Rosehill for a Saturday here, nine races on the card and it is the first smell of spring with the Rosebud and some of the better horses are coming back. It’s time to get excited. We are on a 3m rail the circumference and we will be on a good track.
QUADDIES (races 6-7-8-9)
Skinny Play: 2,3 - 3,7 - 4,5,8 - 4,8,12
Wide Play: 1,2,3 - 3,4,7 - 1,2,4,5,6,8 - 4,8,10,12
BEST BET: R1 – 1. LIFESAVER
Next Best Bet: R7 – 3. SARRASIN
Best Roughie: R6 – 1. DIAMOND TATHAGATA
No1 LIFESAVER (BEST BET) has trialled in good order coming into the fresh run here and has been gelded coming into this prep. His first prep he won two races in brilliant fashion and had a lot of scope for improvement. From gate (3) here he can take up the speed and if he gets a few quiet sectionals he will look the winner.
No8 SUPER TONIC has won both starts in impressive order, from gate (5) he will be able to sit off them and close late.
No10 ANOTHER SIN is an interesting runner here being on debut in a Class 2 Highway. The trial was very fast and a market watch is needed.
No6 NEVER SO SIRIUS has won both starts in impressive fashion this time in and should be respected being from the Dunn stable.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 ANOTHER SIN
No1 VAUCLUSE BAY has to be tipped on top here given the way that he won last start when belting them by four lengths. He does go up 6.5kgs for that win, but this race is no stronger than that. Tricky contest, but he has to be on top.
No2 ZOURKHAN gets a 4kgs swing on VB for the last start defeat and never got into the race there. He has now had that run over 2000m which should hold him in good stead coming into this.
No4 MULTIFACETS brings the other form to this race and comes out of another 2000m race here. He found the line quite well there and now gets a good jockey change with Berry going on board. He has a good record at the track and distance.
SCRATCHED No7 THE THUG comes out of some midweek Melbourne form around Yogi, who was a big winner last Saturday at Flemington. This is not a good race at all and a big showing wouldn’t surprise here.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 THE THUG
No1 CLASSIC UNIFORM looks to be 100% fit now and up to an appropriate distance looks set to peak fourth up from a spell. He has had the two grounding runs in the Winter Challenge & Stakes and only got nailed on the line last start. Good claim for Adkins gets him in and good luck getting past him.
No6 SULTAN OF SWING should be much fitter second time from a freshen up here. He just knocked up late last start and the step up to 1800 is much more suitable. He gets a good jockey change, with Clark getting on from gate (5). He should sit behind the speed and be hard to beat.
No7 ARBEITSAM really steps up in grade here and has been in brilliant form this time in, getting beaten by Valcluse Bay two starts back which doesn’t look too bad now. He dominated the race last start, but there looks to be a touch more speed here. He drops 6.5kgs which will keep him in the race a long long way.
No3 LOYALTY MAN found the line well last start and was just touched off by Sound Proposition who looks to be a good horse in the making. He stays at the 1800m here which suits and he gets the visors on, which will allow him to see who is next to him in the run and will let him knuckle down when challenged.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 SULTAN OF SWING
No4 BADAJOZ comes out of a better race than this last start when running fifth in the Ramornie. He had come off a booming win prior at the Sunshine Coast and has been well placed by James here. With some question marks over Sir Plush wanting to win, he has to go on top.
No3 DENMAGIC resumes here and comes off an average prep when she went around last time in. Her fresh run over 1000m was booming and she never really went on with it. The trials coming in have been good, but she hasn’t won for a long long time which is the worry.
No8 DENPURR has a brilliant fresh record and was scratched last week for this. She gets in with no weight and gets a good claim for Innes down to 52kg. she is going to get a super soft run on the map and looks hard to beat here.
No7 SIR PLUSH well he is Sir Plush and has loomed up at the last two and has been run down late. Is he a cat or has he had legit excuses / beaten by nice horses. Form around him has held up really well and the trial between runs was quite good coming in.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 DENMAGIC
No4 PEACOCK has trialled well coming into the fresh run here and looks to be well placed coming into a race such as this. I don’t think he really came up last time in and we need to go off his previous form. He has been gelded coming into this which could be the making of this horse and he looks hard to beat.
No7 THE PHAROAH looks set to peak here fourth-up at his home track coming out of some hot form races. He has chased hard at the last two runs and stays at the 7 furlongs which should suit. From gate (1) he gets a perfect run here.
SCRATCHED No1 ROARING TO WIN has been trialling well coming into this fresh run here and comes out of some good races last time in and should build on his good fresh record. He has had five starts for the two wins and two placings. Gate (11) with 60kgs is a touch sticky however.
No5 NO INTEREST smashed them last start at Canterbury and looks set to take the next step here. She gets in with only 53.5kgs for King who seems to get along with this mare quite well. Coyle is low flying at the moment and all horses need to be respected.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 NO INTEREST
No3 TREKKING has had the one 740m trial coming into the fresh run, which is something I usually dislike. But the way he trialled I have to be with him. He had issues coming into the slipper last prep and its why he was only second-up into it/didn’t handle the wet track. He is a good horse.
No2 MENARI is another one who had issues coming into the slipper and had a really messed around prep. He was actually third over the line there before getting demoted on protest. He has trialled brilliantly coming in and has to be respected.
No1 DIAMOND TATHAGATA (BEST ROUGHIE) has been trialling the house down coming into this and was brilliant when beating Winx coming in, his late splits were 34.3 / 22.1 / 11.12 (Vince Accardi data) over that 900 trial. He is low flying coming to this and we are getting a big price about a seriously talented horse.
No4 SIEGE OF QUEBEC has done nothing wrong coming into this, but it is the drop back in trip which has me slightly concerned. If he wins this it shows that he does have legit group ability. But he does get a very good weight differential on some rivals.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 DIAMOND TATHAGATA
No3 SARRASIN (NEXT BEST) resumes for the first time since his awesome Villiers run behind Sense Of Occasion (G1 Winner!) and has changed stables to Waller since. The trials coming into this have been quite good and I have been waiting for him to reappear. He is probably going to be aimed at some of the better races and may not be screwed down, but he could well be a cut above these.
No7 WASHINGTON HEIGHTS returned with a big win last month and the trial since was good, this is a step up.
No4 TOM MELBOURNE how is this horse 4.4 (Thursday) in a 1400m race, in his last 11 runs he has started over $10 once (Australian Cup) without winning. He is trialling well. But you want to see him do it before backing him, especially over 1400.
No8 ETYMOLOGY resumes from a long break and has been gelded. The trials have been good and he will warm up late.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 SARRASIN
No8 SLUMBER PARTY should be much fitter for the fresh run and now stepping up to 1400, she gets the blinkers off here too which should help her settle within herself. Avdulla will go straight to the front again and with some easy sectionals good luck catching her.
SCRATCHED No5 SWAMPLAND has won well at her last two and took the step up in grade to Saturday level last start with consummate ease. This does look to be a touch harder than that. But she is a mare in form and I want to be with her going forward.
No4 GRETNA has trialled well coming into the fresh run here. She has won first-up in the past and looks well set up to run well here. She looks to have come back much better this time in as evidenced by the nine-length trial win. If she brings that to this run, she should run well.
No1 HETTY HEIGHTS gets a super soft run on the map here from barrier (1), the claim for Adkins gets her in on a manageable weight. She closed off well last start to just miss and now back to mares’ grade she should run well again.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 SWAMPLAND
No4 SPECIAL MISSILE has been low flying this time in winning the last three on end with a hint of arrogance, I love the way that he has gone through the grades and the time is right to bring him to Saturday company.
No8 IMANUI got way too far back in the race won by SM last start and gets a good weight turnaround here after the claim for Adkins. He hasn’t put a field away for a long while, but gets a super soft gate (2) here and should be in the finish.
No12 TAHSIN was solid enough first up from a spell and drops 4.5kgs for that run, I do love the step to 1500 second up as he is a horse who does need the distance. Once puts it all together he will make it as a nice horse.
No10 EXITOZO closed off well fresh behind Mana, and we have already seen that form stack up. The claim for King down to 55kgs is a help here, but from out in gate (12) I am not too sure where he will get in the run.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 EXITOZO