Parramatta vs Brisbane (Friday) Betting Preview & Tips

The Eels will have their premiership credentials tested here when they host the Broncos.

Oddschecker
 | 
Wed, 26 Jul, 1:13 AM

 

The Eels will have their premiership credentials tested here when they host the Broncos.

 

Parramatta has quietly gone about their business in recent weeks and notched four straight wins for the first time this season. They have been dealt a big blow coming into this game though with Clint Gutherson ruled out for the remainder of the season with an ACL injury.

 

The Blue and Golds struggled to get the two points last week but managed to get over the line 17-16 against the Wests Tigers thanks to a Corey Norman field goal late in the game.

 

Brisbane too are enjoying a purple patch of form and are winners of four of their past five games including a thumping 42-12 effort over the Canterbury Bulldogs last Thursday week.

 

IN FORM

PARRAMATTA are in rare form heading into Round 21.

 

Brad Arthur’s side has managed four straight wins for the first time since 2010 and it’s been off the back of their defence that they’ve been able to get the job done.

 

Parramatta has conceded 10, 12, 6 and 16 during their fantastic run but overall their 352 points leaked throughout 2017 is still the second worst of any side currently in the top eight behind Manly.

 

HIGH POWERED ATTACK

BRISBANE’s attack this season has been very good and a big reason why they are sitting third on the table.

 

The Broncos have scored more points than any other team in the competition (419) and have averaged 32.4ppg in four of their past five games which have resulted in wins, with the only exception being where they were pumped by Melbourne in Round 17.

 

The Queenslanders are even more appealing here when you take into consideration they are conceding the fewest penalties and make the least amount of errors coming out of their half than any other side in the NRL.

 

THE HISTORY

Brisbane has won six of the past nine between the sides.

 

They have dominated the fixture in recent times by taking out the past three and will be looking for four straight over Parramatta for just the second time in club history. The only time it has occurred previously was between 1989 and 1992.

 

Brisbane’s five most recent wins over Parramatta have been by double digit margins so a Broncos 10+ Win returning $2.14 @ Will Hill definitely looks appealing off the back of the historical stats.

 

THE VERDICT

We are tipping the Broncos to win just their fourth game at ANZ Stadium in three years.

 

They don’t like playing at Homebush for some reason and the two times they have ventured to the ground this season have been thrillers. In Round 5 they dropped a 10-7 result to the Bulldogs while three weeks later they scraped home by a point over the Rabbitohs.

 

Parramatta have a great record at ANZ Stadium with six wins in their past seven attempts so things won’t be easy for the Broncos, however, the loss of Gutherson to the home side is a big one.

 

Factor in the return of Darius Boyd to the Broncos and it makes taking the shorts ($1.50 @ Betfair) even more appealing.

 

For value players we are looking at Semi Radradra in the 1st Tryscorer market while Anthony Milford to Score at Anytime ($2.63 @ Sportsbet) is a nice option considering he has crossed the line four times in the past three matches against Parramatta.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

BRISBANE


VALUE PLAY:

ANTHONY MILFORD TO SCORE AT ANY TIME

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