Pakenham (Wednesday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Pakenham. Today’s best bet is in race 5.
Racing returns to the day time and to the turf at Pakenham.
Over the past five weeks racing has been at night and on the synthetic track here so this is a welcomed change to race under daylight and back on grass.
It is going to be cold and wet so take your woolies. The minimum is forecast to be 4C with a maximum of just 13C.
The rain will be tumbling down at the two days prior to this meeting but showers are only forecast for the day’s racing.
Depending on how wet it gets underfoot will be the key so take note of the track rating, which is currently a Soft 7.
The rail is out to eight metres.
QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)
Skinny Play: 5,8 / 1,3,6 / 4,8,13 / 2,3,5
Wide Play: 1,2,5,6,8 / 1,3,4,6,7,9 / 1,4,8,9,13,14 / 1,2,3,5,6,11
BEST BET: R5 – 8. STRYKINGLEE
Next Best Bet: R7 – 4. MAKATITI
Best Roughie: R8 – 3. BERNIE BOY
R1 – 1.00pm. Stabil-Lime Group of Companies SV Maiden Plate – 2540m.
No6 L’AMOUR DE MA VIE has a superior draw in gate six to her prior start when finishing second over 2200m at Geelong on May 12. She gets Dean Yendall to ride and with trainer Darren Weir smashing another record on the weekend she can continue an outstanding year for the stable.
No4 SOLAR COASTER has been given to barrier hurdle trials over 2400m and 2800m in the lead up to resuming here. Hails from an astute stable and ran third over 2200m here at his last start in April.
No1 BABBAGE was given a trial over 2400m for hurdle horses at Ballarat on May 17 in the lead up to resuming here. Was first up over 1700m in a maiden on May 3 and worth a look here.
No9 WAY OF THE STORM underwent a vet’s examination after running last of 12 over 2200m at Werribee on May 12. His prior two runs were solid and the blinkers come off here for the first time.
VALUE RUNNER: No12 BABBAGE
R2 – 1.30pm. Racing.com SV 2yo Maiden – 1400m.
No9 SAVVY ACQUISITION he is an OTI Racing import making his debut. He is by leading sire Savabeel and is trained by the astute combination of New Zealand trainers Trent Busuttin and Natalie Young. Has top jockey Mark Zahra to ride at debut.
No12 CASA DE LAGO was backed from $7.50 into $5.50 before finishing second over 1400m in a maiden here on a Heavy 9 on May 7. That was her second placing at her past two starts and looks one of the main chances.
No3 GRAMMAR BOY will sport blinkers for the first time after his second-up ninth over 1400m at Flemington on May 20. He had run third at his debut here on May 11 and is now fully wound up for this race.
No8 ROCKETCOD was backed from $8 into $6 first up before running a sound second over 1200m in a maiden at Geelong on May 9. He gets top jockey Craig Williams as his new pilot and would expect him to be fitter.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 GRAMMAR BOY
R3 – 2.00pm. APM Group SV 2YO Fillies Maiden Plate – 1000m.
No14 SPEAK SOFTLY she is a product of Victoria’s leading juvenile stable with Team Hayes. She makes her debut here after racing on the pace in a jump out at Werribee recently. Gets top apprentice Beau Mertens to ride.
No1 BELLA VELLA has been placed at both of her two starts. Latest she ran second over 1105m in similar company at Sale on May 11. Has fought on well at her two starts and commands respect.
No12 SEA OF THE STARS makes her debut for the record-breaking stable of Darren Weir who broke Lee Freedman’s long-standing record for the number of winners in a season last week. Nicely bred youngster, but gate nine could be a setback
VALUE RUNNER: No12 SEA OF THE STARS
R4 – 2.30pm. Officer Grain Store 3YO Fillies BM70 Handicap – 1000m.
No1 MISS IANO defied a betting drift to show plenty of courage when scoring a narrow win over 1200m here on a Heavy 8 on May 7. Has an untarnished record of two starts for two wins at this track, but does rise 1.5kg to 60kg.
No7 HUSSY’S GLOW faces a competitive field here. She is a chance on her first-up win over 1170m at Wangaratta on May 8. She was the $2.60 favourite that day and she has won at her past two starts. She drops 1.5kg to 58kg.
No2 SOVIET SECRET has been freshened after her disappointing seventh over 1100m at Caulfield on April 29. With Lachlan King’s 2kg claim she carries 57.5kg and she will race without blinkers for the first time this campaign.
No3 A STERLING DASH has started favourite all three starts this campaign for a win and two seconds. This is a big step up in grade here but she should give them some concerns. Chance.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 SOVIET SECRET
R5 – 3.00pm. Superior Foods Services BM70 Handicap – 1000m.
No8 STRYKINGLEE (BEST BET) is a lightly-raced mare who has the great record of five starts for two wins a second and a third. Her first-up record is rock solid to with a win and a third at two starts. She gets good jockey Ben Melham to ride and should get a cosy run from gate seven. She has heaps of upside.
No4 MANIHI MISCHIEF likes the short-courses and has a smart first-up record of five starts for two wins and a placing.
No1 I AM THE GENERAL scored a brilliant three-length win over 1000m first-up here on May 7. Lachlan King’s claim reduces his impost to 59kg.
No2 PARWAN PRINCE has a handy first-up record of a win and three seconds at five starts. He resumes here off a 212-day spell and he did go out on a winning note over 1200m at Ballarat.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 PARWAN PRINCE
R6 – 3.30pm. Viatek BM70 Handicap – 1200m.
No3 YU LONG SHENG HUI raced at the top level when finishing 12th in the Caulfield Guineas Prelude (1400m) on September 24. He can go well fresh and has been gelded which could see a marked difference in attitude. Worth respecting fresh.
No6 TIZSO WICKED she has won well at her past two starts on rain affected ground at Cranbourne under the lights. She has been placed at her two starts at this track and she drops a kilo to 58.5kg on her last-start win.
No7 WIND FORCE drops in class on his second to Mr Sneaky over 1200m at Caulfield on April 29. Has been ultra-consistent and has a record of two wins and two seconds at seven starts over this distance.
No4 MURPHY'S REWARD enjoyed a nice 1.75L win at same track, distance and class last start. Can't see why he can't repeat that here.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 YU LONG SHENG HUI
R7 – 4.00pm. Hygain BM70 Handicap – 1400m.
No4 MAKATITI (NEXT BEST BET) with three runs under his belt now he looks primed to show his best. He will relish the soft ground under-foot and finds easier opposition here than last-start third over 1400m at Sandown on April 26.
No8 ROBERT DE HERO is ultra-reliable and likes any surface.
No9 RIYADH ran very well fresh and expect to be further improved here.
No14 OUR TURN going for three wins on the trot here. This is a big step up here but loves the wet. Consider.
VALUE RUNNER: No14 OUR TURN
R8 – 4.30pm. Sportsbet Racing Form BM70 Handicap – 2000m.
No2 MARAUDAMISS she is an absolute swimmer and is now fit after finishing sixth over 2019m in a feature at Morphettville on May 20. She gets top jockey Luke Nolen to steer and she has won twice at four starts over this distance.
No3 BERNIE BOY (BEST ROUGHIE) chasing a hat-trick here after wins at Wangaratta and Arat. Latest carried 57kg to win over 2000m at Arat on April 29. Apprentice Nathan Punch’s 2kg claim drops his weight to 57kg and he makes good claims.
No6 CHEQUERED FLAG this ultra-consistent form Kiwi galloper has failed to place only once from its last 11 starts. Started favourite last start when beaten by 0.9L. Gets further here and should be right in this.
No1 DON’T PLEAD GUILTY has been ultra-consistent winning twice at past five starts. Gets the 1.5kg claim of Jack Martin to reduce his impost to 59kg but must overcome a horror draw in 18. Would take on trust.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 BERNIE BOY