Randwick (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Randwick. Today’s best bet is in race 7
Randwick for Missile stakes day, there is a touch of spring in the air, reputations are to be staked. Some will soar, some will perish at the start of August, the return of the wonder mare isn’t too far away. Time to get excited. We are on a true rail here and we should be on soft going.
QUADDIES (races 6-7-8-9)
Skinny Play: 1,2,8 - 1 - 3,10 - 6,9,10,14
Wide Play: 1,2,8 - 1,7,8 - 2,3,10,13 - 3,4,6,9,10,12,14
BEST BET: R7 – 1. LE ROMAIN
Next Best Bet: R1 – 4. ADDICTIVE NATUREBest Roughie: R9 – 9. BOLERO KING
R1 – 11.50am. www.walking2help.com.au Sprint - 1200m.
No4 ADDICTIVE NATURE (NEXT BEST BET) looks to be a nice horse in the making given his debut win at Warwick Farm when he sat on a hot speed and ran away from them late. He was really well backed in early markets. Being by Savabeel getting out over further is only going to suit him. A drying track not going to be an issue for him either, Clark just needs to get away from the fence early on.
No2 BRAVE SONG smashed them at his second start after coming out of a good race on debut behind Calculated. To his home track for the first time, he should improve again.
SCRATCHED No7 FUNOON got too far back first-up from a spell and it cost her a win. Second-up at home she should improve again and run well.
No6 SOLAR PATCH smashed them upon resumption, the gelding has done the trick and he looks to have come back a nice horse.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 FUNOON
R2 – 12.30pm. #THERACES Handicap - 1800m.
No4 LONG TIME AGO backs up quickly and gets a big jockey change here, Heywood was a late change last week with McEvoy out sick and she didn’t get the best ride. Backing up quickly to the 1800m with Parr on board who is riding stayers well at the moment, gives her a chance.
No3 DIAPASON comes to Sydney for the first time and finds a race to suit here. She is really well bred and getting out further in distance is only going to improve her in time. From gate 7, she will go back and come at them late.
No5 LA CHICA BELLA got the job done well for us in easy fashion last start, the step up to 1800m now is an intriguing one. As she got it all her own way last start over the 1600m in a small field and ran them ragged. More pressure on the map for her here.
No6 LABDIEN backs up quickly as well and comes out of the same race as Long Time Ago last weekend and she found the line ok enough there. From gate 2, Collett should be much more positive early here and put her into a good spot. If he can do that she is in the finish.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 LABDIEN
R3 – 1.05pm. Cindy Sullivan Memorial Handicap - 1400m.
No3 FRANCESCO has been going well enough as of late and has improved with each run this time in. He hasn’t won for a while, but he seems to have struck some solid form around good enough horses. This isn’t the strongest of races and he gets a gun run on the map.
No5 KING DARCI has been working towards a win this time in and gets a good jockey change here. Nothing against CVDW but she isn’t a Saturday jockey and Hyeronimus who is flying at the moment jumps aboard and he has a great record over the 1300m-1400m range.
No8 IMPERATOR AUGUSTUS smashed them last start at Canterbury, but did have the bias in his favor. This does look a logical next step however. From gate 1 and back in distance, Parr should sit behind them and get rolling from the 600m and use the race fitness he has.
No10 DORF STAR gets onto drying ground here which should suit him, given that all of his wins have come on dry going. He has been working towards a win and gets a soft run of it behind them.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 FRANCESCO
R4 – 1.40pm. TAB Highway Supports Jockeys Trust - 1400m.
No2 CARE TO THINK is also in at Brisbane, but I hope he runs here given that he looks close to a good thing here. I won’t best bet him, just because he may run in Brisbane. He smashed them last start and did quite a good job there. Gate 14 not an issue here as he will get back and come at them with one run. If he gets clear running, he wins.
SCRATCHED No3 SUPER STAR BOB should be much fitter for the run first-up from a spell in what is a solid race that will hold up form wise. He now drops back to a highway run here and should be so much fitter for that. He is a winner of a highway in the past and it looks to be Dale v Dunn again.
No4 GITAN has had a solid trial between runs and comes out of a good run last start behind Awoke, this is a big drop back in grade and he is a winner over some nice horses in the past. Not sure when Dubios moved to Goulburn? But any horse he has should be respected.
No8 MAKFI LASS won in good fashion last start at Scone. Winning a class 3 as a class 1 horse is something that needs to be respected and she gets into this race with no weight for King who is riding winners all over the place at the minute and she gets a soft run on the map.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 MAKFI LASS
R5 – 2.15pm. John & Denise Cobcroft Recognition Handicap - 2400m.
No8 LIFE O BRIEN backs up quickly here and the 2400m should suit here. He has found his form this time in and has shown a zest for racing that you would have wanted to have seen from his breeding. The 2400m won’t be an issue and he has his chance.
No7 GLOBAL GENTL is owned in the same interests as Our Ivanhowe and Exosphereic and is up to his right distance range here. The win at Sandown was quite good, I am usually loath at tipping Melbourne horses in Sydney, but this is quite a weak staying race and he looks a progressive type.
No3 SAYED won well over the 2400m last start getting right over the top of them. The trial between runs was quite good and staying at the 2400m is no issue at all. McEvoy for Bowman is no loss and he needs to be respected.
No2 GET ON THE GRANGE has been in quite good form as of late and just missed last start in the Grafton cup, that was a much better race than this and I hope the connections chose to run here rather than Brisbane as he is well weighted after the claim.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 GLOBAL GENTL
R6 –2.50pm. Jockey Celebration Day Handicap - 1600m.
No2 INVINCIBLE KNIGHT looked to blow out late last start when three weeks between runs and up to 1500m on a wet track. Pelethronius has been low flying this time in and they gapped the rest there. Down 1kg for that run and on the map he gets a good run on the map here and looks hard to beat.
No1 SO WILLIE back to 1600m here and down in grade looks much more suitable than the last start. The run previous to that behind Liapari was quite good and should hold up well here, as does the Supply And Demand form.
No8 ADMIRAL JELLO should be much more improved second-up from a spell and up in trip here. He may well want further than this, but the way he ran first up showed that he has come back quite well.
No11 STEYNE was slightly disappointing last start when caught on speed in a brutally run race. There is a smart claim here for Adkins that gets him well away from the top weights to 51.5kgs. He is a horse who was in brilliant form prior to that.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 SO WILLIE
R7 – 3.30pm. Missile Stakes - 1200m.
No1 LE ROMAIN (BEST BET) is the best horse in this race and should be too strong for this field. Look at his form last time in besides the Doncaster when on the wrong part of the track and his form is undeniable. Wins over 1200m/1300m at his first two runs last time in against better opposition than this. The trials are good and he should be too good.
No7 TYCOON TARA is back off a freshen up here and was last seen winning the Tatts Tiara in QLD. She loves Randwick and was a good winner of this race last year.
No8 INVINCIBLE GEM went from getting rolled on a Friday night at Canterbury to a G1 placegetter last time in. her trials have been good and she went for a break early (March), so she should be well rested and ready to go.
No9 MEMES is way out of her grade, but brings race fitness to this. She is 3/3 at Randwick and could skip away on the turn here and give them a bunny to chase.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 MEMES
R8 – 4.10pm. TAB.com.au Handicap - 1000m.
No10 LAUNCH CODE found his form last start and killed them, that may well have been the soft kill that he needed to get his mind back on the job here. He draws a soft gate yet again to get that run just off the speed here and Glyn just needs to find some space upon straightening and he will be hard to beat.
No3 TANGO RAIN resumes here from a year off and is quite a smart horse. Look through his form last time in he was touched off by Star Turn and wasn’t too far off Guard Of Honour. That is more than good enough for this. The trials coming in have been brilliant and from gate 12 he will jump and run.
No2 SANGIOVESE gets a good run behind the speed here and has been going quite well as of late. The form around Memes is quite good. Collett is in great form at the moment and will give her every chance.
No13 CUDABEEN was left a sitting shot last start and got run down right on the line there. She stays at the 1000m here which suits. And with no weight on her back from barrier 9, she is going to look a winner at some stage in the straight.
VALUE RUNNER: No13 CUDABEEN
R9 – 4.50pm. Schweppes Handicap - 1200m.
No9 BOLERO KING (BEST ROUGHIE) wasn’t winning last start when he had to have his shoes changed behind the barriers. He was backed into 2.6 and then out to 3.5 late on that day when the issue happened. I am going to forgive that and go off previous runs and if he runs up to that he will be in the finish.
No6 MANA got the job done well last start as he well should have when down in grade. The form around Pick Me Up is quite good for this. From barrier 6 Collett can just settle behind the speed here and with even luck he is going to be in the finish.
No10 SPENDING TO WIN gets a 3kg swing on Argent D’or for the last start defeat. Bowman rode him too cute there and it cost him the victory as he only got going late there. From the gate Innes will have to get to work early on him and if he does that he looks hard to beat.
No14 ARGENT D’OR was a good winner of that same race last start and is in good form currently. McEvoy on is no disadvantage, but he meets Spending To Win 3kgs worse off. He is going to get a better run on the map here with the bigger field and has his chance.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 BOLERO KING