Cranbourne (Friday) Betting Preview & Tips

Betting tips for every race at Cranbourne today’s best bet is in race 4.

Oddschecker
 | 
Thu, 18 May, 1:05 AM

 

With more rain forecast can expect the track to race on the Soft side.

It has been a very wet autumn in Victoria and the Good 4 might get a downgrade by the time of the running of the first race tonight.

The weather bureau has forecast showers but the temperatures are low so there is little chance of any drying weather.

The false rail is out to three metres from the 1000m to the winning post.

 

                               

 

QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)

Skinny Play: 1,2,6 / 2,4 / 2,7 / 2,3,9

Wide Play:  1,2,4,6,7,9 / 1,2,4,5 / 2,3,5,7,9 / 2,3,4,7,9,12

 

BEST BET: R4 – 1. SAVEYOURENTHUSIASM

Next Best Bet: R6 – 2. FIRE AGATE

Best Roughie: R8 – 9. HOLBEIN PRINCE

R1 – 6.00pm. O'Brien Real Estate – 13000 OBRIEN Maiden Plate – 1600m.

No5 SOLO HEART Sydney trainer Chris Waller and Melbourne jockey Craig Newitt have forged a good team and they combine here with last-start second placed 3yr over 1300m in a maiden at Sandown on April 26. That form looks good enough to win this.

 

No6 SUBUTAI won’t be at $26 with top jockey Craig Williams taking the reins and finishing a sound second over 1500m in a maiden at Geelong on April 30. Looks to have strong claims.

 

No9 HINT OF MOONLIGHT is drawn to get a pie run on the rail and has been around about the place. Latest ran fourth over 1500m in a maiden at Mornington on May 1. She gets Dean Holland to ride again.

 

No10 ROWDY ROUSEY She gets in with a light-weight with the 2kg claim of the apprentice dropping her to 54.5kg. She showed improvement when finishing fourth over 1400m in a maiden on a bog track at Warrnambool on May 3.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No9 HINT OF MOONLIGHT

R2 – 6.30pm. Highview Accounting & Financial Services Maiden Plate – 1400m.

No8 MIAMBA MISS She has been placed at her two starts and looks the one to beat here. Latest she ran a solid second over 1400m in a maiden at Pakenham on May 7. Daniel Stackhouse keeps the ride and she gets a soft run from three.

 

No11 RUBY SEA hails from a top stable and can improve on her second over 800m in a trial at Cranbourne on April 24. She has had three weeks to get fitter and at her two starts so far has ran fourth and second.

 

No12 ZAFEERA with Mitchell Aitken’s 2kg claim will drop to 55kg here. She was working home well when running fourth over 1200m here on a bog track on April 28. That was a sound effort and she commands respect.

 

No10 RADIANT ROUGE has been placed at all of her past three starts. She ran a solid third over 1400m in a maiden here last Friday when at single-figure odds. Ethan Brown’s claim drops her to 55kg.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No12 ZAFERA

R3 – 7.00pm. Mega Trim Motor Trimming F&M Maiden Plate – 1200m.

No6 NICODAME won her trial in good fashion over 800m at Cranbourne on May 8. The 3yr filly has shown form at only three starts and the stable is in-form. Patrick Maloney rides and would respect in this race.

 

No12 FERN gets a big drop in class on her debut. She ran a handy sixth over 1100m at Flemington on May 6. The question is, she is 2yr racing against older horses here.

 

No1 ANTONIA was well backed first-up when facing a bog track and finished last of six over 1200m in a maiden here on April 28. Her previous form on firmer ground was far more solid and would give another chance.

 

No5 MISS VON COSTA has been placed at all of her past three starts. Latest she ran a handy second over 1200m in a maiden at Mornington on May 1. She gets Craig Newitt to ride and has good claims.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No5 MISS VON COSTA

R4 – 7.30pm. Colourmark Class 1 Handicap – 1300m

No1 SAVEYOURENTHUSIASM (BEST BET) proved an emphatic 3¾ length winner at his second start over 1200m in a maiden at Bairnsdale on May 7. He tramped down the centre to keep pulling away and he can take the next step here up a grade. He gets a change of rider with Nathan Rose riding at 59.5kg and drawn three should get a soft run.

 

No6 GOLDEN FUSAICHI has been coasting and was rewarded for consistency with a comfortable last start win.

 

No5 EVERYBODY’S GAL won her first race at Pakenham and then struck a bog at her next start. Chance.

 

No8 STORNAWAY gets relief dropping down a few grades after failing to make it in the city.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No8 STORNAWAY

R5 – 8.00pm. MyPunter.com Sky Heights Stayers Series Heat 4 – 2025m.

No6 MISS DUBOIS has been racing in good style and looms as a big chance here on her second against her own sex over 1600m at Sandown on May 10. She is rock solid now for the step up in distance.

 

No2 CRAVEN IMAGE Blasted his rivals by 3 lengths over 2000m on a quagmire at Warrnambool on May 4. He is from the leading stables of trainer Darren Weir and drops a kilo here to 58.5kg. Respect.

 

No1 BERNIE BOY is searching for a hat-trick after good provincial wins in the country last month. Latest won over 2000m on a bog track at Arat on April 29. Has claims.

 

No7 SNIPER Struck a bog track when running fifth over 1400m at Warrnambool on May 3. Has been consistent without winning over the sprinting distances and the extra distance here may suit.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No7 SNIPER

R6 – 8.30pm. Browns Sawdust & Shavings BM70 Handicap – 1000m.

No2 FIRE AGATE (NEXT BEST BET) warmed up with a fifth over 800m in a trial at Cranbourne on April 21 for his comeback. He has a great record fresh of a win and a second at two starts and has a month of extra work into his legs since his trial. Has drawn perfectly in gate two to gain a soft run and his record here is unblemished.

 

No4 SCOTOPIA has won at two of his three starts. Comes here with a blazing win here on January 6. Jason Benbow keeps the ride.

 

No5 VERY CHOOSY hails from an astute betting stable and has had two solid trials over 800m and 990m here in preparation for his return.

 

No7 SECRETAN has been honest through out his career and is worth each-way thought.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No7 SECRETAN

R7 – 9.00pm. TAB.com.au BM64 Handicap – 1200m.

No2 MISS IANO has posted two very good wins on rain-affected tracks at Pakenham. Latest strode to a 3¾ length win over 1200m on May 7. Gets a 2kg penalty for the win up to 60.5kg here but can cope with that.

 

No9 ESSAKA won two races at five starts last campaign. Resumes here from a 220-day spell but the trainer does have his horses ready to run fresh and despite having no trials to use as a guide would keep safe.

 

No11 ATOMIC LOKADE Mitchell Aitken’s 2kg claim drops her weight to 55kg. She ran a solid third on a bog track here over 1200m last start on April 28. She was well fancied as a $4.40 favourite that day.

 

No7 CERTIFIED TWENTY posted an impressive 1¾ length win on a bog track over 1200m at Moe on April 25. That was his second win at her past three starts on country tracks and he makes good appeal here.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No7 CERTIFIED TWENTY

R8 – 9.30pm. The Heath Agistment Mile Series Heat 4 – 1500m.

No2 FOLK TALES is a lightly-raced galloper who should relish his step up in distance. Was first-up when running third over 1170m at Wangaratta on May 8. Has won twice and been placed third twice at five starts.

 

No3 LORD TENNYSON Craig Williams rides again and looks primed up for this on his last start close second over 1400m at Warrnambool on May 3. That was second-up and fitter now.

 

No12 IDOL was finishing off strongly when running fourth first up over 1300m at Bendigo on May 5. Team Hayes is sure to have applied the polish here and meets only a moderate field.

 

No9 HOLBEIN PRINCE (BEST ROUGHIE) is a seasoned sprinter who could show here on his last-start fifth over 1300m at Warrnambool on May 4. Has drawn well in gate six and is worth thought.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No9 HOLBEIN PRINCE

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