Moonee Valley (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Moonee Valley. Today’s best bet is in race 8.
Racing returns to Moonee Valley for the first time since late March.
The track surface has been renovated since racing stopped and the surface is expected to play very fair.
The false rail is back to the True position and the track is rated as a Good 4.
It is a very even card of nine races so winners don’t jump into your face.
Keep a close tag on the market movers and on the premier stables and premiership chasing riders Craig Williams and Beau Mertens.
QUADDIES (races 6,7,8,9)
Skinny Play: 2,8,14 / 3,4,6,11 / 2,4,7,15 / 1,3,11
Wide Play: 2,3,8,11,13,14,17 / 3,4,5,6,7,11,12 / 2,4,7,8,9,12,13,15 / 1,2,3,4,7,11,12
BEST BET: R8 – 15. OVERBERG
Next Best Bet: R9– 1 KEN’S DREAM
Best Roughie: R3 – 1. ORUJO
R1 – 12.20pm. Dominant Cleaning Solutions Handicap – 1200m.
No1 WIRED rallied strongly to finish a close second over 1200m at Wodonga on May 20. She gets top jockey Brad Rawiller to ride but she does rise 1.5kg to 59kg here. The plus is she races against her own age and sex and from barrier three should get a sweet run on the fence.
No3 WANTED DIVA appreciated the class drop when launching a strong finish to score a smart win over 1200m in a maiden at Cranbourne on May 12. She is from the State’s premier two-year-old stable and should be further improved on her second career start. Has the astute Craig Williams to ride.
No8 STAR CREATION is a daughter of staying sire rest making her debut, she hails from an astute stable and she has shown plenty of ability at her recent jump out at Flemington on May 12. She gets top apprentice Ben Thompson to ride but he has no claim here and she carries her listed 57.5kg.
No6 MIA GEORGIA she was a $115,000 weanling so she did fetch a fair price for a youngster. She is by record-breaking juvenile sire Snitzel and she ran very strong in a jump out at Caulfield on May 23. Leading apprentice Jordan Childs is to ride the bay filly at her debut and she is closest to the fence in one.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 STAR CREATION
R2 – 12.55pm. Dominant Clean Mares Handicap – 1200m.
No1 WHISTLE BABY found more trouble than Ned Kelly last start when matched against the males finishing 11th down the straight-six at Flemington on May 20. She is back against her own sex and has title chasing apprentice beau Mertens to ride. His 1.5kg claim drops her weight to a comfortable 58.5kg.
No7 SWISS KISS bounced back from a spell with a stylish win over 1170m at Wangaratta on May 8. She has been kept fresh for this and she gets senior rider Stephen Baster replacing and apprentice. She drops 1.5kg to 54kg for her upgrade in class and she looms as one of the main chances.
No6 MAJESTIC LASS gets top jockey Craig Williams replacing a 3kg apprentice. She hails from one of Victoria’s premier stables and has been freshened up for this. Not raced since running a fair eighth over 1200m against her own sex at Caulfield on May 13. She makes each-way appeal here.
No3 VITAL IMPORTANCE is a West Australian mare who made a glorious return with a strong win against her own sex over 1200m at Caulfield on May 13. She gets Andrew Mallyon to ride again but she did not escape the handicapper copping a 2kg penalty for the win and now must lump 58kg here.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 VITAL IMPORTANCE
R3 – 1.30pm. Cafetto Handicap – 1000m.
No7 MISS VISTA has something of a cult following because of her Apache Cat white markings but is more than a pretty face. She has speed to boot and has an unblemished record at this track. With Jordan Childs’ 1.5kg claim she drops to 56.5kg and she is fresh not having run for a month.
No11 EL SICARIO is a three-year-old who relished his drop down in class with a slashing 3¾ length win over 1000m at Pakenham on May 18. He ran in a Group 2 race in Adelaide at his prior start and has Noel Callow to ride again. He drops from 59kg to 57kg against the older horses here.
No1 ORUJO (BEST ROUGHIE) with Chris Caserta’s 3kg claim has his big impost diminished to 59kg. This is a big drop in class on his last start eighth down the straight-six at Flemington on May 20. He has drawn perfectly in gate five and from four starts at this track has been placed twice. Has claims at longer odds.
No14 LITTLE INDIAN is dropping down in class significantly on her last start 11th in the Group 2 Bellmaine Stakes (1200m) at Caulfield back in February. She gets the in-form Dean Yendall to ride first-up. From gate seven she should get a cost run in transit and she has a fair first-up record.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 ORUJO
R4 – 2.08pm. ADAPT Australia Handicap – 1600m.
No4 THE PASSAGE won impressively at Warrnambool two starts ago before he struck trouble in transit at a crucial stage before finishing seventh over 1600m at Flemington on May 20. Stable jockey Dean Yendall replaces apprentice Ben Allen and should get a clear run from gate seven here.
No1 VIENNA MISS is an Adelaide trained filly who caused a big upset second-up to win the Adelaide Guineas (1600m) at Morphettville on May 13. With apprentice Emily Finnigan’s 1.5kg claim she drops to 57kg, which brings her into calculations in this race.
No2 JAWS OF STEEL does rise a half-kilo to 58kg on his last win over 1600m at Sandown on May 10. He gets strong rider Brad Rawiller to partner and hails from an astute staying stable so the 24-day gap is not so bad. He just needs a bit of luck from a wide alley in 12. Bears thought each-way.
No3 GREVISTE was 1.6L off Guangzhou. Prior to that he was a 1.6L third to Zamzam. That appears to be solid form for this race. If he brings his a-game, he'll be right in this.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 JAWS OF STEEL
R5 – 2.48pm. Cafetto Coffee Clean Handicap – 1600m.
No4 COLDSTONE ran a solid third to the talented Plein Ciel over 1600m at Sandown last Saturday. He bumped into a good type that day and he gets a change of rider with top apprentice Beau Mertens’ 1.5kg claim reducing his impost to 59kg. He will race forward and should like this track and be hard to pass.
No8 MR INDIVIDUAL did put in a bad run last start when finishing eighth as a $4.60 favourite over 1400m at Flemington on May 20. But his overall record is rock solid and with Ben Thompson’s 1.5kg claim will carry 58kg here. He loves this track with a win and a second at three starts.
No6 HERE TO THERE is a seasoned sprinter who fought on okay when finishing seventh over 1400m at Flemington on May 6. He gets apprentice Jack Martin to ride and his 3kg claim reduces his impost to a comfortable 57kg. He is from a leading yard and is fresh for this. Keep in mind.
No3 CHERYL’S HORSE has an excellent record of 10 wins and eight places from 35 starts. This Tasmanian-trained galloper has won at his past three starts on the Apple Isle and is out to stretch the sequence on the mainland. With Mitchell Aitken’s 3kg claim he carries 57.5kg and would respect here.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 MR INDIVIDUAL
R6 – 3.28pm. William Hill Handicap – 1500m.
No2 HAVE ANOTHER GLASS has won at six of her 11 starts and is flying. She is a South Australian mare who was barreled out of her last start when finishing third over 2019m at Morphettville on May 20. She won at Oakbank three starts ago and she faces her own sex here and makes strong appeal.
No8 TYPHOON JOLIE will wear ear muffs here. She drops from a Group 3 in Adelaide where she ran a top fourth over 1200m at Morphettville on May 20. That was a top effort and she is from an astute stable. Has Michael Dee to ride and if she repeats her last start she is in the finish.
No11 TRINITY HILL ran a top race to finish second to Thelburg over 1400m at Caulfield on May 13. With apprentice Ben Thompson’s 1.5kg claim she will carry a mere 53kg here. She was a winner at Sale over 1411m three starts and she can bounce back here.
No14 FOUR SISTERS comes here from a clever win over 1400m against fillies and mares at Sandown on May 10. She has finished in the quinella at her two starts this campaign and she gets title chasing apprentice Beau Mertens to ride. His 1.5kg allowance drops her weight to 52.5kg. Chance.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 TYPHOON JOLIE
R7 – 4.08pm. WT Partnership Handicap – 1200m.
No3 HEZA RIPPER has been racing well but has had no luck from wide gates. Latest he ran eighth over 1290m at Morphettville on May 13. That was barrier 18 and he has a superior draw in nine here and he gets premiership defending jockey Craig Williams to ride. The stable has trained over 100 Victorian winners this season.
No4 CHASE THE HORIZON scored a fighting win over 1200m at Morphettville on May 20 during the Adelaide carnival. Returns here chasing back to back wins and gets top apprentice Beau Mertens to ride. Mertens’ 1.5kg claim drops his weight to 57.5kg and the Henry Dwyer stable is running warm.
No11 THIS KID ROCKS is a country-trained galloper who ran a good third over 1200m at Morphettville on May 13. With Jordan Childs’ 1.5kg claim he will carry 55kg. The four-year-old’s form has been impeccable of late and he can combat his gate in 11. Good prospects.
No12 LEODORO has been freshened since struck a bog track at Cranbourne and ran third over 1400m on April 29. He gets top jockey Luke Nolen to partner here and he can replay those who took the favourite odds on him last start. Loves this distance with a win and a third at three starts.
VALUE RUNNER: No12 LEODORO
R8 – 4.45pm. Essendon Nissan Handicap – 2040m.
No15 OVERBERG (BEST BET) makes appeal on a tough day when best bets look hard to find. Leading trainer Ciaron Maher has put the blinkers on here after his last start second to Hursley over 2000m at Caulfield on May 13. Michael Dee takes the reins and he has yet to miss a top four placing at five starts this campaign.
No12 GALLIC CHIEFTAIN forgive second-up when looked flat. Gives Darren Weir a strong hand.
No7 SHOW A STAR down a grade here and on last-start effort against stronger opposition respect.
No4 COUGAR EXPRESS is a Kalgoorlie Cup winner who is now primed to show with a 2000m under his belt.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 COURGAR EXPRESS
R9 – 5.25pm. Dominant Handicap – 1200m.
No1 KEN’S DREAM (NEXT BEST BET) plummets in class down from a Group 2 where he ran a good seventh of 17 over 1200m at Morphettville on May 6. With apprentice Mitchell Aitken’s 3kg claim he will carry 58kg and he loves this track with three starts for a win and two seconds. He has drawn perfectly in gate two and is from the record-breaking yard of Darren Weir.
No11 KATSURO has been well liked in the betting but had no luck on the track.
No3 HIGHLAND BEAT is now fully fit and liked his last start effort. Rates here.
No4 RUN GYPSY RUN scored a strong on-pace win last start and on this track must rate well.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 HIGHLAND BEAT