Moonee Valley (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Moonee Valley. Today’s best bet is in race 4.
Moonee Valley hosts its second Saturday meeting this month.
The rail goes out to three metres after it was put on the True position last time on June 3.
The track is rated a Soft 5 but hopefully with fine weather it can improve a little.
The Weather Bureau forecast a maximum of 15C for Saturday so it will be cool after an overnight minimum of 6C.
Craig Williams and apprentice Beau Mertens battle out the 2016-17 jockeys’ title here with each rider having a good book of mounts on the nine-race card.
QUADDIES (races 6,7,8,9)
Skinny Play: 1,4 – 8,11 – 8,13,14 – 4,7
Wide Play: 1,2,3,4,7,11 – 2,6,8,11,12 – 2,8,11,13,14 – 1,4,7,11,13
BEST BET: R4 – 2. EVERY FAITH
Next Best Bet: R9– 4. LEODORO
Best Roughie: R7 – 12. MR JOURNEYMAN
R1 – 12.15pm. Friends Of Epworth Handicap – 1200m.
No4 BEHAVE is perfectly drawn in gate three to capitalize on her first-up second over 1200m against her own age and sex here on June 3. Top jockey Luke Nolen rides again and the Mick Kent stable is running hot. Makes strong appeal.
SCRATCHED No1 WIRED has been honest and gets her chance again clashing against Behave after finishing third in the same race here back on June 3. She has won and been placed at each of her four starts and gest top jockey Mark Zahra to ride here.
No2 ELLE STREET was plunged from $21 into $13 before claiming a brilliant win against her own age and sex in an 1100m maiden at Wangaratta on June 6. She goes up in class but on the dominance of her debut effort must command respect. Stephen Baster is the new rider on 58.5kg.
No3 JOSEPHINE SEA was a commanding debut winner at Sale before she was edged up in class to run third over 1200m at Sandown on May 27. She was backed from $6.50 into $5 that day and she is again drawn in gate two to be prominent. Chris Symons keeps the ride.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 ELLE STREET
R2 – 12.50pm. Bidfoot Handicap – 1000m.
No1 IF NOT NOW WHEN with top apprentice Beau Mertens’ 1.5kg claim she will carry 57kg so she looks well weighted here. Latest she ran a strong fourth over 1050m at Morphettville on May 13. She is sharp for this and liked the short distances. From gate five she gets a cosy run.
No5 AIRINO has the blinkers going back on. She has been a model of honesty and can go one better than her last start second over 1000m against her own age and sex at Pakenham on May 31. She gets the talented Craig Williams to steer and makes strong appeal.
No2 SOVIET SECRET she can bounce back here on her last-start seventh over 1100m at Caulfield on April 29. She has been scratched a couple of times since that last start and the blinkers are coming off here. Mark Zahra is the new jockey and on her best form rates well.
No11 SHE’S A PLUCK has finished inside the money at five of her six starts. She was a $3.10 favourite when romping away to an easy win over 1014m in a maiden at Moe on May 25. That was a worthy effort and with top jockey Craig Newitt to steer again and from an inside alley in two has claims here.
VALUE RUNNER: No11 SHE’S A PLUCK
R3 – 1.28pm. Zonki Handicap – 1000m.
No5 ZARA BAY has plenty to like as she trialled very well in NSW for this race first-up. She won a 990m trial in 56.20secs at Rosehill on June 13 in preparation for this. Her first-up record reads a win a second and two thirds and five starts and has top jockey Damien Oliver to steer from gate five.
No1 DANCE WITH FONTEIN scored a narrow win at Sandown over 1000m before running seventh over 1000m here on June 3. Apprentice Brandon Stockdale’s 3kg claim drops her impost to a comfortable 57kg and she can rebound here with an inside draw on the rail.
SCRATCHED No3 MISS VISTA has something of a cult following with her white face and four white legs. She also has plenty of dash and can rebound on her fourth over 1000m here on June 3. She gets ace jockey Craig Williams to ride but the wide alley in 11 is a setback. She is worth each-way thought.
No4 APPALANCHIAN ANNIE eased from $2 to $2.60 but defied her drift to close strongly and land a brilliant win over 1000m at Pakenham on May 25. Jake Bayliss’ 2kg claim drops her weight to 54.5kg. That is 3.5kg less than she carried to win last start and is worth following here.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 DANCE WITH FONTAINE
R4 – 2.05pm. Kane Constructions Handicap – 1600m.
No2 EVERY FAITH (BEST BET) looks to have her hoof on the till here. She ran 13th in a Group 1 in Adelaide first-up before finishing third over 1500m against her own sex here on June 3. She gets top apprentice Ben Thompson to ride and his 1.5kg claim reduces her weight to 58.5kg. This is her third start from a spell and is now primed to fire. She gets a soft run from a rail’s draw.
No1 BELUGA BLUE was a smart winner over 1550m at Morphettville last time out.
No4 VANDANCER strips very strong for this with a run over 2019m at Morphettville on May 20.
No11 SOHO RUBY she authority to post a strong win at Sandown. Must include here.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 BELUGA BLUE
R5 – 2.45pm. GJK Facilities Services Handicap – 1200m.
No5 WHISTLE BABY dominated rivals to coast to an easy win over 1200m here on June 3. That was her second start back from a spell and was against her own sex. With top apprentice Beau Mertens’ 1.5kg claim she carries 53kg – which is down 5.5kg on her last win. She makes strong appeal.
No8 CAMDUS was freshened when beat Chase The Horizon over 1200m here last start on June 3. He is a Darren Weir-trained galloperand with the stable on fire makes strong appeal dropping from 58kg to 52.5kg with the 1.5kg claim of apprentice Ben Allen. Right on his game.
No1 RELDAS returns here after a great third in the Group 3 Mckay Stakes (1100m) at Morphettville on May 6. Noel Callow replaces Craig Williams at his come back here to one of his most favourite tracks. Has collected five wins and four placings at 12 starts at the Valley. Has good claims.
No4 MILITARY REIGN would pay to forget her run when finishing last over 1000m at Flemington last Saturday. That was her first time down the straight in Melbourne and she may have got lost in the centre without a rail to guide her. Her form around Rock Magic and First Amongst Equal in WA is top class.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 MILITARY REIGN
R6 – 3.25pm. Epworth Medical Imaging Handicap – 1200m.
SCRATCHED No1 KATSURO showed abundant courage to claw to a narrow win over 1200m here on June 3. He jumps from 54kg to 58kg but Michael Dee stays on board and he can embellish his perfect record here of one start for one win. Has won at two and been placed third once from his six starts.
No5 TERINDAH scored a strong win at Cranbourne over 1300m two starts ago before finishing a close sixth to Katsuro over 1200m here on June 3. With apprentice Brandon Stockdale’s 3kg claim will be loaded on 53kg and gets a soft run from gate three. Sure to be thereabouts.
No4 HIGHLAND BEAT has been luckless and if he gets a turn around here can be a force on his last start 10th to Katsuro over 1200m here on June 3. That was his third start back from a spell and he gets Craig Williams to ride again. Had no luck last time and can redeem.
No3 YU LONG SHENG HUI has Noel Callow replacing Damien Oliver. He made a magnificent return to post his third win from five starts on a heavy 9 over 1200m at Pakenham on May 31. He has drawn perfectly in gate one to get a box seat and he has shown he is capable of rising to city class.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 YU LONG SHENG HUI
R7 – 4.05pm. Silver Thomas Hanley Plate – 2040m.
No8 COLDSTONE has been progressing up the distance ladder steadily and looks ready to shine here after a smart third over 1600m here on June 3. Top apprentice Beau Mertens rides and his 1.5kg claim drops his weight to 52.5kg. That is 6.5kg less than he carried last time. Looks good on weights.
No2 MEGABLAST was a tear-away 9 length winner on a bog track over 1600m in New Zealand last start on May 27. Has drawn to gain a soft transit in two and gets top jockey Ben Melham to ride at his Australian debut. He has a great strike-rate of seven wins and five placings at 21 starts.
No12 MR JOURNEYMAN (BEST ROUGHIE) has Brandon Stockdale’s 3kg claim reduce his weight to a mere 51kg and should get a cosy run from gate five. He ran second in the Mt Gambier Cup (2400m) last start on May 12. He did have a solid preparation so the 35-day gap may be okay here. Has each-way claims.
No11 HURSLEY gets his chance here as he has been most reliable and if can hold his position from gate five and with no weight on 54kg and ace jockey Craig Williams to steer has plenty of plus factors. He ran a solid third over 2040m here on June 3. And drops 1.5kg.
VALUE RUNNER: No12 JOURNEYMAN
R8 – 4.43pm. William Hill Travis Harrison Cup – 1600m.
No8 HEART STARTER ran a fair third in the Echuca Cup (1400m) at $3.30 on May 28. Former WA galloper who has had three starts for his new trainer Darren Weir now. Tshahitis won the Echuca Cup and bolted in at Flemington last Saturday so may explain why punters have lunged on him backing him from $7.50 into $5 in early betting. Ben Allen’s 1.5kg claim drops his weight to 53kg.
No13 MR INDIVIDUAL ran a steady fourth over 1600m at Moonee Valley on June 3. He was backed from $7 into $5 that day but found a few too good for him. With Ben Thompson’s 1.5kg claim he carries 52.5kg, which is a drop of 5.5kg. Bound to have admirers.
No14 DATA POINT was working home when grabbing third over 1400m at Sandown on May 27. He gets premiership chasing apprentice Beau Mertens to ride and his 1.5kg claim drops his weight to 52.5kg, which is down 2.5kg on the load he carried last time.
No7 GOD’S IN HIM gets an important gear change with blinkers going on. He ran a sound second over 1400m in the Scone Cup on May 12. That was first-up from a spell and on a bog track and he then ran seventh over 1800m at Rosehill on June 3. Respect coming to Melbourne from Sydney.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 GOD’S IN HIM
R9 – 5.15pm. Embassy Print Solutions Handicap – 1200m.
No4 LEODORO (NEXT BEST BET) is from the hot stable of Michael Kent and gets Victoria’s Nos 1 apprentice Beau Mertens to ride. Charged home off a light break to run third over 1200m here on June 3. Did not get a clear passage and was off a 43-day break. Mertens 1.5kg claim reduces his weight to 57.5kg here and he loves this distance.
No1 FLORAL FEVER rises 2kg to 60kg for last win but has Craig Williams to ride.
No7 SEPTAMORE is having his third start back from a spell and now is primed.
SCRATCHED No13 FOREIGN AFFAIR is always knocking about the placings and is worth thought again.
VALUE RUNNER: No13 FOREIGN AFFAIR