Flemington (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips

Betting tips for every race at Flemington. Today’s best bet is in race 2.

Oddschecker
 | 
Fri, 7 Jul, 12:39 AM

 

The rail will be in the true position for the Series Finals meeting. Even though Melbourne has been peppered with showers throughout the week, the superb drainage systems at the Flemington track should ensure a track no worse than a Good 4.


                               

 

QUADDIES (races 6,7,8,9)

Skinny Play: 4,5,8 – 1,3,14 – 3,6,7 – 1,3,5

Wide Play: 4,5,7,8,9 – 1,3,6,8,10,14 – 1,3,4,6,7,8 – 1,3,4,5,6,7

 

BEST BET: R2 – 1. KILLARNEY KID

Next Best Bet: R6 – 4. CHARLEVOIX

Best Roughie: R3 – 3. VITAL IMPORTANCE

R1 – 11.45am. Rivette Series Final – 1600m.

No4 RUBY SEA  Progressive filly who will measure up to top company. Won at third start first-up Cranbourne 3YO fillies Maiden May 19 then stormed over the top of River Goddess impressively 1600m Sandown Hillside BM64 3YO Fillies Soft5 June 14. At her peak for this and looks the testing material.

 

No11 LADY LEE  She’s the weight horse of the race and meets Soho Ruby, Ruby Sea and River Goddess on better terms for recent clashes. Saddled slipped when fast-finishing 2.5-length third 55kg Soho Ruby (56kg) 1600m Sandown Lakeside May 27 then ridden closer with 60kg and boxed on for three-length fourth Ruby Sea (59kg) Sandown Hillside Soft5 June 14. Cherry-ripe for this.

 

No5 RIVER GODDESS  Two wins and two seconds from last five starts suggest she will be right in the finish again. Had 58.5kg when battling 2.25-length second Ruby Sea 1600m Sandown Hillside Soft5 3YO Fillies BM64 June 14 then brilliant three-length winner over Silver Stratum 1600m Ballarat BM64 Good4 June 29. Meets Ruby Sea only 0.5kg better but must be included in multiples.

 

No2 HUSSY’S GLOW Flew home to win 1300m Morphettville 3YO BM70 Good4 June 10 then got too far back and held up on turn when fast-finishing five-length fourth Spanish Reef 1600m Sandown Hillside Soft5 June 28. Better for that 1600m hit-out and will be getting to the line strongly here.  Should be handier from inside draw.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No11 LADY LEE

R2 – 12.20pm. VRC-CRV Cup Tour Trophy – 2000m.

No1 KILLARNEY KID (BEST BET) Has improved steadily in three runs this campaign and will peak for this. Checked at 250m and went to the line under a stranglehold when ninth Plein Ciel 1600m Sandown Lakeside Good3 May 27 then powered home final 150m when 1.35-length fifth Petrology 1600m Moonee Valley June 17. Rounded-off his preparation for a step to 2000m by winning a recent 2400m Hurdle Trial at Warrnambool. He’ll race more forward from barrier 2 and should return to the form that saw him complete a winning hat-trick last campaign.

 

No2 EXTRA ZERO Stormed home to win over this trip two runs back May 20 and will be finishing on well at the end of this. Grand old campaigner who always warrants respect.

 

No4 LORD DURANTE Improved by recent racing and put writing on the wall with a fighting third to Radipole 1800m Caulfield last Saturday. Chance on the back-up.

 

No8 HOT RUBY Close-up in two runs since winning a Fillies-and-Mares BM84 over this trip May 6 and rates among the main chances.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No4 LORD DURANTE

R3 – 12.55pm. Leilani Series Final – 1400m.

No3 VITAL IMPORTANCE (BEST ROUGHIE)  Has a touch of class and drops 2.5kg here. Close-up in two runs since winning 1200m Caulfield first-up May 13. Was doing best work late when 4.7-length eighth to Schism Mares BM90 over this trip with 58kg June 24. Will relish the step up to her pet distance here. She boasts three wins and four placings at 1600m from 12 attempts. Will be stretching them at the end of this.

 

No5 SCHISM Racing in great heart and looks the one to beat again. Led the boys to the final 50m when game three-length fourth Urban Ruler this trip June 10 then darted clear with 53kg at 200m to safely beat Tsaritsa Mares BM 90 June 24. Has had the ideal preparation and should take up a striking position from favourable barrier.

 

No8 JACQUI’S JOY Was getting to the line better than anything after being eased around heels at 250m when three-length fifth Schism over this trip June 24. Has won twice over 1400m and proven at the mile so she should be finishing over the top of them again. Meets Schism 1.5kg better here.

 

No1 TSARITSA Well-weighted compared to several rivals here. Couldn’t sprint under 60kg when courageous 1.3-length second Schism in similar event over this trip June 24. Meets Schism and Jacqui’s Joy 1.5kg better for last run and can turn the tables here.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No3 VITAL IMPORTANCE

R4 – 1.30pm. Taj Rossi Series Final – 1600m.

No1 ROYAL SYMPHONY Potential top-liner who has swamped his rivals in emphatic fashion at his two starts and looks even better suited over the extra 200m here. Sat back last to the turn before unleashing a paralyzing final 200m to beat Whoomph and Sully 1400m here on June 24. Really powered through the line and only needs reasonable luck in running to win again.

 

No2 EVIL CRY  Bred to run further and will appreciate the step up in distance here. Ran on doggedly for third Royal Phoenix 1100m here June 10 then took time to find his feet before railing through to hit lead at 200m when photo second Lone Eagle 1200m Caulfield last Saturday. Backing-up quickly with jump to 1600m but stable has an excellent record pulling off unorthodox strategies.

 

No9 ANCHOR BID Crying out for more ground and gets to a more suitable trip over the 1600m here. Slowly away and worked home well in straight when 3.75-length debut third Levendi 1200m 2YO Maiden Soft 6 Ballarat June 4 then blocked for a run 200m to 50m when 7.5-length seventh Royal Symphony 1400m here June 24. Could be the main danger to the favourite.

 

No6 WHOOMPH Chased Royal Symphony’s tail when 3.8-length second to that colt over 1400m here June 24. That was only his second run and he gives the impression he will be further improved over the longer journey here. Meets the favourite on 2.5kg better terms and has to be an excellent each-way chance.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No 2 EVIL CRY

R5 – 2.10pm. A.R. Creswick Series Final – 1200m.

No2 INVINCIBLE AL Tough little sprinter equipped with a devastating burst – especially suited to the Flemington “Straight”. Rocketed home with 54.5kg to beat Sacred Sham Flemington 1000m June 10 then came from last again with 54.5kg for photo second to Overstep 1100m here June 24. Meets Overstep 0.5kg worse here but will be further improved and looks the one to beat.

 

No12 MYSTIFIED Unplaced but not far away in four runs from spell since most impressive win from Amadeus and Strictly Legit 1100m Caulfield BM70 Sept. 1 2016. Clearly not suited to Moonee Valley last two starts when 1.95-length seventh Katsuro 1200m June 3 and 3-length sixth Revolving Door same trip June 17. Gives the impression she will be suited running down the Flemington straight and Dwayne Dunn goes back on for first time since winning at Caulfield.

 

No3 OVERSTEP Two wins from last three starts suggest she will be right in the finish again. Checked off heels at 500m when close-up fourth Invincible Al 1000m here June 10 then fought back doggedly with 54.5kg to pip Invincible Al 1100m here June 24. Won over the Flemington straight 1200m previous start but will need to find the best part of the track from inside draw.

 

No1 KEN’S DREAM  Better for recent racing and ready to put his best foot forward. Carried 58kg when 1.55-length fifth Katsuro 1200m Moonee Valley Good3 June 3 then chased hard without threatening with 59.5kg when 3.7-length fifth Overstep 1100m here June 24. Meets Invincible Al and Overstep on better weight terms and drawn to be in the best part of the track.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No12 MYSTIFIED

R6 – 2.50pm. Banjo Paterson Series Final – 2600m.

No4 CHARLEVOIX (NEXT BEST BET) Showed a massive improvement with blinkers on first time when with 54kg he powered away to beat Hursley and Bullish Stock easing down 2520m here June 24. Has always shown potential of a top-line stayer and is finally hitting his straps. Jumps up 4kg on last start but meets Hursley 2kg worse and Bullish Stock on same terms. The one to beat.

 

No8 BULLISH STOCK Was doing his best work at the finish when 2.3-length third Charlevoux and Hursley 2520m here June 24 at third run this campaign. Won over 1800m here previous run with 51kg BM90 grade. Fitter for recent racing and will run out the trip strongly.

 

No5 HURSLEY Always running on but doesn’t win out of turn with one win and five seconds from last nine starts. Meets Charlevoux and Bullish Stock 2kg better for splitting that pair over 2520m this track June 24. Oliver goes on in the hope that he will give the horse every chance of winning. Each-way all day.

 

No7 SHAKOPEE Beat Raindrops On Roses 2400m Sandown Hillside BM78 Soft5 third-up June 14 then over-raced first half of race when sound 3.6-length fourth Charlevoix 2520m here June 24. If he can settle, he could cause an upset.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No8 BULLISH STOCK

R7 – 3.30pm. VRC-CRV Winter Championship Series Final – 1600m.

No1 AMOVATIO  Getting back to a suitable track and distance and he will make a very bold bid here. Not suited by Heavy8 track when fifth Col’n’Lil 1600m Eagle Farm Group3 Cup May 27 then trailed field to the turn and hopelessly blocked in straight when 2.85-length 10th Petrology 1600m Moonee Valley June 17. Will appreciate the wider stretches of Flemington and gets his chance to bounce back.

 

No14 STRIKE FORCE Honest campaigner who had a tough run when close fourth Cannyescent 1400m Sandown Hillside BM84 Good3 May 27 then freshened when too strong for Scapa Cove 1617m Sale BM78 June 18. Will find this tougher but rarely runs a bad race and presents as the value runner here.

 

No3 TSHAHITSI  Beat Moss’n’Dale 1400m Echuca Cup Soft7 May 28 before easy 3.5-length win over Loyalty Man, Royal Rapture 1400m here June 10. Worked hard early to lead when fighting 1.2-length third Cannyescent 1400m June 24. In great form and looks one of the toughest to beat again despite wide draw.

 

No6 PETROLOGY Frustrating galloper who finally broke through for another win at fifth run from a spell when he motored home to beat Magic Consol and Data Point with 54kg 1600m Moonee Valley June 17. He will be running on again.

 

 

VALUE RUNNER: No1 AMOVATIO

R8 – 4.10pm. All Victorian Sprint Series Final – 1200m.

No7 ABILITY  Has won his two starts since being gelded and appears to have taken his game to another level. Sprinted over the top of Orujo 1000m Moonee Valley BM78 June 3 then raced tightly until finally getting out final 50m and nabbing Husson Eagle on the line to win 1100m here June 24. Meets the two placegetters from that race on same weight terms and should be even better suited with the extra 100m here. Rates highly.

 

No6 ROUGH JUSTICE Model of consistency with six placings from last eight starts and deserves a win. Raced handily and hit lead momentarily near 200m when 0.75-length second Lake Como 1000m here June 10 then shared the lead until final stages when length third to Ability, Husson Eagle 1100m here June 24. Very honest and will give a good sight again.

 

No3 HUSSON EAGLE Looked the winner momentarily when he speared through the pack to hit the lead final 50m but nabbed on the line by Ability 1100m here June 24. Mixes his form a little but has been prominent last three starts down the Flemington straight. Has to be respected again.

 

No8 CAMDUS Racing consistently and goes well this course. Stormed home wide-out to beat Chase The Horizon 1200m Moonee Valley BM84 Good3 June 3 with 58kg then ran home gamely for length second Lord da Vinci same trip Good4 with 52.5kg June 17. Include in multiples.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No6 ROUGH JUSTICE

ABILITY Flemington 07:10 - Winner

R9 – 4.45pm. Silver Bowl Series Final – 1600m.

SCRATCHED No3 MY PAISANN Progressive gelding who came from well back on turn and finished brilliantly to nab the smart Revolving Door third-up 1400m Caulfield last Saturday. Proved himself in Group One company in New Zealand last season and will relish the step up to 1600m on the roomy Flemington circuit. The one to beat.

 

No1 URBAN RULER Racing well with big weights and has to be one of the dangers again. Toyed with Nikitas 1400m BM78 this track June 10 then tailed-off and travelled deep on track when barnstorming length fourth over this trip on June 24. Meets What A Shock 0.5kg better for a ½-length and Atlantic Express 2kg better. Drawn wide again but more likely to go forward from the wide gate this time. Very classy.

 

No5 CANNOT BE SERIOS Has finished close-up at three runs this campaign and looks cherry-ripe for a big showing over the 1600m of this. Trapped deep throughout when close third Don’tbabylon 1300m Sandown Lakeside BM70 Soft5 June 7 then worked home stylishly for 1.8-length fourth My Paisann 1400m Caulfield Good4 last Saturday. Recent form is very encouraging and he should be running on strongly over this trip. Meets My Paisann 2kg better here.

 

No4 WHAT A SHOCK Smart type with three wins and five placings from 14 starts which suggests he will give a good account of himself again. Showed plenty of tenacity with 58kg in beating Kaptive Hero 1500m Ballarat 3YO BM70 Soft6 June 15 then hit the lead at 200m with 56.5kg and fought on doggedly for photo second over this trip June 24. Meets Urban Ruler and Jaminazah on slightly worse terms now.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No5 CANNOT BE SERIOS

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