough opinion of him to tackle a Group 3 in Adelaide where he ran sixth over 2030m at Morphettville on April 29. He has drawn a tad wide in 12 but would respect here.
No7 POUR MOI ANOTHER she was taken to Horsham where she smashed her opposition by over 3 lengths in an 1800m maiden on May 6. She does have to cross from gate 13 but has top jockey Damian Lane to do the job.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 ADATTO
No9 NANGAWOOKA is racing at his best with two wins at past two starts on provincial tracks. He has fought hard to score both victories and with Mitchell Aitken’s 2kg claim here gets a drop in weight to 57kg, which is 3kg less than he carried last time.
No4 MAGAZINE GAP raced away to a soft win over1500m at Geelong on April 30. He had ran second at his first start back this campaign at Pakenham and he looks one of the main contenders in an open affair.
No15 CUBAN BELLE kicked hard to post a narrow win over 1500m at Mornington on May 1. Ben Thompson rode that day and gets stable jockey Rhys McLeod to ride here. Gate 15 is a hindrance.
No7 JUDELLY hails from a top yard and is down in class on his fifth over 1800m at Caulfield on April 29. He is back to the bush where he was racing impressively and he did start a $3.20 favourite at Caulfield. Respect.
VALUE RUNNER: No15 CUBAN BELLE
No2 SIR SAGAMORE (NEXT BEST BET) is from a top stable and likes to race fresh. He resumed here off a 158-day spell and he gets ace jockey Damian Lane to steer him across from gate nine. He can manage the 60kg and with a record of two wins at three starts when fresh he makes strong appeal to finish punters on a high.
No4 BELIEVING he has his chances here with a win first-up and a sound fourth second-up.
No9 STRIDE OUT has a good first-up record of four starts for a win and two thirds.
No8 FIRE AGATE has finished inside the money at four of his five starts and goes well fresh.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 STRIDE OUT