Rosehill (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Rosehill. Today’s best bet is in race 6
Rosehill for our Saturday meeting in NSW we have nine races on the card with big full fields finally in Sydney. We have some rain about in Sydney this week and it should clear up leading into the weekend. It will keep us in the soft range, the rail is out 6m.
QUADDIES (races 6-7-8-9)
Skinny Play: 11 - 1,3 - 2,3,5,9 - 2,10,13
Wide Play: 8,10,11,12 - 1,3,7 - 2,3,5,6,7,9,11 - 2,4,10,12,13,
BEST BET: R6 – 11. SIR PLUSH
Next Best Bet: R1 – 2. CALCULATED
Best Roughie: R8 – 2. SIGNPOSTED
R1 – 11.30am. #THERACES Handicap - 1400m.
No2 CALCULATED (NEXT BEST BET) could well go on with it here after the first-up win where he got the job done in stylish fashion. The margin may not have been big, but it was the win of a very classy horse. Straight to 1400m now, he gets a perfect run on the map from gate 1. I’ll say it now, he is a Group 1 colt in the making.
No4 SIEGE OF QUEBEC got the job done in good order on debut and it does look to be an intriguing race against Calculated. I think Calculated comes out of a better race hence leaning to him.
No1 COLESBERG should relish the 1400m trip here first-up. He showed early on that he looks to be a Derby horse and this looks a kick off point.
No7 TENNESSEE TANGO broke the maiden in good fashion coming from the clouds last start. Up to 1400m is much more suitable here.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 COLESBERG
R2 – 12.05pm Book Spring Hospitality @ TheATC.com.au Handicap - 1350m.
No2 HETTY HEIGHTS did a good job fresh when finding the line quite well. She looks to have come back in good order this time in. She stays in the same grade of race here and with Clark on board from gate 8 she is going to get the final shot at them.
No4 INSENSATA drops back from the 1500m to 1350m here after winning last start and I think it will suit. She looked as if she had, had run out of puff late there when getting to 10/10 from Clark there. Has to take on the older mares now and has to carry 56.5 which will be tough, but she is in form.
No6 LABDIEN does the old stable switch after a good run last time and it’s a move which may well spark her into action, she just missed in a tight three way finish at Sandown and now comes to her home track in what isn’t the strongest of races and has to be given a chance.
No3 GIRL SUNDAY comes out of a good race last start and drops back to fillies and mares grade here. She looks to get the on speed favors, she will be wanting the track to dry out a touch though as she is at her best on firm going.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 LABDIEN
R3 – 12.40pm. TAB Highway Handicap - 1100m.
No1 BULALA on a drier track now suits and comes out of a good highway last start and I like how Morgan has given him three weeks between runs to get over the heavy track run. He may have also been a touch flat last start after winning with 61.5 fresh. McEvoy jumps on now and he finds a winnable race.
No2 COSMIC REIGN gets Bowman here and won quite well last start when winning at Muswellbrook. He has very good form on soft going and from the gate (12) Bowman will come across and attempt to dominate the race here and if he gets a soft time in front he is hard to run down.
No5 SURPRISE PARTY is the Dale runner here and resumes without a trial. The form out of the two wins in the first preparation and draws a good gate here for Clark. The betting is going to tell us how this horse is going, watch the market before betting here as “they” will know.
No8 IMITATION GAME has a good soft track record and has been going quite well in recent times. He was caught on the wrong part of the track there when run down last start in what was a good race at Wagga. Blinkers on are much more suitable here and he has his chance.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 COSMIC REIGN
R4 – 1.15pm. Pro Rata ATC Membership On Sale Handicap - 1800m.
No7 VAUCLUSE BAY gets a great run on the map here for Collett from barrier 1, and should not have to do any extra work here. I wouldn’t be shocked to see him push forward and sit just behind the leaders. He comes out of a good race last start and has his chance.
No4 THAAD won well at Flemington last start in really good style, he really powered over the top of them there. Getting out to 1800m now looks suitable now given the way he ran through the line at Flemington over the mile. From gate 4 he is going to be a touch closer in the run.
No8 WALK THE STREETS just missed in a driving finish last start and should run well again here. Avdulla did everything that he could to get over the line last start and just missed. Glyn on board now. I think that he will go back from the gate and come at them with one big run.
No10 QUEEN OF HEIGHTS didn’t have the best of luck last start and has trialled well between runs coming into this run. She comes out of the same run as Vaucluse Bay last start and drops 5.5kgs for that run and she is much better than her record suggests.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 VAULCLUSE BAY
R5 – 1.50pm. The Everest Is Coming Handicap - 1200m.
No9 FAITH’S ENCORE resumes here and has found a winnable race here and looks to get a perfect run on the map here from barrier 9 for McEvoy. The trial coming into this was quite good and last prep she wasn’t too far off Samantha and Glenall last start and that’s good enough for this.
No7 MANA ran right through the line last start when resuming at Canterbury, the way the track was playing that day didn’t suit. Collett is just going to need some luck upon straightening the second-up record is a touch of a concern.
No3 CLEAR THE BEACH has trialled well since the last-start failure and looks to be going well enough. I am willing to forgive that last-start failure and go off the first two runs of this preparation. From barrier 4 he should roll forward here and give them something to chase.
No2 PICK ME UP is going to be much better suited back to the 1200m here. He has been going quite well recently but has had to endure some brutal runs. From gate 5 he can settle just behind the leaders and be there in the finish.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 MANA
R6 –2.30pm. Winning Post Restaurant Handicap - 1200m.
No11 SIR PLUSH (BEST BET) well he did what Sir Plush does second-up, and that is lose. He was still really good there just missing behind Calanda and the form has already held up quite well. I like Collett back on this horse as he really seems to get along with him and he looks set to peak third-up.
No8 WASHINGTON HEIGHTS resumes here after a Hong Kong expedition where he finally showed how good he was winning two starts. He is yet to win in Australia, but has quite a good form card. The trial earlier this week was good and at his best he can win.
No10 REINCARNATE has a solid fresh record and has trialled well coming into this. From barrier 9 Tommy has a little bit of a task here and if he does get that luck in running he can be in the finish somewhere.
No12 SUSPENSE has quite a good record and comes into this off the back of two trials where he looks to have gone quite well. He gets in with no weight for Adkins and gets a good run form gate 4.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 WASHINGTON HEIGHTS
R7 – 3.10pm ATC Winter Stakes - 1400m.
No3 BURNING PASSION has his first start for M Newnham here and has been in slashing form this time in with two big wins in Brisbane at his last two. All he has to do is hold that form and run out the 1400m and he is going to be terribly hard to beat. He should be able to control the speed.
No1 GOLD SYMPHONY got the job done for us last start in good fashion with Bowman steering, he stays on board here but goes up to the 59kgs now. Up to 1400m from the 1350m is going to suit him even more so now. But gate 12 is a worry.
SCRATCHED No7 MARENOSTRO was solid enough when resuming and ran out of condition late there. He now comes back to 1400m which is much more suitable. He has a good second-up record and is adept in all types of going.
No12 SLIGHTLY SWEET is one of mine and although I have given up backing her to win, I have nothing against a place bet on her. She will go around at big odds and run on well here.
VALUE RUNNER: No12 SLIGHTLY SWEET
R8 – 3.50pm. Schweppes Handicap - 2000m.
No2 SIGNPOSTED (BEST ROUGHIE) was huge last start when he didn’t carry the proper bit, as the trainer and staff forgot it. That is a big deal and that he ran so well is a huge effort. Now with the claim he carries 58.5kgs and if he gets to the front he will be hard to run down.
No9 LIFE O BRIEN has been going brilliantly this time in winning his last two. He has done a tough job in both efforts there and gets a soft run again from barrier three and I can’t see no reason as to why he can’t keep that upward spiral.
SCRATCHED No5 ZOURKHAN gets Bowman here and does have to contend with the outside gate which is an issue, he has been in great form this time in winning fresh and just missing second-up. Waller now brings him home and puts Bowman on, all ticks.
No3 COLLATERAL doesn’t run out 2400m in my opinion. He beat skunks two starts ago and then didn’t run out the trip last week where people said he was given a poor ride. He didn’t run out the trip. Back to 2000m now here on the quick backup suits and he has his chance.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 SIGNPOSTED
R9 – 4.30pm. TAB.com.au Handicap - 1500m.
No2 RENEGED gets the blinkers back on here and he has been in great form this time in. he gets a softer gate here (3) and stays at the 1500m, the softer run in this race is much more suitable now and gives him his chance to win.
No13 IT’S SO OBVIOUS bolted in when resuming at Newcastle and dominated the race there. She should strip a lot fitter for that effort. She gets in with no weight whatsoever for King and only has to carry 51.5kgs now. This is a throw at the stumps but she looks up to it.
No10 TRENCHANT resumes here and has a shocking fresh record, but looks to have trialled well coming into this. The form from his early 3yo season is quite good. Most importantly he has been gelded since then and that could be the making of him.
No4 FLOW put in a big effort last start in the Sunny Coast Guineas and comes to this and takes on the older horses now which should suit him as he is well weighted given his rating and form against his own level. From gate 8 he goes forward and has his chance.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 TRENCHANT