Pakenham (Thursday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Pakenham. Today’s best bet is in race 5.
This is the fourth night meeting to race on the synthetic track at Pakenham this autumn.
It appears a tough meeting with quite a lot of the chances backing up quickly and then there is a query on others whether they handle the synthetic track.
Can be tricky to work out and the betting is a safe guide tonight.
The rail is at the True position and the weather is fine but will be cool.
QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)
Skinny Play: 1 / 1,4 / 2,5 /1,4
Wide Play: 1,3,5,6 / 1,2,4 / 1,2,3,5,6 / 1,2,4,5
BEST BET: R5 – 1. CHAMPAGNE COCKTAIL
Next Best Bet: R6 – 4 EL SICARIO
Best Roughie: R8 – 5. AYDA
R1 – 6.00pm. Racing.com 3yr Maiden – 1200m.
No2 SERVEUR has the benefit of a campaign under his belt and this looks easier than what he met before. Not raced since finishing sixth over 1300m at Sandown on January 11. Gets top jockey Regan Bayliss to partner.
No1 CHAS MARLOW Should welcome the firmer track after striking bogs at his only two starts. Latest ran fifth as a $2.10 over 1000m on a Heavy 10 at Cranbourne on April 28. Tony Noonan’s son Jake rides here.
No4 ZANAHARY was heavily backed into $3.60 before finishing fifth over 1000m at Cranbourne on May 12. Faces a quick back up here and also gets a new rider with Aaron Lynch the pilot. Watch.
No3 SON OF CITY made steady ground first-up when finishing fifth over 1100m in a maiden at Wangaratta on May 8. Will be fitter for the effort and top jockey Damien Oliver is coming here to ride.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 SON OF CITY
R2 – 6.30pm. Polytrack Maiden – 1000m.
No3 EQUIDANT gets top jockey Regan Bayliss to ride at his comeback. He has proved a tough type and he loves it when he is fresh with a record of two seconds and a third at four starts first-up. Strikes meek opposition.
No2 BIG NIC This son of Nicconi was hard held in a jump out at Flemington in preparation to make his debut here. He must be a bit skitty in the gates as will wear a barrier blanket. Keep safe.
No9 TOUCH ACT is a two-year-old racing against older horses. But she does hail from a top yard and gave a solid effort when fourth over 1106m at Ballarat on April 28. Dryer track should help.
No5 WILDE GEM has the home track advantage being trained here. Did show up in a recent jump-out so does possess natural speed and with a rails draw should get a pie run through out.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 WILDE GEM
R3 – 7.00pm. E-Cycle Solutions Maiden – 1600m.
No1 DANGER IN DEVON showed good speed to lead here last week before finishing fifth over 1600m in a maiden. Now has the runs under his belt and is fully wound up and gets Andrew Mallyon to ride. This is a mild maiden.
No8 RED VELVET SWING ran a solid second over 1600m in a maiden here last week. She gets ace jockey Damien Oliver to ride but she has only been placed three times at 16 starts. She is on the quick back up, which is a query.
No9 SCARLET NIGHTS held her ground when running a solid seventh at her debut over 1300m in a maiden at Geelong on April 30. She hails from a top Kiwi yard and expect further improvement.
No7 YOUL BEATEM faced a bog track when running fifth over 1700m in a maiden at Warrnambool on May 3. With two solid runs under his belt he looks fit to run a good race here.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 YOUL BEATEM
R4 – 7.30pm. Pakenham Mazda Maiden – 1400m.
No11 BLACKBURN is a two-year-old facing older horses but this is a very meek field. With top jockey Damien Oliver to steer he can improve on his sixth over 1400m at Sandown on April 5. He is from the astute yard of Mick Price.
No2 GLOBAL ROCKET faced a bog track when running a fair fifth over 1206m in a maiden at Ballarat on April 28. That was only his second start and should now be ready to tackle this distance. Top rider Regan Bayliss is on board.
No5 LITTLE REWARD Has been placed at two of his six starts. Latest ran fifth over 1200m in a maiden at Bairnsdale on May 7. Steps up an extra 200m here but is worth a look in a very mild race.
No7 POCKETEERING will sport winkers again after his last start where he had little luck before finishing fourth over 1400m in a maiden here on April 20. Has top apprentice Ben Allen to guide.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 LITTLE REWARD
R5 – 8.00pm. Backcare F&M Handicap – 1600m.
No1 CHAMPAGNE COCKTAIL (BEST BET) she looks primed for this dropping back to race against her own sex after running third over 1400m here on May 11. She firmed into $12 that night but there won’t be those odds this time. Apprentice Harry Grace’s 3kg claim reduces her impost to a fairer 60kg here. Looks to be one of the better chances on a tough night.
No3 QUEEN GORGO Was back in at her last start here and she finished not too far adrift.
No6 SHANDAARA was unwanted at $31 but she broke through in good style here last week.
No5 EOLANDE should enjoy being back on the firmer ground after striking soft going.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 QUEEN GORGO
R6 – 8.30pm. Black Leopard Skin Care Handicap – 1000m.
No4 EL SICARIO (NEXT BEST BET) at two starts on this track boast a win and a third. He gets a gear change wearing winkers for the first time after finishing last in a Group 2 1200m race at Morphettville on May 6. Gets a big drop in class here and has Noel Callow to ride.
No3 GO ONE BETTER the drop back in grade provided a win last start. Will be thereabouts again.
No7 MISS GIDGET is very honest and is sure to be in the finish, but she wins only a few.
No2 BELIEVING has an unblemished record of one start for one win on this track.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 GO ONE BETTER
R7 – 9.00pm. R C Asphalt Handicap – 1200m.
No5 FAST STRYKE was given a brief let up after he landed his break-through maiden win over 1200m at Moonee Valley on March 13. He has a great record of six starts for a win, four seconds and a third and makes strong appeal.
No3 EDUCATE was backed into $5 and didn’t let down his punters racing away to a 1¼ length win over 1200m here on April 20. Ben Allen rides again and he should handle the extra 1.5kg to 59.5kg.
No6 CANALASSO he was right in the finish when a close second over 1200m here on April 27. The Bool King John Allen rides for his trainer Darren Weir and would respect this grey off a 21-day gap.
No2 JOCASTA posted a well-deserved win over 1300m at Geelong on May 9. Had to draw on all courage to get across the line first. She is ultra-consistent and respect despite having a quick back up off a hard run.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 CANALASSO
R8 – 9.30pm. Sportsbet Racing Form Handicap – 1400m.
No4 OCTOBER TUTU appears to have his hoof on the till with two strong runs under his belt. Latest ran over 1300m at Geelong on May 9. Top stable jockey Regan Bayliss rides for Team Hayes. Perfectly drawn in gate four.
No2 MAGWITCH has finished in the placings at his past three starts. Latest ran second to Jocasta over 1300m at Geelong on May 9. Drawn gate five should get a pie run and looks the main danger.
No1 CRITICAL RHYTHM has won at two of his past three starts in the country. Latest scored over 1300m at Bendigo on May 5. He goes up 1.5kg to 60kg for that win but Jye McNeil stays on top.
No5 AYDA (BEST ROUGHIE) ran a good third against her own sex over 1200m at Bairnsdale on May 7. She is stepped up in class here, but does have top apprentice Ben Allen to ride and has drawn gate five.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 AYDA