Ballarat (Thursday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Ballarat. Today’s best bet is in race 8.
Racing returns to Ballarat on Thursday with a strong eight-race card.
The false rail will be moved to the three-metre position from the 1600m to the 1000m and will be at the true position for the remainder.
The day is forecast to be overcast and cool with the track rated perfectly as a Good 4.
Northern Hemisphere import Condamine holds interest in Race 3. He is a maiden but has shown good form at home.
He is owned by top Australian syndicator OTI Racing and has been gelded since coming down under.
QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)
Skinny Play: 6,7 – 3,4,12 – 8,13 – 6,10
Wide Play: 1,2,6,7 – 3,4,7,12,13 – 6,8,13,14,15 – 3,6,10,13,17
BEST BET: R8 – 6. NOTIO
Best Roughie: R5 – 11. MEOWIE WOWIE
R1 – 1.00pm. Craigs Royal Hotel 3YO Fillies Maiden Plate – 1200m.
No12 RED GUCCI chased hard down the final stretch to run second over 1000m maiden at Pakenham on June 20. That was at her second start this campaign and expect her to strip fitter here. Craig Newitt rides again and is a chance.
No7 MOSSBELLE faced a bog track when running ninth in a maiden over 1200m at Mornington on June 12. That was first-up from a spell and her previous form was rock solid. The in-form Jye McNeil keeps the ride.
No2 FOXANNE hails from the record-breaking stable of Darren Weir and gets top stable jockey Dean Yendall to ride at her debut. This daughter of Foxwedge has no trial form to guide but would respect on her stable’s performances this season.
No6 LEBOMBO ROSE with Ethan Brown’s 1.5kg claim will carry 55.5kg. She quickened late to snatch fourth last start over 1400m in a maiden at Wangaratta on June 6. She is well tried at 11 starts but from barrier one she gets a soft run,
VALUE RUNNER: No6 LEBOMBO ROSE
R2 – 1.30pm. Porter Plant Maiden Plate – 1100m.
No11 CAPTIVATOR is only a two-year-old but brings strong form into a maiden with his fourth in Group company at Caulfield. Latest he ran sixth over 1300m at Sandown in 2yo class on February 22. Has good claims.
No1 CHIEF MOONDANCE will wear ear muffs for the first time. His debut was strong and ran a solid 13th when never on the track over 1200m at Mornington on September 22. With the time off can improve further.
No13 AMERICAN SUMMER ran a fair fifth over 1000m in a maiden at Donald on June 19. Gets the experience of Stephen Baster to guide here. Would expect natural improvement and dropping 2kg to 54kg rates as a light-weight hope.
No10 VITRIOLIC ATTACK is a well-bred youngster who can improve further on her second over 1100m in a F&M maiden at Geelong on June 16. She hails from an astute stable and is worth noting.
VALUE RUNNER: No13 AMERICAN SUMMER
R3 – 2.00pm. Whitford Liquid Waste Maiden Plate – 1400m.
No6 PABLO’S EXPRESS ran on strongly out wide to finish second over 1000m in a trial at Cranbourne on June 5. Was placed second at sole start first-up and has been placed twice at four starts. The distance here looks to suit.
No13 ORACABESSA worked home strong for a solid second over 1400m at Sandown on June 14. Has a wide alley in 12 but gets top jockey Luke Nolen to ride here. With luck in running and natural improvement can expect to show here.
No4 GEODESIC is resuming from a 53-day break. Will wear a tongue-tie for the first time and can improve on his seventh over 2000m in a maiden at Sandown on May 7. Has top Irish rider John Allen to partner.
No2 CONDAMINE is an Irish-bred import making his Australian debut. He has top Victorian jockey Dwayne Dunn to guide and has been placed twice at his four starts in Britain. He is owned by OTI Racing and respect.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 GEODESIC
R4 – 2.30pm. C E Bartlett Maiden Plate – 1600m.
No4 GOORNONG GALAXY started as a red hot $1.95 favourite but ran second over 1600m in a maiden at Swan Hill on June 11. He over-raced that day and gets the strong rider Brad Rawiller to partner here. Can make amends.
No2 DANDRE was doing his best work at the finish to run sixth over 1600m at Moonee Valley on June 3. He was placed third at his prior start over 1600m in a maiden here. Drops in class on his last start and respect.
No12 CELESTIAL JEWEL has been racing okay and can improve on her last-start second over 1600m against her own sex in a maiden at Mornington on June 12. She gets capable jockey Michael Dee to ride and should roll forward.
No9 SERAMASA will wear a nose-roll for the first time. Was caught wide when running sixth over 1400m in a maiden at Pakenham on June 13. He is from the top stable of Team Hayes and has the in-form Luke Currie to ride.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 SERAMASA
R5 – 3.00pm. City Of Ballarat Class 1 Handicap – 1200m.
No6 MR SINATRA bolted in his maiden over 1200m at Kilmore two starts ago on May 18. He then finished third over 1200m at Swan Hill carnival on June 9. He gets top jockey Brad Rawiller to ride for record-breaking trainer Darren Weir.
No7 VANITOSO ran away to a two-length win over 1200m in a maiden at Pakenham on June 12. Has finished inside the money at his two starts this campaign and has experienced jockey Andrew Mallyon to ride again here.
No11 MEOWIE WOWIE (BEST ROUGHIE) is a five-year-old mare who has finished in the money at her past four starts. Latest she ran a workmanlike third over 1600m at Terrang on April 24. She has a handy draw in eight and gets experienced rider Daniel Moor to steer.
No1 LESSYD faces a much milder field here than last start 11th when running down the straight 1000m at Flemington on June 10. Gets top jockey Dwayne Dunn as her new partner and would respect.
VALUE RUNNER: No11 MEOWIE MOWIE
R6 – 3.30pm. Hygain BM70 Handicap – 1200m.
No12 HE’S A MORAL showed he was primed for a first-up assault with a smart trial win over 700m on June 13. He has a food fresh record of a win at three starts and is from the all-powerful yard of Darren Weir.
No3 TANGO ROCK scored a fighting first-up win on a deteriorating track over 1100m at Ballarat on June 4. The field fanned wide that day and hails from the astute yard of Michael Kent. With Ethan Brown’s 1.5kg claim carries 58.5kg.
SCRATCHED No4 BELIEVING also is entered for Sandown on Wednesday. Has been ultra-consistent and this looks an easier option if he runs here. Was a last-start third over 1100m at Sandown on June 14 and gets the in-form Jye McNeil to ride.
No2 AURELIUS HERO is racing in good stead and can be an influence here on his last-start second over 1200m here on June 15. Apprentice Lucinda Doodt’s 3kg claim drops his weight to a comfortable 57kg and makes appeal.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 BELIEVING
R7 – 4.00pm. Sportsbet's New Racing Form BM64 Handicap – 1600m.
SCRATCHED No13 KEIGHRAN (NEXT BEST BET) comes from an in-form stable and she did break her maiden in style over 1200m in a maiden at Wodonga two starts ago on May 20. Last start she ran a good third over 1400m here on June 4. She jumps from barrier four and gets the experience of Luke Nolen. The extra 200m will suit her to the ground.
No8 SILVER STRATUM has been most honest without winning and is worth noting.
No2 ROSTI with the shades fitted for the first time can expect improvement.
No15 RIVER GODDESS is racing in top flight and makes good appeal here.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 ROSTI
R8 – 4.30pm. Hygain BM74 Handicap – 1400m.
No6 NOTIO (BEST BET) was racing second-up when finish a good second over 1400m at Sandown on June 14. Gets top jockey Dwayne Dunn to ride and hails from the yard of leading trainers Team Hawkes. He is lightly-raced having only four starts for a win and a second and has heaps of upside left in him. If he gets a nice run he will be hard to beat.
No10 SKILLED HUNTER has won and been placed twice at his three starts. Is fresh and watch.
No9 GREDINGTON didn’t fire first-up on the synthetic but back to the grass here. Respect.
No3 RIVER’S GIFT has the blinkers off and the tongue-tie goes on. Having his first start for Darren Weir.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 RIVER’S GIFT