Horses to Follow – Saturday 26th August 2017
A Cummings galloper ready to fire in benchmark grade and an improving import that might sneak under the radar comprise this week’s black book runners.
Last Week’s Black Book Runners:
Penglai Pavillion: York Race 5 – 4th ($8)
Lead them up over 3270m and got one paced within the final furlong. With his racing pattern, he’d still be very hard to hold out in Australia over a genuine staying trip.
Lovani: Moonee Valley Race 2 – 12th ($9.50)
Sat very handy after dropping back sharply in trip (1600m to 1200m) and dropped out sharply. Found to have thumps post-race so must forgive.
Azazel: Moonee Valley Race 6 – 4th ($7)
Probably didn’t sit as handy as he would’ve liked. Hooked out 4 wide with around 500m to go and worked home soundly for 4th. Give one more.
Bandipur: Moonee Valley Race 6 – 2nd ($3F)
Had a good run outside the leader and eventual winner Overshare but was no match in the straight. Giving another chance.
Jungle Edge: Moonee Valley Race 7 – 6th ($20)
Definite forgive after being 3 wide no cover then drifting back mid-field on a far from ideal good 4 surface.
Duke of Brunswick: Moonee Valley Race 8 – 9th ($5)
Settled down 3 wide with cover near the back of the field in 9th (of 14) and only held ground in a race dominated by those on speed. The kind of horse that will win as soon as he’s sacked so I’ll give him one more.
Argent D’Or: Warwick Farm Race 5 – 9th ($6.50)
First time this prep he’s made no ground form the back. Winner came from a similar position as well. Looking like a well-earned spell is on the cards.
Bolero King: Warwick Farm Race 7 10th ($3.60F)
3 wide no cover the trip and dropped out accordingly. Horror watch at the price. After 3 down the track finishes, I’ll be dropping off.
Destiny’s Kiss: Rosehill Race 5 – 4th ($12)
Just went too fast up front for the old boy to keep in touch in the early stages. Worked home in absolute style. Held up slightly between runners in the straight probably cost him 2nd or 3rd. Loading up next start.
Regal Monarch: Rosehill Race 8 – 10th ($41)
Jumped near last and dropped right out in a race dominated by those on speed. Post-race vet revealed abrasions to off-hind bumper, forgiving off that but being wary.
Sir Baccus: Rosehill Race 9 – 10th ($5)
Not tested at all in the straight. Found to be lame in near-hind leg, should forgive but will be spelled.
This Week’s Black Book Runners:
Foundation: Caulfield Race 8 – 3rd ($41)
Found plenty with the addition of blinkers in this third Australian start. Jumping from the inside gate, Regan Bayliss let the Irish son of Zoffany bowl along in font and it took two smart gallopers in Almandin ($10) and Pacodali ($2.90F) to reel him in, only going down by 1.5L.
Hoping the stellar return of Melbourne Cup champion Almandin coupled with a hefty SP will give the followers of Foundation some decent odds next start. He should be hitting peak fitness now and prove hard to run down over a 2000-2400m journey.
Where to Next? Open Class 2000-2400m.
No Doubt: Rosehill Race 9 – 2nd ($8.50)
In typical Anthony Cummings fashion, this horse contested the Ajax Stakes (5th), Doncaster Prelude (2nd) and Queen Elizabeth Stakes (6th) last preparation with his benchmark rising from 76 to 85 in this duration. Not disgraced in the top grade, he looks to have a solid platform to launch on, now back in Benchmark company - beaten less than a length by the good mare Bonny O’Rielly ($3.90F).
The son of not a single doubt is usually well placed close to the speed, having lead the Queen Elizabeth field over 2000m on a testing soft 7. Back onto his preferred good ground (6:1-2-1), up in distance to the 1400-1600m and third up should see him right at his peak.
Where to Next? Benchmark 95 1400-1500m