Flemington (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Saturday. Today’s best bet is in race 2.
The false rail goes out to three metres after racing on the True position at the last meeting here on May 6. Hoping the rain stays away with a Good 3 forecast early but that could change with showers forecast.
Racing holds up very well despite the major carnivals happening at Adelaide and Brisbane today.
The Australian debut of the European Group 1 winner Ventura Storm in Race Eight will be closely watched as a pointer to the Caulfield and Melbourne cups next spring.
QUADDIES (races 6,7,8,9)
Skinny Play: 1,9 / 4,10 / 1,2,13,14 / 2,9,14
Wide Play: 1,4,6,9,12 / 1,4,7,9,10,13,14 / 1,2,4,6,11,13,14 / 2,5,8,9,11,14
BEST BET: R2 – 5. DIVINE QUALITY
Next Best Bet: R7 – 4. MALIBU STYLE
Best Roughie: R4 – 7. GUANGZHOU
R1 – 11.45am. Saintly Hall Of Fame Trophy – 1400m.
No2 GRANDIOSO is a son of Sebring who has yet to taste defeat at two starts. He returns to Victoria from a win at Wagga over 1200m as a $2.90 favourite on May 4. Looks set for the increase in distance here and has Victorian jockey Daniel Moor replacing Tommy Berry. Good chance.
No6 MASCULINO Charged home late to claim the leaders posting a narrow debut win over 1106m in a maiden at Benella on a Heavy 8 April 28. Jake Noonan keeps the ride on the Mick Price-trained juvenile. He has shown he can handle a wet track and looks to be facing rain-affected ground here.
No3 INDERNILE had to do quite a bit of work before finishing fourth over 1200m at Caulfield first-up on April 29. He is bound to strip fitter for the effort and has drawn to get a far softer run on the rail and he has the in-form Patrick Maloney to ride. Great showing expected.
No4 HECTA Ploughed a furrow through the mud to post a smart debut win over 1200m at Warrnambool on May 4. He had Craig Williams in the saddle that day and gets the in-form Daniel Stackhouse riding here at his city debut. Can handle the wet and is likely to strike damp conditions here again.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 HECTA
R2 – 12.20pm. Light Fingers Hall of Fame Trophy – 1200m.
No5 DIVINE QUALITY (BEST BET) was heavily backed into a tight favourite and duly saluted down the straight 1200m here on May 6. Gets a change of rider with Ben Thompson replacing Beau Mertens. Thompson’s 1.5kg claim drops her weight to 55kg. That is a half-kilo more than she carried to victory here last start. She is unbeaten at her two starts and looks a great bet.
No3 MOONLITES CHOICE has won three of her seven starts and pay to forget her last run.
No10 SUMMER GLEN did a great job to chase home Divine Quality here last time and can repeat.
No6 OVERSTEP has really been an honest filly but rarely wins.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 SUMMER GLEN
R3 – 12.55pm. John JJ Miller Hall Of Fame Trophy – 1800m.
No4 GALLIC CHIEFTAIN is a highly promising European import who ran a compelling third over 1700m on a bog track at Warrnambool on May 2. Trainer Darren Weir has booked Ben Allen to ride and his 1.5kg claim drops his weight to a comfortable 58kg. He has plenty to like here.
No8 CURRAGH with Ben Thompson’s 1.5kg claim his weight drops to 56kg. He is from a top stable and has been racing most competitively. Liked his last-start fourth over 1600m at Caulfield on April 29 and he is ready for the rise to 1800m here. This is his fourth start back from a spell. He is ready.
No2 BY THE GRACE Found the WA mare Tick Tick Bloom too good on the day when finishing second to her over 1700m on a bog at Warrnambool on May 2. He gets his big weight reduced by 2kg with Jake Bayliss’ claim and will carry a more comfortable 58kg. Could again face wet conditions with rain forecast.
No7 LOVING HOME Sydney trainer Chris Waller and Melbourne rider Craig Newitt team here. They are seeking more success as a team and get their chance on his last-start sixth over 2000m at Caulfield on May 13. He was held up that day and the only query is the quick back up. But should handle that fine.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 BY THE GRACE
R4 – 1.30pm. Winx Hall Of Fame Trophy – 1600m.
No4 SPANNER HEAD faced the glamorous Egg Tart and did a great job to run second over 1600m here on May 6. He gets a nice weight here with Jordan Childs’ 1.5kg claim reducing his listed handicap to 56kg. Has been a model of consistency.
No2 GREVISTE he does rise 2kg to 58.5kg on his last start where he ran a solid third to Zamzam over 1400m here on May 6. Jarrod Fry keeps the ride on the son of Stryker who has finished in the money at three of his six starts. He gets a critical gear change with blinkers going on for the first time.
No3 THE PASSAGE has won twice and been placed third at his four starts. Latest scored a brilliant win over 1400m on a Heavy 8 at Warrnambool on May 3. That was one of a wrath of winners for trainer Darren Weir at The Bool. Ben Allen’s 1.5kg claim reduces his weight to a comfortable 57kg here.
No7 GUANGZHOU (BEST ROUGHIE) Broke his maiden status at Pakenham two starts ago. Latest ran a fabulous second to Dangle Lad over 1600m at Sandown on May 10. He is fully fit and looks to have good each-way claims on 56kg and with Michael Dee to ride.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 GUANGZHOU
R5 – 2.10pm. Lloyd Williams Hall Of Fame Trophy – 1400m.
No2 CHARMED HARMONY gave a great sight to hit the front but was mowed down by the outstanding Star Exhibit over 1440m at Caulfield on April 29. With Chris Caserta’s 3kg claim drops to 56.5kg here and that looks an appealing weight. Loves this distance too.
No5 WELL SPRUNG the blinkers come off and the winkers go on. Latest ran a solid third to the talented Darren Weir-trained Ulmann over 1200m in a feature at Warrnambool on May 3. Held his ground well and gets Chris Symons replacing Linda Meech for his city assignment. Each-way.
No8 RADIPOLE Irish galloper making his Australian debut. Has an imposing record of eight starts for four wins and three placings over the middle distances. The Mike Moroney stable is firing on all cylinders and with Patrick Maloney to ride would pay attention to here. He had been gelded too.
No14 MR INDIVIDUAL Only 1.6 L off Burning Front last start. Distance a slight concern but has won at the 1400m before. Ben Thompson claims 1.5kg and should be right in this.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 WELL SPRUNG
R6 – 2.50pm. Andrew Ramsden Stakes – 3200m.
No1 DE LITTLE ENGINE finally got the bug off his back when he posted a drought-breaking win over 2800m here on May 6. Daniel Moor is back on this hardy stayer after apprentice Ben Thompson rode last start. He does rise four kilos to 58.5kg but he is a dour stayer and the 3200m suits very well.
No9 RENEW has been absolutely flying over the jumping courses and is a product of the mercurial Darren Weir. He comes here after an amazing win in the Galleywood Hurdle (3200m) at Warrnambool on May 3. Apprentice Ben Allen replaces senior rider John Allen and he looms as a big danger.
No6 REFECTORY found De Little Engine too strong last start when finishing a sound second over 2800m here on May 6. Michael Dee rides again and he is again on 54kg. He did have a trial in between running ninth over 1190m at Cranbourne on May 8. He is capable of turning the tables with the weight advantage.
No5 LIKE A CAROUSEL had a trial over 2400m at Sale on May 10 in preparation for this assault. He is a hardy sort who is at long odds and could run a cheeky race if at his best. He has won up to 2500m and with Jye McNeil riding is on the minimum on 54kg.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 LIKE A CAROUSEL
R7 – 3.30pm. Hilton Nicholas Straight Six – 1200m.
No4 MALIBU STYLE (NEXT BEST BET) Won the Bel Esprit Stakes over 1100m at Caulfield before facing his first test down the straight here at Flemington. He showed he was most capable finishing a strong second to Crystal Dream over 1000m on May 6. Steven Parnham flies across again to ride at his second run down the straight and he drops a half kilo to 56.5kg and has drawn the outside in gate 12.
No10 WHISTLE BABY with the tongue-tie going on and is a special at this trip is worth reviewing.
No11 DEMONSTRATE is unbeaten fresh and will have his first start for new trainer Darren Beadman.
No1 MIHANY has a great fresh record of two wins and a second at four starts and likes the straight.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 WHISTLE BABY
R8 – 4.10pm. Archer Hall Of Fame Trophy – 2000m.
No13 HARADAFULL found the winner Arcticus too strong but kept chipping away when finished second over 1800m here on May 6. Articus is the co-favourite for today’s Group 1 Doomben Cup so that franks the run. Michael Dee replaces apprentice Ben Thompson.
No1 VENTURA STORM is a big watch! He is a high class European who is having his first Australian start for Team Hayes. Up and coming apprentice Mitchell Aitken gets the gig and his 3kg claim drops his handicap to a more comfortable 59kg. He is a last start Group 1 winner.
No14 HURSLEY gets a nice weight drop here on his last start win over 2000m at Caulfield last Saturday. Ben Thompson is the new rider and his 1.5kg claim reduces his weight to a mere 52.5kg. He carried 57.5kg to win last week, but he does meet a Group 1 winner in Ventura Storm. Good chance.
No2 OBSERVATIONAL has been in outstanding form winning the Group 3 Easter Cup (2000m) before running second to the Irish import High Church in the Warrnambool Cup (2350m) on a bog track on May 4. He carried 60kg in the Warrnambool Cup and drops to 59.5kg. High-class import and respect.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 VENTURA STORM
R9 – 4.45pm. Carbine Club Handicap – 1600m.
No2 FASTNET LATINA Punters backed him into a $2.75 anticipating a fifth straight win but it was not to be finding Rhythm To Spare way too good when running second over 1600m at Caulfield on April 29. Jordan Childs’ 1.5kg claim reduces his big weight to 58.5kg. This is a drop in class.
No14 STORMSABREWING makes strong appeal on her last-start win over 1600m here on May 6. Jake Noonan replaces Beau Mertens and she carries 56kg here. She has a superior draw in gate nine compared to 13 last time. She loves this distance with two wins and a placing at four starts.
No5 AMARELA ran a good third to Stormsabrewing over 1600m here on May 6. She has been in rock solid form and she looks a danger again with apprentice Brandon Stockdale’s 3kg claim reducing her weight to 55kg. Her gate in 11 is a setback thought.
No9 STEGGLER had a tough run before finishing a fighting fourth to Stormsabrewing over 1600m here on May 6. He is from the camp of Darren Weir and with Brad Rawiller riding Blackheart Bart in Adelaide’s Group 1 Goodwood (1200m) gets Michael Dee to partner here. Again carries 58kg.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 FASTNET LATINA