This is a mammoth meeting of 10 races with big fields for the holiday Monday card at Mornington.
Suggest you start slow and safe as it is a long road until the end of the tunnel.
The rail is at the true position but the track is rated a Heavy 8 so it is going to be tricky as to what part of the track is going to be best. It is going to get cut up. The blessing is the weather should be fine.
QUADDIES (races 7,8,9,10)
Skinny Play: 2,5,12 / 1,4 / 2,7,13 / 1,2,4,5
Wide Play: 2,5,7,8,9,12 / 1,4,7,9 / 2,3,7,8,12,13 / 1,2,4,5,8,9,12
BEST BET: R7 – 12. SHE BRINGS HOPE
Next Best Bet: R8 – 1. BERNIE BOY
No15 TATA MADIBA Hails from the State’s premier two-year-old yard and can improve here on debut seventh over 1000m at Moonee Valley on January 27. With Jake Bayliss’ 2kg claim will carry 56kg and rates with good claims.
SCRATCHED - No1 BORELLA is a son of champion two-year-old Pierro making his debut. He was a $300,000 purchase as a yearling and he gets top jockey Mark Zahra to steer. He is from the in-form stable of Mick Price and has looked to have speed at his jump-outs.
VALUE RUNNER: No11 HAMPTON CLASSIC
No5 RIDGWAY has been freshened up and comes out of much stronger races than this. Latest ran 11th over 1500m at Sandown on May 10. He gets top jockey Mark Zahra to ride and his previous form was sufficient to be a force here.
No8 TAI CHI SPIRIT caught the eye with a second over 1100m in a maiden at Werribee on May 15. That was his debut effort and was well-fancied at $6.50. Expect to show further improvement here.
No7 SUPERGRASS was placed at two country starts before finishing seventh over 1400m in a maiden at Cranbourne on May 10. He has drawn well in (8) and is from an astute stable. Respect.
No13 MOSSBELLE she has been placed at her two starts so far. Latest she ran second in a 1209m maiden against her own sex at Yarra Valley on January 10. She has drawn well in (6) and should get a cost run.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 SUPERGRASS
No14 TESTA LIFE has finished inside the money at her seven starts but can break the ice here. Latest she ran second over 1400m in this class at Cranbourne on May 26. Makes strong appeal.
No3 CELESTIAL JEWEL will wear a tongue-tie after her ninth over 1700m in a maiden at Warrnambool on May 3. From barrier (4) she should get a soft run and her previous form was solid.
No13 SUPERIOR ROSE was stretched up to 2600m when finishing fifth in a maiden at Cranbourne on May 26. She gets premier jockey Craig Williams as her pilot and will find this race much easier.
No4 DANCING HUSSY has been placed twice at her three starts. Latest she ran a strong third over 1623m in a maiden at Moe on May 25. She has top apprentice Beau Mertens to steer and respect.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 DANCING HUSSY
No9 GOOD OH had no luck whatsoever when finishing last over1300m at Sandown on March 15. She was an impressive winner at her debut at the same track on March 1. Has been freshened up and gets top hoop Luke Nolen.
No4 WHYYOUASK the winkers go on and the blinkers come off. She is way down on class on her ninth in the Group 2 Wakeful Stakes (2000m) at Flemington on October 29. Her first-up form is impeccable and is a strong chance.
No16 BELLA AVA was turned out for a spell after her last over 1200m at Moonee Valley on December 31. She gets top jockey Mark Zahra to ride and has a good first-up record. Keep very safe.
No7 FLYING DRAGON started her career on a big high with a smart win over 1000m at Stony Creek on April 10. She is raised in class here no doubt but there looks to be upside.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 FLYING DRAGON
No6 CHANNING was having his second start back from a spell when finishing second over 114m at Moe on May 25. He gets Luke Currie to ride here from barrier (11) and he should handle the sloppy going.
No8 SECRET SEQUIN was racing in excellent form and had some excuses when finishing sixth over 1200m here on September 8. Has been given a long break to mature and has a solid first-up record.
No4 WHYCATCHIM has won and been placed at all three starts. Latest ran second over 1000m at Cranbourne on January 6. Has an unblemished record fresh and from gate (2) gets a good run.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 WHYCATCHIM
No12 HOLY SEAL comes here off an effortless 2 1/2 length win over 1000m at Ballarat on May 24. Has finished in the top two placings at his three starts and from barrier (4) and with Ben Allan’s 1.5kg claim to carry 54 is a strong chance.
No7 TIMETUS has been gelded and will wear winkers for the first time. Was not pushed at a recent trial and would go on his win over 1000m here last January. He is bred to swim so the bog track should not concern.
No10 STAR SEARCH won over 1000m at Ballarat two starts ago before finishing sixth over 1200m at Sandown on May 27. Should get better luck here and can be a force.
No4 AMANAAT has been gelded since his 12th over 1000m at Flemington on November 1. That was down the straight and he has a rail to guide here and with top apprentice Beau Mertens riding keep safe.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 AMANAAT
No12 SHE BRINGS HOPE (BEST BET) she should handle the heavy going and she has the early speed to be prominent. Last start she ran a sound third over 1400m on Soft going at Echuca on May 28. She gets the experienced Ryan Maloney to ride and can repay those who took the $3.70 favouritism last time.
No2 SENOR ALF has a good gate and is now fully primed for the 1600m.
No16 VIRGINIA WATER sure to be ridden cold and can surprise here.
No5 CORONATION TROUBLE has drawn perfectly in (4) to be prominent and respect.
VALUE RUNNER: No16 VIRGINIA WATER
No1 BERNIE BOY (NEXT BEST BET) absolutely adores the wet tracks and gets his chance to add another picket to his fence. With Nathan Punch’s 3kg claim his impost is reduced to 59kg and he gets a pie run from gate (3). Looks one of the better bets on a tough card.
No9 SAVVY DRESSER comes here off a smart win over 2060m and makes good appeal.
No4 SIR VAN DYKE is a British import who should love the slosh here.
No7 MULINELLO form in NSW has been top grade and respect here at Victorian debut.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 SIR VAN DYKE
No8 JUSTICE HONOR comes here off a clever win in a 1600m maiden at Seymour on May 23. There is plenty of upside to this bloke and he gets the experienced Luke Currie to steer. Can handle the going.
No2 ALBION ROAD was resuming when finishing sixth over 1600m at Pakenham on May 25. With apprentice Jakle Bayliss’ 2kg claim his weight is reduced to 58.5kg and he gets his chance.
No13 STREET SPUN the blinkers go back on which is a critical gear change. Latest she ran eighth over 1600m against her own sex at Ballarat on May 24. She has a good draw in gate (2) and is a chance.
No7 RETICENT comes here off a fighting win over 1711m at Geelong on May 19. That was second-up and he should do no work from gate (3). With Ben Melham again riding has good claims.
VALUE RUNNER: No13 STREET SPUN
No2 EL SICARIO woud draw a line through his last start when last at Moonee Valley on June 3. He did not have much luck early and there were excuses. He loves this distance and with Ben Thompson’s 1.5kg claim carries 59.5kg.
No1 DANE THUNDER loves the wet tracks and because of the heavy conditions here he is a chance. He has been freshened since his sixth over 1400m at Caulfield on May 13. Jack Martin’s 3kg claim sees him carry 58.5kg
No5 FABULONH has missed a place once at seven starts on bog tracks so he comes into strong calculations. Forget his last run when finishing 13th over 1500m at Rosehill on May 5.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 FABULONH