Horses to Follow – Saturday 2nd September 2017
Two smart three year olds, including arguably the best-bred horse in Australia join our black book this week.
Last Week’s Black Book Runners:
Gingernuts: Hastings Race 7 – 5th ($17)
You don’t see may better first up runs from a Cups prospects than this in a G1 1400m event. Came from close to last and copped a significant check at the 350m mark to still motor home into 5th.
Oregon’s Day: Caulfield Race 2 – 1st ($4.50)
Relished the step up in trip to the 1400m with a stronger tempo and cover from the wind. Gap back to third and beyond, mare going places.
Hualalai: Caulfield Race 4 – 5th ($11)
Didn’t disgrace himself against some potential top liners after being slow out. Would definitely be considering around the lower group and listed races.
Malibu Style: Caulfield Race 6 – 6th ($18)
3 wide no cover into the breeze the entire trip. Entitled to tire and did. Despite the difficult run he might be out-classed in the spring, dropping off.
Humidor: Caulfield Race 7 – 8th ($26)
Race shape hard against after being slow out. Worked through the line nice enough to consider once up in trip.
Hey Doc: Caulfield Race 7 – 4th (6.50)
No match for the winner after a nice run in transit. Still going well enough and will be worth a ticket third up over the mile.
Le Romain: Caulfield Race 7 – 5th ($8.50)
Had every chance to go with Black Heart Bart and Tosen Stardom. Sound effort but things won’t be getting any easier. Dropping off.
Tally: Caulfield Race 8 – 4th ($6.50)
Looked to need every meter of the straight to wind up and was 0.1L out of the placings. Extremely keen to follow up when out to 2000m+ at Flemington.
Harlem: Caulfield Race 8 – 5th ($8.50)
Brilliant return from the stayer after being slow out he weaved up along the inside to finish only 0.6L off second place. Very keen to follow into the spring.
Champagne Cuddles: Randwick Race 6 – 2nd ($4.40)
Another huge run and close miss. Winner well and truly got the jump on her but the little filly motored home once again into second by 0.1L, 1400m should be no worries. Following.
I Am Excited: Randwick Race 6 – 3rd ($18)
Huge result just missing by 0.3L. Was hampered slightly which could’ve cost her the win. Will still be following but I don’t think we’ll see $18 again.
Sense of Occasion: Randwick Race 7 – 8th ($31)
Impossible for the 7YO to kick when up on the insane tempo first up. Might flatten second up after such a hard run, but keen to keep an eye on him later in the prep.
Life Less Ordinary: Randwick Race 7 – 5th ($26)
Sound run second up in behind an insane tempo. This run will bring him on nicely stepping up in trip.
Invincible Gem: Randwick Race 8 – 3rd ($3.90)
Held up at a critical stage when the leader offered nothing in the straight. First and second definitely got the jump. Still following.
McCreery: Randwick Race 8 – 8th ($13)
Didn’t produce much first up, forgetting.
This Week’s Black Book Runners:
Booker: Caulfield Race 4 – 2rd ($6)
This lightly raced filly stamped herself as a talented type after her debut win at Flemington and I want to be on her side throughout the spring. Punters certainly saw her talent as she was steamrolled in betting, jumping at $6 after $11 was offered in the early markets.
She jumped a fraction slow out of the wide barrier 9 and Dwayne Dunn found himself posted 3-wide over the 1200m journey which faces directly into the headwind for the first 800m. Despite this she kicked strongly in the straight and it took the unbeaten, now Caulfield guineas second favourite Merchant Navy ($3.50F) to reel her in late.
Where to Next? 3YO Fillies’ races 1200-1400m
Merovee: Randwick Race 1 – 2rd ($15)
This colt may well live right up to his superstar pedigree (Frankel x More Strawberries). Only had the one start as a 2Yo where he was well beaten as a short-priced favourite ($2.10) almost on hype alone. He has since furnished into a very strong 3Yo colt. Broke his maiden in easy fashion first-up in Newcastle (Beaumont surface) over the 1350m then looked right up to Saturday class bolting home from the back off a slow tempo for second last weekend.
Though it was only a benchmark 75 for the 3 year olds, the form through this race could stack right up with both the first and third horses; Super Ex and Beau Gest oozing talent themselves. This is a 3Yo that should lap up the mile and possibly further.
Where to Next? 3YO Race over 1600m.