Randwick for the Sydney Saturday meeting this week and what a surprise we have for punters here, Sydney is wet and the track at Randwick will be in the heavy range. T Clark looks to have the pick of the books here with most jocks in Brisbane for Stradbroke day. The track will be heavy and the rail is +3
QUADDIES (races 6-7-8-9)
Skinny Play: 3 – 2,3,8 – 5,7 – 4,9,10
Wide Play: 3,7,8 – 2,3,5,7,8,12 – 1,5,7,8 – 2,3,4,8,9,10
BEST BET: R3 – 3. CLIPPER
Next Best Bet: R6 – 3. DAGNY
Best Roughie: R9 – 9. BRIGADOON RISE
No4 CHAMPAGNE CUDDLES has been trialing up in good fashion coming into a fresh run here. She was a good winner on debut last October in a race that had held up well form wise. She looks to have come back in good order this time in with a solid trial. She should handle the going off her breeding.
No5 LIPIZZAN gets into this race with no weight and brings good form to the race here. She is proven to handle the going and with race fitness on her side she has her chance.
No6 EXCEED THE NIGHT
VALUE RUNNER: No5 LIPIZZAN
No2 CADOGAN finally looks as if he wants to be a racehorse this time in with his win fresh that was something to behold. He sat last in a fast run race and sprinted home with a wicked sectional to win in a good race. Second-up on a wet track shouldn’t be an issue and I’m back in the Cadogan love team.
No3 IN TIMES OF WAR has a good wet track record and got the job done well last start when doing it tough. It was good to see her to put a win on the board and had come out of some hot form races leading into that. Clark sticks.
No7 GENETEAU drops well in grade here after taking on listed racing first up. She was a winner second-up in the past and has proven to handle wet going in the past, at her best she is good enough to finish over the top of them here.
No4 BEST GUESS sprinted well to win last start at Canterbury, that was a soft 6 that day and she did it well there. Fresh she ran third on heavy going when lacking some race fitness there. She looks to be a typical Waller off-season horse who will keep racking up the prizemoney.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 GENETEAU
No3 CLIPPER (BEST BET) was a dominant winner last start in this grade and at the track. I am assuming this is the Dale horse to run, as Il Bandito didn’t seem to appreciate soft going at Goulburn last start. Clipper has proven that she does enjoy soft going and can run through it and she does have 1000m form which is especially important here. If she has improved from the fresh run, she will be winning.
No6 IM IMOGEN has placed in four from six on soft going and has won two of them. She resumes here after running last in the Furious which as a bridge too far. Previous to that she had solid country form.
No2 NICTOCK is unbeaten coming into this and is yet to see soft going. The trial at Dubbo recently was stylish and being out of a Danehill Dancer mare he should handle the track.
No5 CONNIVING goes into the tips purely because he is trained by M Dunn and himself and M Dale are the highway kings.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 IM IMOGEN
No2 SOVIET COURAGE looks to be the best wet tracker in the race and was strong through the line last start in the Mckell cup. The step to 3200m is a new world if pain here and he us placed up to 3000m in his career and has a chance.
No1 BROADSIDE loves wet going, but I have my doubts about him running out a strong 3200m, the set up for him looks a little dicey for him. He goes up 5kg on the last start run and he was a touch weak late there.
No4 RICHARD OF YORKE looks to have the best set up here as he has run his last five starts over 2400m and you know that he has the miles in his legs, he will keep plugging away and that’s all you need to do from the 1000m here.
No6 DANE HUSSLER was solid enough last start in the Andrew Ramsden, at least she has had the run over 3200m coming into this. She is down on the minimum and has no soft form whatsoever – but the wet track races she has run in have been unsuitable.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 DANE HUSSLER
No9 SO SPLENDID should relish the going here being by Savabeel out of an O’Reilly mare, she just ran out of ground last start over the 1800m and now coming to 2000m and Randwick she looks to have every chance here.
No12 NETTOYER is eligible for maiden level yet ran really well last start on soft going. The step to 2000m from the 1400m is a big jump up but looks as if she is looking for it. Sebrings don’t mind the cut in the ground either and she could bob up at odds.
No5 MANDALAY BAY in weaker class here after beaten 0.7L at same track and distance. Well suited to take this.
No7 OUTBACK RAIN
VALUE RUNNER: No9 SO SPLENDID
No3 DAGNY (NEXT BEST BET) looks to get a race run to suit here unlike last weekend where she was drawn off the track and was in the wrong part of the track to make a run. From gate 2 on heavy ground she is much more suited here as she will get that smother run and Clark will just need that touch of luck turning and she looks the winner.
No6 YUMA DESERT has good wet track form but hasn’t been attacking the line like a horse you want to back as of late. She gets back to her home track here and her preferred conditions and with the claim for Heywood she gets her chance to win a race again.
No4 HEAVENLY ANNA likes the course and distance. 3 starts back she beat Gretna who is a handy horse. Consider.
No11 TENNESSEE HUSSY
VALUE RUNNER: No7 ANISHA
No2 THE MONSTAR has never seen heavy going but has performed brilliantly on soft going in the past. He looked like he was going to run last first-up and rallied late to run a good third. Now getting onto heavy going and dropping 3kgs he gets his chance to win again as he is a winner at the T&D in the past.
No8 INZ’N’OUT went along at a super-fast pace when resuming and that looks to be the best way to get a horse fit. He hasn’t won in a long while, but after his effort fresh he should be rock hard fit. Back on wet going looks to suit here too.
No12 WOULDN’T IT BE NICE has no form to enjoy / like whatsoever, but this is the type of race he could blow punters out. Now and then he bobs up on a wet track and wins and we all scratch our heads. Here’s hoping that we have gotten ahead of the curve.
No1 FELINES Kris Lees galloper who won nicely at Hawkesbury two starts back. Have to respect.
VALUE RUNNER: No12 WOULDN’T IT BE NICE
No5 NOTHING BOX has a good record and is proven in wet going in the past. This is weaker than his last start run where I don’t know why he was fav, as he had PR’s in his two Canterbury wins. Now on heavy going here he has his chance.
No1 IMPERIAL AVIATOR has his first Australian start for Gai here and gets the blinkers on. He was 12 lengths off Idaho last prep and that horse was Group 1 competitive last season in Europe. I am taking a complete guess and punt in him here as he looks a strong stayer.
No8 EL NOVIO loves wet going and third-up from a spell at the 2000m looks set to run a to a peak here. He has been finding the line well enough in both runs this time in and has his chance.
NO12 BIRDS OF TOKYO
VALUE RUNNER: No1 IMPERIAL AVIATOR
No9 BRIGADOON RISE (BEST ROUGHIE) will win a race for me one day soon enough, and this looks to be her chance, she gets back on wet going here and has done the job done in wet going before. She draws a good gate here for Heywood (who won’t claim) and she has her chance.
No10 CLEAR THE BEACH won in imposing fashion when resuming from a spell, looking at his action that day he looked as if he would be able to handle the wet going there, the wide gate late in the day shouldn’t be an issue whatsoever.
No3 PRO CONSUL has a good fresh record and an even better wet track record. On a heavy track from a suitable gate given his trials he looks to have a chance here.
No8 BRATISLAVA extremely consistent galloper. Must consider here.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 BRIGADOON RISE