Rosehill (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Rosehill. Today’s best bet is in race 1
Rosehill Gardens for Sam Domenico stakes day. We have a nine race son the card and it is a very good meeting, it will be hard to top what the great mare did last week. With the rail out 6m I expect the track to suit on pace horses, and with great weather in the lead up we will be on a good track and they should be running some time.
QUADDIES (races 6-7-8-9)
Skinny Play: 2,5 - 1 - 2,5 - 1
Wide Play: 2,5,9 - 1,4,5,10 - 1,2,4,5 - 1,3,10,11
BEST BET: R1 – 3. LIFESAVER
Next Best Bet: R7 – 1. PARIAH
Best Roughie: R8 – 5. COOLCRAFT
R1 – 12:05pm TAB Highway Handicap - 1100m.
No 3 LIFESAVER (BEST BET) was just touched off fresh when our best bet that day also. He carried 59kgs and gave 6kgs away to the winner there and race fitness was against him late. Second-up here down 2.5kgs for that run, he stays at the 1100m and he will be able to dominate this race.
No 7 MOSSMAN GORGE resumed a winner at Kembla in an ok enough race. The gelding seems to have done the trick.
No 9 MY MAGGIE has trialled up well coming into the fresh run and is a good shortcourser.
No 1 NIC’S VANDETTA is a solid enough horse, but has trouble winning, back to 1100m a minor concern
VALUE RUNNER: No 9 MY MAGGIE
R2 – 12:45pm Pro It Handicap - 1500m.
SCRATCHED No 3 GRETNA blew out in fitness late first-up in a race where the swoopers were able to get over the top of them. She looks the leader again here from the gate, up to 1500m isn’t an issue and she is going to give them something to catch turning.
No 1 AWOKE did look to be a good thing on Wednesday, yet turns up here with 61kgs. It is an interesting decision, but she must be going well, to come here. I will follow the confidence and the money, as I like the booking of Bowman here and she should be in the finish.
No 2 CHATACHUCK gets a good run just in behind them here, she had that confidence boosting kill last start at Kembla in what was a fast run race. Avdulla should sit juts behind the leaders and look to pounce in the straight.
No 5 PRADA MISS has been very good at the last two, dominating a highway two back then stepping up to city class and just missing, she meets the winner of that race much better at the weights here and looks to get a softer run on the map.
VALUE RUNNER: No 5 PRADA MISS
R3 – 1:20pm ASX Thomson Reuters Charity Foundation Handicap - 1100m.
No 11 MARSUPIAL resumes here and takes on the older horses at his first start as a 3yo. After his debut win he was spruiked as a Blue Diamond horse, and things never panned out in Melbourne. The two trials coming in have been brilliant and he can beat this lot.
No 3 TANGO RAIN was solid enough first-up from the long break. He was just run down late there in a race which wasn’t run to suit. The step to 1100m on a fast deck second-up is a lot more suitable here. He looks the leader and will give them something to chase.
No 2 IMPROVEMENT resumes off a solid trial coming in, she took all before her last preparation starting with a maiden win, before getting to Black type level. She gets a good claim for Panya here, who only knows one way to ride and that is to go as fast as you can and hope you hold on.
No 5 PUMPKIN PIE is another resumer here off a solid break. She was one of the favs in the country championships last time in, and ran fourth to Foxplay in the Phar Lap. That is pretty good form for a benchmark race over 1100m. But D Williams hasn’t been firing as of late.
VALUE RUNNER: No 5 PUMPKIN PIE
R4 – 1:55pm Pacific Boating Handicap - 2000m.
No 4 ALWARD spanked them at Flemington last start and now comes up to Sydney and finds Bowman here. He has only had three starts in Australia and has looked to improve in each run. He was talked up as a Metropolitan horse after the win last start and needs to be able to win this to go that way.
No 5 CHATELARD has been quite good and very strong in winning all three races from as many starts. He keeps on stepping up and he looks like a horse with more upside than most, and is quite unexposed. Where he ends up, I don’t know. But I am keen to see him.
SCRATCHED No 13 EUREKA STREET should roll along in front here for Kathy with no weight on his back. The win at Flemington was super strong and he ran right through the line here. He seemed to love fast going there and will get that again here.
No 3 NOT A GYPSY improved remarkably last start when getting up to the 2000m, out of that race he is the one I wanted to be with and third up from the break, he should be able to get into a place slot here.
VALUE RUNNER: No 13 EUREKA STREET
R5 – 2:30pm New Caledonia Travel Connection Premier’s Cup - 1900m.
No 2 CLASSIC UNIFORM looks to get a race run to suit here as the likely leader from gate 2. He had to chase home Arbetisam last start who is low flying and previous to that he was attacked when leading and got run down late. Now with no speed in the race, he will give them something to catch.
No 4 CENTRE PIVOT ran quite well last start and gets good ground too suit him. His best runs have come at this track and from gate 7 he can sit just behind them here, and if they go quick enough in front he can finish over the top of them.
No 1 DESTINY’S KISS is back off a freshen up here and was low flying before that break. His consistency is his biggest “letdown” as it has gotten him slugged up in the weights. He will get back and fly at them late here.
No 5 DEE I CEE usually improves a lot second-up from a spell and up to the 1900m here is going to suit him that much more. He should take up a position on the speed, just behind the leaders here and if he has made that improvement he will be in the finish.
VALUE RUNNER: No 4 CENTRE PIVOT
R6 – 3:05pm Monaco Cup – Ming Dynasty Quality - 1400m.
No 2 ASSIMILATE has done a good job in winning both career starts. The form has already been franked with Dracarys coming out and bolting up in the Up and Coming last week. The trial between runs was quite good and I like that he is out to 1400m here which suits.
No 5 ADDICTIVE NATURE looks to be a nice horse and didn’t shirk the task last start when taken on throughout in the run. Don’t think he was too comfortable in the soft going there and getting back onto a dry deck here. The trial at Kembla was quite good and I want to stick with him.
No 9 MAHALANGUR was brilliantly backed on debut and got the job done in good fashion. He comes straight to a stakes race out of what is quite a poor level of race, but the learning he got out of it would be invaluable. To his home track and out to 1400m look to suit him and he could cause a shock here.
No 4 SAMBRO resumes off the QLD preparation here and draws a super soft gate for this run here. I like how he starts at 1400m here, as he does look to be a spring champion type. With some clear air he can run over the top of them.
VALUE RUNNER: No 5 ADDICTIVE NATURE
R7 – 3:45pm TPG Telecom San Domenico Stakes - 1100m.
No 1 PARIAH (NEXT BEST BET) resumes here and will stamp himself as the Golden Rose fav after this run. Wiping his Slipper run from the memory and going off the previous runs where he was outstanding. He looks to have come back in even better shape this time in going off his trials. Gate 10 a touch worrying, but he is a class above.
No 5 CONDOR HEROS is a flying machine and has been trialing in that type of fashion coming into this. The end of a strong 1100m may be a worry for him, but if he gets a big enough break he could hold on.
No 4 CHAUFFEUR resumes and has changed stables since the last prep. The trials have been solid enough.
No 10 JORDA is the interesting runner for me, we haven’t seen her since her brilliant Gimcrack win and her trials have been good.
VALUE RUNNER: No 10 JORDA
R8 – 4:25pm Lindt Handicap - 1500m
No 2 SPECIAL MISSILE is going for five in a row and I see no reason as to why he cannot win here. He gets a good claim down to the 59kgs and from the gate he should be able to dominate the race, the only negative is losing Avdulla but he is low flying.
No 5 COOLCRAFT (BEST ROUGHIE) has been doing a brilliant job in winning races at Kembla as of late and the step up to city class and 1500 here looks suitable. From gate 2 Angland can sit him just behind the leaders here and if he can do that, he will be in the finish.
No 1 HOGMANAY gets a good claim for Magorrian here and was fantastic first-up when closing off quite well. This grade is right up his alley here and he should be much fitter second-up from a spell on his home track.
No 4 THE PAHROAH won brilliantly last start leading them a merry dance and skipping away on the turn. He looks to do so ye again here. But the 1500m now is my only slight concern, but on a fast deck with some cheap sections he could be hard to catch.
VALUE RUNNER: No 5 COOLCRAFT
R9 – 5:05pm FIIG Handicap - 1200m.
No 1 BONNY O' REILLY resumes and has been a great horse to us in the past. She is a legitimate group horse and is able to resume in a benchmark race with 59.5kg. Clark will have her just behind the leaders here from gate 1 and if she gets a gap we know she is a line chaser.
No 3 SIR BACHHUS finally gets blinkers on and should be able to sit closer from gate 4. He has beaten Redkirk Warrior in the past and that form would blow this lot away, but he has not shown that form for close to a year now.
No 11 SELITA resumed well from her spell and didn’t have the best of luck in the race, she has form around Bonny O' Reilly and wasn’t too far off her in a stakes race in QLD. If she brings that form to this she will be in the finish.
No 10 DENPURR comes into this race second-up with a handy claim for Adkins, she ran on well fresh in a race that wasn’t run to suit. She won second-up last time in and is a chance again.
VALUE RUNNER: No 10 DENPURR