Public holiday racing comes to us from Warwick Farm on this Monday. Sydney has copped a deluge of rain over the last 4-5 days and we will be on a heavy track here. Nice enough card of races so we cannot complain about the quality of horses around. The rail is true.
QUADDIES (races 5-6-7-8)
Skinny Play: 3,9 – 1 – 1,5 – 4,10,13
Wide Play: 3,6,7,9 – 1,7 – 1,5,6 – 1,3,4,6,10,11,12,13
BEST BET: R3 – 2. JAUNTY
Next Best Bet: R1 – 7. SIEGE OF QUEBEC
Best Roughie: R7 – 6. ROGUE MISSILE
No7 SIEGE OF QUEBEC (NEXT BEST BET) has been trialing up in imposing fashion leading to the debut run here. He is superbly bred and gets blinkers on for the debut. What I have noted down here is that Bowman is booked to ride this one, which he doesn’t do a lot for Gai, something that just adds to the appeal.
No3 ANIMALIA has been gelded coming into this and has trialled up well enough. Bred to handle the going.
No5 ENFIELD OPP is well bred and is drawn to get a soft run from barrier 1 and has a chance here.
No6 KING BILLY should get through the going and has been trialing up well enough.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 KING BILLY
No5 HELIOSPHERE charged through the line on debut over the 1400m. The step to 1600m is perfect and the wet track poses no issues.
No2 MADAME MOUSTACHE is the only winner on this field and hasn’t really gone on with it since the win in her first prep. 1600m looks to suit.
No8 AFRICAN RAINBOW has been looking as if she wants to get out and trip and finds the 1600m here.
No6 CAJETAN jumps quickly to 1600m and should appreciate the step up in trip here given his breeding.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 AFRICAN RAINBOW
No2 JAUNTY (BEST BET) should have won on debut at Kembla, she didn’t have the luck at any stage of the race and was only just beaten there. Bowman now goes on here from barrier 1, she is going to get a perfect run of the race here and out to 1400m is another tick.
No3 RUGOSA ROSE was solid enough on debut and now steps up to 1400m which should suit and she should improve with experience.
No6 VARESE should improve getting out further in ground and should run well here.
No7 COME ON VOGUE comes out of good form races last time in and has been trailing up well enough.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 COME ON VOGUE
No1 TIVOLI STREET looks to have this race at his mercy, he brings the best form to this race and if he runs up to that he wins.
No2 DREAM BUILDER comes out of a good race on debut and should improve at a second start.
No5 LUCKY LEGEND gets a good jockey change here and the step up in trip gives him a chance.
No3 TYPHOON CHARLIE has been trialing up well enough coming into a debut run and will be well presented being from the Smith yard.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 TYPHOON CHARLIE
No9 QUEEN OF HEIGHTS going with this horse given the Bowman booking here as he has been on a few of these recently, she looks set to peak here.
No3 THAI BOXING should have won last start, but Bowman jumps off here which has me concerned.
No6 BIRDSONG gets blinkers on here and should appreciate that as she looked to float about in the straight last start.
No7 ISLE OF CAPRI gets a soft run from the barrier here and up to 1600m should suit here.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 BIRDSONG
No1 ANISHA was scratched on Saturday in preference to come here, this race is much weaker and we have her a good chance there. She is a good Warwick Farm horse and loves wet going.
No7 CROWN MOSS loves wet going and has trialled well coming into this run.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 CROWN MOSS
No1 WIDE ACCLAIM has good wet track form and has been trialing quite well coming into this.
No5 AKASAKI has a good record in the country and ran fast time at Dubbo last start and looks well weighted here.
No6 ROGUE MISSILE (BEST ROUGHIE) brings solid form into a race such as this fresh and has trialled up well coming into this.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 ROGUE MISSILE
No4 METALLIC CROWN loves soft going and second up from a spell finds a winnable race, barrier 15 late in the day no issue.
No10 PELETHRONIUS just loves wet going and won in good fashion fresh, second-up from a spell this looks a suitable race.
No13 LEVEL EIGHT comes out of a better race than this last start and the wet going shouldn’t be an issue for him here.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 METALLIC CROWN