Canterbury vs Parramatta (Thursday) Betting Preview & Tips

Parra’s finals charge continues with a match-up against their bitter rivals.

Oddschecker
 | 
Wed, 2 Aug, 1:27 AM

 

Parra’s finals charge continues with a match-up against their bitter rivals.

 

The Eels are looking good for their first finals berth in eight years after going on a five-game winning streak at just the right time of the season. Sitting comfortably in the top eight at this stage they even represent tremendous value at $3.50 (Betfair) to make top four.

 

Their latest victims were the Brisbane Broncos last Friday night. Trailing early, Parra hit back hard to eventually run out convincing 28-14 winners.

 

Canterbury, on the other hand, could only dream of finding such rare form with the side now out of finals contention following an eight-point defeat to Penrith last Thursday.

 

NO FLUKE

PARRAMATTA’s recent resurgence is definitely no fluke.

 

Last week’s big win against Brisbane confirmed Brad Arthur’s side as genuine premiership contenders. Riding a five-game winning streak, it is the first time the Eels have notched such a feat since 2009 – the year Jarryd Hayne went berserk and carried the team all the way to the Grand Final!

 

The stats don’t lie and Parramatta was the better side for the 80 minutes. They outran the Broncos, had nine linebreaks to four and completed their sets at a whopping 85 percent.

 

It is also no coincidence that since Mitchell Moses’ arrival, the combination between he and Corey Norman continues to get better each and every week.

 

NO IMAGINATION

CANTERBURY’s biggest problem has been a lack of creativity when in attacking positions.

 

Last week’s game against Penrith is a perfect example of this where they had almost as many tackles inside Penrith’s 20 metre zone as what the Panthers had in theirs, however, they could only muster eight points from it.

 

Their attack has misfired the entire season with the side scoring 20 points or more on just five times in 2017. Their average of 13.8 points per game is clearly the lowest in the league with the Wests Tigers, who rank 15th for points scored, having accumulated 49 more points than the boys from Belmore.

 

Whatever Des Hasler has done to his side it has clearly been a mistake because last year’s Bulldogs were scoring a tick over 21 points on average throughout the season.

 

THE HISTORY

PARRAMATTA has notched three straight wins against the Bulldogs for the first time in seven years.

 

Prior to that it was almost as if Canterbury were guaranteed the two points each time they played with the Belmore outfit notching nine wins from 10 matches between the sides.

 

When they played just a matter of weeks ago it was the Eels who prevailed in Golden Point after the Bulldogs had clawed back a second-half deficit.

 

Semi Radradra doesn’t mind coming up against the old enemy either with the Eels flyer crossing for three tries in his past three games against the Bulldogs, which includes a double from early last season. Luxbet has Radradra @ $7.20 to be 1st Tryscorer in this Thursday’s match.

 

THE VERDICT

Everything tells us to back Parramatta in this one.

 

The team at Palmerbet has them @ $1.44 which is probably right considering the form of both sides, however, you can never underestimate the impact that a derby has on these teams.

 

Canterbury will lift you can be sure of that and you only have to go back to their Round 17 match to see that. These sides don’t like each other so we can’t see a huge scoreline being racked up.

 

In their past four clashes the total points hasn’t exceeded 32 so Under 35.5 ($1.82 @ bet365) is definitely appealing for those who like to play the totals.

 

Honestly, it’s Parramatta’s game to lose whereas the Bulldogs don’t have anything left to play for other than pride. From what they have dished up in recent weeks we just cannot see them lifting significantly enough to beat the Eels.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

PARRAMATTA


VALUE PLAY:

SEMI RADRADRA FIRST TRYSCORER

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