The first meeting of the new racing season comes to us from Warwick Farm this Wednesday, we have seven races on the card here with some intriguing contests early on. Alizee resumes here and she looks a filly who could go onto big things. There is some rain around this week and we will be on soft going. The rail is at 5 metres from 1000m to winning post + 3M remainder.
QUADDIES (races 4-5-6-7)
Skinny Play: 4,8 - 2,5,10 - 3 - 9,12
Wide Play: 1,4,8,12 - 2,3,5,10 - 3,5,7 - 1,2,9,12
BEST BET: R2 – 1. ALIZEE
Next Best Bet: R6 – 3. THAAD
Best Roughie: R1 – 2. CUBA
No5 KEY TO GLORY has trialled well leading to the debut run and looks set up for a win here. He is very well bred and off the trials he looks to be very smart.
No4 I’M A LEGEND has trialled in good order coming into the debut run here, the first trial over 740m was pleasing but the effort over the 1050m last week was very good and coming into this I want to be on his side.
No2 CUBA (BEST ROUGHIE) has trialled well coming into the fresh run here. He had good form in the first preparation around Veranillo and Trazpeze Artist, that should hold up well here.
No1 AL MAH HAHA was solid enough on debut in what looks to be a nice race, that form should hold up well enough here.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 CUBA
No1 ALIZEE (BEST BET) is back and should kick off her preparation with a win here, we all know what happened on debut when she was slaughtered. Then she took on some nice races and had probably had enough by the time she ran in the Kindergarten. The trials have been good and she should be winning here.
No2 SWEET DEAL is a very nice horse and would be unbeatable in almost any other maiden she runs in, her trials have been quite good.
No4 ACQUME was a really well backed fav on debut at Canberra, the form out of that race is quite good and she has come back well.
No8 SONGLIKE nice horse who bumped into a good one fresh and now finds a good maiden here.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 ACQUME
No5 WILCANNIA has trialled well coming into the fresh run here. She brings quite good form to this, she was run down by Egg Tart two starts back and comes out of a hot from race at Newcastle at the previous run.
No10 LUIZA pulled up with an issue last start and has had to trial since. The trial was pleasing and she is a nice horse.
No4 REWARD FOR FASHION got the job done in good style last start. She gets a good claim for Innes who is riding well and will be thereabouts again.
No2 SINGLE AND FREE comes out of a fast run race first-up. She should be improved for that and A Davies has to be respected.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 LUIZA
No4 BASTIA has been going quite well as of late and should appreciate the step to 2200m here and a bigger track. He has been in good form and is hard to beat.
No8 QUEEN OF HEIGHTS hasn’t really lived up to the thoughts and expectations many had of her. This is a drop in grade and the form around her is good enough.
SCRATCHED No12 VARUSKA won well when breaking the maiden at Hawkesbury. Out to 2200m now is suitable and I am respecting the placement.
No1 EL NOVIO is El Novio, what else can you say. He will run a good race, but probably won’t win.
VALUE RUNNER: No12 VARUSKA
No5 JONNY GE comes out of a solid race over the Grafton Carnival last start and ran well here, this looks to be a touch weaker than that and he looks hard to beat.
No10 TRUST ME found the line well last start in a similar sort of a race and if he runs up to that again he looks hard to beat.
No2 BRIGHT FUTURE won well at Wyong last start and now comes to what is a weak race. He has come back in the best form of his career and has a chance.
No3 BRING A SECRET smashed them when carrying 62kgs at Canberra, he had been in good form previous to that without winning and is a chance again.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 BRING A SECRET
No3 THAAD (NEXT BEST BET) comes out of a much better race than this last start where the form has already held up quite well. He just got too far back and really couldn’t work into the race that was dominated by the on speed horses. This race is weaker and if he can be closer in the run he should be fighting out the finish.
No5 ESTIKHRAAJ was really well backed last start and drops back in distance which should suit. He needs a lot of things to go his way.
No7 METALLIC CROWN gets wet going to suit here and it’s all up to whether or not he wants to win.
No11 SIR BARB on wet going up to a mile is suitable here and on the home ground should run well again.
VALUE RUNNER: No11 SIR BARB
No9 FORTENSKY just missed two weeks ago, he draws a soft gate and gets a good run on the map and has a chance here.
No12 TIVOLI STREET may well have turned the corner after the barnstorming win last start. Now that he has broken through he could go on with it.
No2 SONIC SWISH has a good second-up record and finds a race run to suit here. Not worried by the gate as it’s a long run to the turn.
No1 ABOHAR won well last start in Saturday grade at Doomben, this is a step down from that and that form should hold up well.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 SONIC SWISH