Rosehill for our Saturday meeting in NSW, brilliant weather around this week in Sydney and we will be on a good track. Rosehill has played brilliantly for the last few months and it’s good to see, the rail will be in the true position.
QUADDIES (races 6-7-8-9)
Skinny Play: 6,7 - 2,4,10 - 7,8 - 5,12
Wide Play: 2,6,7,13 - 1,2,4,6,10 - 2,7,8,9 - 3,4,5,9,10,11,12
BEST BET: R9 – 12. LONG TIME AGO
Next Best Bet: R1 – 4. D’ARGENTO
Best Roughie: R2 – 7. CADOGAN
No4 D’ARGENTO (NEXT BEST BET) won what looks to be a good race on debut coming from what looked to be a hopeless place at the 600m to get over the top of them. I like that Waller has brought him straight to a Saturday race and he comes to home and has the wide open spaces of his home track and Bowman on just adds to that confidence.
No8 ALL TOO SOON looks to be a nice horse on the way up, would have preferred to see her over further at this stage of the prep however.
No3 HOSTWIN MERAKI has won both starts quite well and now jumps up to Saturday grade now, he beat the older horses last start and should be respected.
No1 COLESBERG should be much fitter for the first-up run and out to 1500m should see him improve.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 HOSTWIN MERAKI
No7 CADOGAN (BEST ROUGHIE) is going to sit off them with a light a weight as he has carried this prep and will come at them with one run. If he doesn’t do it here, I am giving him life. He gets a bone dry track and good pace in front.
No6 AKASAKI has done a really good job this time in and looks to be low flying coming off a fast win at Warwick Farm last start. He has not found a strong race here and with no weight on his back he is going to give them something to catch.
No5 PARKER’S PIECE is a really interesting runner here having its first Australian start for K Lees and getting Bowman on board after two solid trials. I know not much about the NZ form, but he looks to have had a full preparation coming in and should be well acclimatized.
No8 ROCKAFELLA has had two solid trials coming into the fresh run here for the new stable. I like the two 1050m trials coming in as he should be fit enough coming into the fresh run here. The two wins in the first prep were more than good enough.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 CADOGAN
No3 COSMIC ENGINE was a touch disappointing last start on face value, but when looking at the sectionals he was given no chance by the way Arebitsam ran them along. He drops 3.5kgs for that and finds a much more suitable race here and can be forgiven.
No2 INSENSATA is low flying this time in and really finished over the top of them powerfully. She is well weighted here given her rating in a set weights plate here. From gate 6 she gets a good run on the map and will be finishing hard.
No7 REACH FOR HEAVEN is a weird one here, beaten last start by Awoke who loses Bowman and this gelding gains Bowman, not sure about the process given Awoke looked to have more improvement. The 4kg weight drop and gate 1 give him a good chance.
No6 THE PHAROAH was run down late by Awoke last start at Canterbury and comes out of a good race previously behind Memes where the form has held up quite well. He should take a sit behind Arbetisam here and if he can kick off the turn he will be in the finish.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 COSMIC ENGINE
No8 PRADA MISS comes out of good form races at the last few starts and has found a good highway to run in here. That she steps up 100m to the 1500m only enhances her chances. Bowman does have a bit to do from the gate, but she does have a turn of foot and can sit worse of midfield.
No2 APPOINT PERCY comes into this race after a good first-up run at Wagga where he held his position in on a super wet track. He should be improved fitness wise for that and from barrier 4 Avdulla is going to get a good run on the map and he is going to be giving it everything to get over the line in the premiership.
No3 FORCE OF MAGIC comes out of a good race behind Sir Barb last start and that form is somewhat franked with Sir Barb running well on Wednesday. He is a highway in the past which bodes well in a race such as this and the claim for Adkins is invaluable.
No10 MY TAGOSON hasn’t won in a while, but has been running quite well in some good races and with McEvoy on board he is going to get every chance to breakthrough here.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 FORCE OF MAGIC
No2 FAITH’S ENCORE was quite a good run first-up from a spell and was really well backed there and the way the race was run really didn’t suit her. She does have to carry a big weight here, but this is a weak race and the form out of the last start has held up well.
No4 SLUMBER PARTY comes out of some really good form races last preparation and has trialed in good order coming into this race here. She isn’t the biggest filly, but does have a lot of ability and will lead them up and give them something to catch.
No3 SUSPENDERS has come out of a good form race at both runs this time in, dropping back to fillies grade is sure to give her some help and from barrier 6 she should be able to stalk the leaders here and be hard to beat.
No5 SECOND STEP comes out of the same race last start at Warwick Farm behind Kings Of Leon as Suspenders. The win first-up was nothing more than a paid barrier trial. From gate 9 here, she should be able to come across and sit outside of Slumber Party and with the benefit of race fitness she will look to kick off the turn.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 SECOND STEP
No6 ZOURKHAN comes back to Sydney after two strong performances in good races in Melbourne. Bowman jumps on straight away and now that he has had that 2000m sighter he should be ready to go, my only concern is his form in Sydney which is average.
No7 MAGICAL STANCE has trialled well between runs coming into the run here, I like how he has had this trial before tackling the 2000m run. He is in very good form and got too far back last start and really found the line well there. The claim for Adkins helps.
No13 VAUCLUSE BAY won that race well last start and again steps up from the 1800m to the 2000m. He is going to get a really soft run on the map yet again and the step up to 2000m is much more suitable now too.
No2 ENCOSTA LINE won well last start at Flemington and has had a freshen up since that run. The win was quite strong and the form out of that race is solid and I am trusting Waller if he is bringing him back form Melbourne to run here.
VALUE RUNNER: No13 VALCLUSE BAY
No2 SNIPPETS LAND should have finished much closer last start in the Winter Stakes. If not should have won the race. He didn’t get clear galloping room from the 250m where he was building momentum and went to the line hard held. Out to 1500m and a good gate give him his chance.
No4 CLASSIC UNIFORM should be much fitter for the run here, he rushed forward last start and fitness gave out on him late there. He is now third-up from a spell and now out to a distance which should suit him more and with said fitness he will be hard to beat.
No10 LIAPARI drops 4kgs off the last start win at Warwick Farm, he was a scratching last week at Randwick and I like him at Rosehill here as he gets an even surface to run on. He has a good record at the track and the distance and has his chance.
No6 ELLE LOU finished off well last start and will get the same style of run here from gate 9. She has been going well enough without winning as of late and gets a run to suit here and should be finishing off well late.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 SNIPPETS LAND
SCRATCHED No7 PICK ME UP has been in great form this time in and has been so consistent coming into this race. I like him much more around this 1200m – 1350m distance range as he is able to tough it each run and looks to get the same type of run again and be hard to beat.
No8 HETTY HEIGHTS gets a race run to suit here and she shouldn’t settle as close as she did last start. She is more suited when she is able to be held up and come at them with one run. Form gate 10 Clark can go back and have that clear run from the 600m and try to run over the top of them.
No9 MOST EXALTED won really well at the first start for Mack Griffith carrying a big weight and finishing right over the top of them there in a race which has already held up form wise. He gets in here with only 54kgs after the claim and he should be able to finish hard here.
No2 MOGADOR just hasn’t lived up to that early potential and probably never will. He is looking as if he does want more distance and I like it that James is stepping him up now after that Ramornie run where he finished off in really fast time. From gate 1 Brown can hold him up and pinch runs when needed.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 MOST EXALTED
No12 LONG TIME AGO (BEST BET) should be much fitter third-up from a spell and getting out to 1500m here. She got taken on in front last start and was left a sitting shot late / a betting drift told there. She drops 4kgs for the run last start and now she looks to get an easier time of it in front here. Off her breeding anything up to 2000m shouldn’t be an issue.
No5 PHILOSOPHY is one of mine, but she was a touch poor second-up from a spell and could have been flat after the brilliant run fresh. Out to 1500m now suits and she should be ready to go.
SCRATCHED No9 LITTLE MISS BROWN finished off well last start in a race which wasn’t run to suit her at all. Given the way she found the line there. 1500m shouldn’t be an issue.
No10 QUEEN MISTY is going quite well this time in and comes back to mares grade here after a really good run last start, gate a little sticky but she should get across if Clark is aggressive early.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 LITTLE MISS BROWN