Royal Randwick for McKell Cup day, back at Randwick for the first time in a month and we have been greeted with big juicy fields with 124 acceptors over the nine races. Reputations go on the line here for the 2yos in R1 with the winner likely to head north for the JJ Atkins and it’s the same for the 3yos in R3 with that winner likely headed to the QLD Derby. The rail is true and the track will be soft 4-5 range.
QUADDIES (races 6-7-8-9)
Skinny Play: 10 – 1,6 – 9,11 – 2,3,4
Wide Play: 1,10,12 – 1,3,5,6 – 8,9,11,12 – 1,2,3,4,5,9
BEST BET: R2 – 9. SUNCRAZE
Next Best Bet: R6 – 10. SISKEN
Best Roughie: R5 – 11. SEEBLUME
No5 LORD CECIL looks to be the one to beat here out to 1400 at his third start. The only reservation is that he is up to QLD, back in his first preparation and that may take its toll on a 2yo. What he has in his favour is the form out of his last start. Looks quite good for this.
No3 SAMBRO got the job done well at Warwick Farm over the 1400m, he now comes back to Randwick for the first time and should appreciate the bigger track. Could well roll forward in an attempt to dominate the race.
No2 PADRAIG is the big improver here, as he was fresh with 59kg over 1400m at Warwick Farm and really loomed up to win the race, but condition gave out late. Second up he stays at 1400 and he is one who needs to put his foot forward to make it to QLD.
No9 KEMENTARI was well-backed on debut and just found Malahat too strong for him. His trialls leading into that were quite good, but he did look as if he would appreciate further. He should take a lot of benefit from that experience and if he does, he has his chance.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 PADRAIG
No9 SUNCRAZE (BEST BET) should break through here with even luck. Since his outstanding debut win, he has had no luck in his three runs since all for minor placings. First up in what was a good race at Scone, he was caught wide in the run while the winner got all the luck. Collett is going to need to make a decision early days here, as that will decide if he wins or loses.
No10 CLIPPER resumes here after a good first preparation, she looked as if she would improve with time and has had that break. No trial leading in from the soft gate, with M Dale in the saddle.
No4 SOMEBODY did start fav at her last start in a Highway and had plenty of excuses there. The trials leading in have been good and from this gate she should roll forward.
No3 CONNIVING gets the big tick of being an M Dunn horse in a highway and has good form coming into this. She probably wants it a touch drier though.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 SOMEBODY
No1 SIZZLING BULLET defaulting to the best horse here and he may well be in time. He has the ability to dominate these now that he is up to 2000m. The “fresh” run over 1600 last start was good enough and the trial since was fantastic. However, from gate (10) Collett has some work to do.
No3 OBSCURA finally broke through yet again last start. He is one who could make a QLD derby horse, but he needs to take that next step here.
No6 GARBHAN was solid enough when resuming from a let-up over 1550 at Canterbury, he was fourth to Jon Snow in the Tulloch and we all know how JS did in the derby. He finds T Clark from gate (4) and he is one who looks to be QLD-bound also if he runs well.
No10 PROMETHEUS Finally broke his maiden last start with an impressive 4.8 length win at Kembla Grange. A step up in class and distance here but the stable know what they're doing.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 GARBHAN
No2 SO WILLIE on the week back up here creates plenty of interest. He is a winner over the mile two starts ago. The 1600 of Randwick will suit him much better, as he is drawn to swoop over them late from gate (11). That man Collett could be in for a big day.
No6 SUPPLY AND DEMAND looks to take up the speed here, in a race that should lack some tempo. The effort last start in the Scone Cup was quite good and this is a big drop in grade. However, he is only up 3kgs and Parr knows well enough to get the best out of him.
No8 KINGSGUARD steps quickly to the mile second-up from a spell here, but it should suit him. He hasn’t been the most trustworthy of horses for the punters since he came to Aus. If he can just sit off S&D he will get a perfect run in transit and could have the drop on them late.
No10 CHANDANA has shown that she wants to win of late with the way she has been running through the line. Clark jumps aboard here and she goes down 4kgs off the last start at WFarm and the form around her is good enough.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 SO WILLIE
No11 SEEBLUME (BEST ROUGHIE) may well be a different horse now that she has broken through. She really ran through the line last start and won in really good fashion. From gate (16) Parr is going to have to do some work to get her across into a good spot, but off her triall last week she’s worth a chance.
No4 MY TRUE LOVE should be improved second up from a spell here and back on her home track. She is a winner second up in the past and getting out to the 1400 at this stage of her career looks to suit her well. The impost of 60kgs won’t worry her as she has carried weight in the past.
No3 JUST DREAMING found the line well enough in the Scone Guineas and drops back in grade here and looks to have his chance. What goes against him, though, is the fact that C Reith is steering. His stats in the last 12 months have dropped significantly. Watch him win now!
No1 SIREN'S FURY has been around the money lately and that shouldn't change here. Finished third to Candika two starts back at Doomben. Dropping back in distance here and with the 3kg claim, she should be right in this.
VALUE RUNNER: No11 SEEBLUME
No10 SISKEN (NEXT BEST) has gone to a new level this time in and has been brilliant in all three wins. She steps up in grade here, but she should be able to get a perfect run of the race from gate (10) just behind the leaders, as the one turn from the 1200 won’t worry her if she is 3-4 wide in the run. With clear room she wins.
No12 IN TIMES OF WAR will loom up like she is going to win, but won’t get the job done as she is scared of the line. But the ability that she has will carry her through a decent portion of the race.
No1 NUDIERUDIE drops well back in grade here and gets a good claim for Adkins. Third up from a spell she looks well suited and has her chance.
No14 LOVE’S A FANTASTY comes out of a good form race last start where she ran a good time in finding the line. Randwick suits as does the low weight on her back.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 NUDIERUDIE
No6 BROADSIDE is the one to beat here, he should be fully fit now after three runs back and now to 2400m shouldn’t be an issue for him whatsoever. He drops 4kgs off last weekend’s win and I wouldn’t be shocked if he dominated this race.
No1 ALLERGIC is the main danger here. He really closed off well last start in what looks to be a better race than this. He does have to carry the 59kgs now which is the concern as he is conceding a lot of weight to these horses. His class will carry him a long way.
No3 BIG BLUE should improve a heck of a lot now that he is out to 2400. His best win when he was racing in Europe was when he won over 3000m. Hard to rate that form, but he was strong through the line and that bodes well here.
No5 DANJEU should be ready to peak now that he is third up and out to a suitable distance. He has found the line well enough in both runs to give him a chance here.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 BIG BLUE
No11 BADAJOZ gets the perfect run in behind them here with 53kgs from gate (1) for Dee. The trials coming in have been quite good. His two runs over the summer were quite strong and have held up well enough for a race like this. He could make group level in time.
No9 MADOTTI could well be an improver way back in grade here after a solid enough run in the Silk Stocking first up. Her form is so solid and she rarely puts in a bad race, she carries just 53.5kgs now and from gate (2) she gets a good run.
No12 MACHINEGUN JUBS will be the one flying at them late here. Randwick should suit much better then Rosehill where she just missed with the big weight. She is another who drops well in weight and has a chance here.
No8 HIEROGLYPHICS is an 1100m horse and drops well in grade from the Birthday Card and Sapphire that she has run in recently. This may well be a pipe-opener for her, for a QLD campaign, but with no weight on her back she wouldn’t shock here.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 MADOTTI
No3 THE BULL should be much fitter after the first-up run at Canterbury, where the form has held up quite well already. Out to 1400 is another that will suit, as he won’t have to go full tilt from start to finish and should able to settle here. Parr should be able to dominate the race.
No4 COOLCRAFT comes out of that same race at Canterbury last start and found the line well enough. The step to 1400m now is ideal. Angland should sit just off the pace from gate (1) and he will just need a touch of luck rounding the turn to have his chance.
No2 HIGH MIST found the line well at Warwick Farm fresh from a spell. The open spaces of Randwick are going to suit him much better here, as he is going to be able to wind up and have the last shot at them. His second-up form is good enough.
No10 LEVEL EIGHT is a consistent galloper who's been racing against some quality horses. Beat Mr Tickes in a Newcastle Class 1 two starts back. Wouldn't be surprised to see him win here.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 HIGH MIST